Free Picks

Welcome to Predictem’s main free picks page. Here you’ll find our daily top plays and links to game previews with analysis for each sport that we cover. What you won’t find here are screaming touts with false claims of easy money, LOCKS, sure bets or any other BS that you see on 90% of the sports handicapping sites on the web. Our Expert Handicappers provide daily predictions ATS for NFL Football, College Football, NBA Basketball, NCAA Basketball, Major League Baseball, Horse Racing, MMA Fights, Boxing, NASCAR and PGA Golf. We do not sell our picks. These are not second rate free plays. These are EXPERT PICKS! The same ones we bet ourselves. New to sports betting? Check out our article on how to bet on football!

NBA Picks

Pro Hoops is TOUGH to beat. Players sit out without notice, look mentally checked out and can be downright unpredictable. We have a solid history with the sport, but please understand that there will be a bunch of passes during the season because value bets can be hard to come by. We never force the action, as there is always another game. Another frustrating facet of betting on NBA basketball is our need to release plays late in the day, due to the best information not coming out until a couple of hours before game time. Oftentimes, we don't post our best NBA plays until 5 PM ET. Plays are made using a combination of variables, including but not limited to: travel schedule, hot/cold teams, efficiency ratings, good/bad defenses, anti-consensus, access to sharp action from a database that we're blessed to be able to tap into and some fades of lousy basketball bettors who have consistently hit 43% or less.

2020-2021 NBA Picks

Date: 5/9/21
Handicapper: Kevin West
Pick: Los Angeles Clippers money line -287. The Knicks have struggled to score over their last couple games and have played crap defense, losing by 16 and 23 points in those games. The Knicks are likely to be without two key reserves in Quickley and Burks. The Knicks are on their 5th