Welcome to Predictem’s main free picks page. Here you’ll find our daily top plays and links to game previews with analysis for each sport that we cover. What you won’t find here are screaming touts with false claims of easy money, LOCKS, sure bets or any other BS that you see on 90% of the sports handicapping sites on the web. Our Expert Handicappers provide daily predictions ATS for NFL Football, College Football, NBA Basketball, NCAA Basketball, Major League Baseball, Horse Racing, MMA Fights, Boxing, NASCAR and PGA Golf. We do not sell our picks. These are not second rate free plays. These are EXPERT PICKS! The same ones we bet ourselves. New to sports betting? Check out our article on how to bet on football!
Pro Hoops is TOUGH to beat. Players sit out without notice, look mentally checked out and can be downright unpredictable. We have a solid history with the sport, but please understand that there will be a bunch of passes during the season because value bets can be hard to come by. We never force the action, as there is always another game. Another frustrating facet of betting on NBA basketball is our need to release plays late in the day, due to the best information not coming out until a couple of hours before game time. Oftentimes, we don't post our best NBA plays until 5 PM ET. Plays are made using a combination of variables, including but not limited to: travel schedule, hot/cold teams, efficiency ratings, good/bad defenses, anti-consensus, access to sharp action from a database that we're blessed to be able to tap into and some fades of lousy basketball bettors who have consistently hit 43% or less.
Handicapper: Kevin West
Pick: Sacramento Kings +2. There's a handful of meaty variables in play tonight and I think the Kings break their 8-game losing streak. For starters, Sac has had ownage in this series. The Kings have won 5 out of the last 6 vs. NY (including 2 games at Madison Square Garden) and the sole loss was only by a bucket. The NYK are in a triple whammy chemistry spot as starting PG Elfrid Payton is doubtful with a hamstring issue, which will force recently acquired Derrick Rose into more minutes (the team still isn't used to him) OR give more minutes to rookie Immanuel Quickley (nice player, but rookies are rookies and with that comes mistakes!) OR more minutes to Austin Rivers who hasn't played since the 13th. No matter how you spin it, a change in floor general is a big ding for team chemistry. This type of situation creates timing issues, players not in the right position to receive the ball and turnovers due to the point guard trying to distribute to a player who zigs when the point guard zags. Chemistry dings equal miscommunication, which leads to fast break points for the opponent.
The Kings defense has sucked as of late, but they can put points on the board. New York struggles in this category and has for many moons. The Knicks are 39-100 straight up over their last 139 games against teams scoring 106+. I fully expect Sac to put up 113+ tonight. I also like that Kings C Richaun Holmes is back in action (super active/athletic big) and is likely to get a minutes boost, as backup C Hassan Whiteside is out tonight and has likely played his last game for the Kings. I'm no fan of backing teams allowing 53% from the field over their last 5 games or betting on a team in an eight-game skid, but when this many stars align, we gotta roll with it. Lastly, the books like their position with Sac too... The line is +2 and isn't budging, despite over 70% of the public hammering the Knicks. It never hurts to be on the same side as the house. On hey, one last thing! We would GREATLY appreciate it if you would please let your friends know about us. We're in a dog-eat-dog industry which is not one that favors the little guy. As you can tell, we do our homework and aren't some fly-by-night boiler room tout operation. It would mean so much to us if you would please consider letting your friends know about us so we can survive the long term and not crap out like a lot of other small sites do. Thanks so much and good luck tonight!
Handicapper: Kevin West
Pick: New Orleans Pelicans -9 (won 128-118). Detroit struggles to score on the road, especially vs. high scoring teams. They're 0-7 STRAIGHT UP in road games where the total is 220 or more. The team has some nice pieces but lacks chemsitry. Their starting lineup has been a revolving door and that theme continues this week when Delon Wright went down with a groin injury, which forces a raw Dennis Smith Jr. into the starting lineup. Further muddying the waters, rookie Saben Lee is seeing more minutes than Smith. Ball flow/chemisty should be a huge issue for the next week to two weeks. The Pistons are in the last game of a 5 game road trip where they've averaged 100 points a game. The Pels defense pretty much sucks, however, they score so many points that I don't believe Detroit will be able to keep up. I see Detroit scoring no more than 110 here and I'm forecasting that New Orleans will score at least 125. Good luck!
Why are our losses only scored as -1.05? Because we bet at reduced vigorish! Bet smart! Wagering is cheaper at BAS!
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College Basketball Picks
Expect more multi-unit BEST BET opportunities here than any other sport as college hoops present some fantastic wagering opportunities! It's not uncommon to see college basketball lines off by 10+ points. Especially with small colleges. Kevin West digs through the sizable daily card to sniff out the needle in a haystack value. West is a huge believer in backing teams that shoot the ball well and play good defense vs. teams with poor field goal percentages and that are lazy on D. That variable mixed with the belief that there's more chemistry in Junior/Senior heavy teams vs. younger teams can make for a gold mine when these opportunities present themselves. Note: College hoops takes a few weeks to figure out so don't expect many plays early on.
Handicapper: Rich Crew
Pick: SE Missouri St./Eastern Illinois OVER 138
MLB betting is beautiful because one can literally hit 50% or less and turn a profit due to money lines and no point spreads being involved. This frequently results in us backing the underdog, which can create some cold feet among our readers. We ask that you trust the process as we know what we're doing. The 162 game season is a LONG grind in which we’ll have both winning and losing streaks. Picks are provided by Predictem’s Chief Handicapper, Kevin West. Kevin’s favorite variables include stats, hot/cold streaks and some things you can’t find in the box scores such as good/bad pitching and hitting mechanics.
Today's MLB Picks: TBA
For more baseball predictions with analysis - Daily MLB Picks
College Football Picks
Like MLB betting, college football wagering is BEAUTIFUL, but not for the same reasons. College football betting is one of the easiest sports to beat because it presents us with situations in which you can find a lot of “bug meets windshield” matchups. This doesn’t mean that you automatically go out and jump on Bama playing a small college. It’s more of a “Senior offensive lineman is out, and his backup is a freshman" type of thing. There's also some very low hanging fruit in the smaller college matchups because the sportsbooks know most are going to bet SEC/Big Ten/Pac 12 matchups. They then put more of their resources into those high profile matchups leaving us to snipe some tasty lesser known conference spreads that often times have final score margins not even close to the proposed point spread.
Rich Crew (65.96% 2019 regular season on 47 plays) returns as part of our CFB handicapping team in 2020. Get his plays and insight plus additional free plays from our Staff and Guests here!
For more predictions with analysis - Weekly College Football Picks
Football betting is why bookies drive Cadillacs, and you probably don't. The oddsmaker knows who the betting public (squares) are going to bet before they even see the lines. Hardly seems fair! That doesn't stop droves of gamblers from partaking in the euphoric event known as NFL betting. Beating the NFL spread over the course of the season is darn near impossible. But not anymore! We'll take you from being a guy who regular pays his bookie, to an astute advantage bettor who will show a profit by season's end!
Do you know which offensive linemen are banged up or not playing this week? Probably not. Have you studied which wide receivers run a 4.4 40 yard dash and which cornerbacks covering them are a half-second slower? Probably not. Do you check weather reports to see if the teams will be forced to run it or pass it a lot? Not likely. Are you plugged into some of the most astute sabermetrics nerds on the planet and a handful of others who are so deep into studying football games that they don't have time to run a website or market their craft? No. Luckily for you, our team is, and we're happy to share our picks with you. Get ready for a whole lot of education on good teams win and bad teams cover!
Handicapper: Rich Crew Pick: Under 56 (Won 31-9)
Handicapper: Kevin West
Pick: Tampa Bay Buccaneers +3.5 (Won 31-9) (Shorthand notes) People often ask me who I think is going to win the Super Bowl. My answer is always the same; "Whowever is healthy and hitting their peak hotness!" Tampa Bay is HOT! Going into Lambeau to beat the Pack speaks volumes about how well this team is playing. They're healthier now too! Chiefs LT Eric Fisher is out. This is bad news for Pat's backside. From what I understand RT Mike Remmers will move over to the LT spot to take his place. Not a huge deal, but it's not his true position so it creates an edge for TB. TB ranks 4th in sacks and 3rd in QB hits. I don't think KC can stop the run, which should setup tons of play action opportunities for Brady. I don't think KC will have that luxury as the TB line is a stone wall vs. the run. I have access to a database of NFL bettors that hit 60% or better this season. 7 of 10 are on TB. KC can tend to start slow in games. If this were to happen, they won't be able to come back like they did vs.dipstick Shanahan or the how they did vs. the Bills last game. Chiefs went 7-8 ATS this season because the public overvalues them. This is Brady's 10th Super Bowl. That experience gives TB an edge. I'm predicting the Bucs win by 7+. I'm expecting a 31-24 or 31-20 final score. Thank you for following us this season! Good luck!
For more predictions with analysis - Weekly NFL Picks
Horse Racing Picks
One of the most astute horse racing brains on the planet, Kenneth Strong, gives his daily race predictions for all the major tracks and writes an award-winning analysis for the Kentucky Derby, Preakness and Belmont Stakes races. Ken has done it all. Cleaned stables, trained horses, trained trainers, written for the DRF and even acted as an agent for jockeys. This-guy-knows-horse-racing! Horse betting can be confusing to newbies. Ken is happy to answer any and all questions you may have astutely and always at no cost to our readers.
Check out Ken's daily take - Daily Racing Selections
Big Scotty L wanted to play baseball, basketball, and football as a kid but his dad forced his hand at boxing because he grew up in the barrio where if you weren’t tough, you had no chance to survive. This led Scott to follow MMA/Boxing closely throughout his childhood and college years in which he went to school in Northern California for journalism. The guy is a walking-talking encyclopedia of fighting, and you will quickly see that in his writing. He’s a guy that listens and watches, which allows him to learn and understand the deep inner workings of the sport. To top it off, he’s eloquent and classy to boot. I love this guy!
PGA Golf Picks
Matty Evergreen brings us his weekly take on the PGA circuit, providing a few predictions for the golfer to win the tournament and a few "head to head" matchup picks. One needs to be extremely patient and have a long-term approach when betting on a golfer to win the tournament. You could literally win 2 or 3 times during a season 50 events and show a profit. In all candidness, this type of wagering should be reserved for those looking for four days of entertainment each week. One could use their bankroll to follow our college football, and college basketball picks and has a much better return on their investment. Not a fan of either? You don't have to be a fan to make free cheese! We do all the work for ya!
Check out Evergreen’s analysis (Posted by Wed.) - Weekly Golf Picks
When we placed an ad looking for somebody to write NASCAR for us, we expected a “Crazy Cooter” or wrench monkey to catch our attention. To our surprise, an itty bitty gal from Virginia took the checkers, and we all lived happily ever after. As most of us know, women have a different perspective on things than men. They notice things we don't and are more analytical. This goes hand in hand with watching and reporting on auto racing. We couldn't be happier with our Virginia Vroom!
Check out V's analysis (Posted by Wed.) - This Week's NASCAR Predictions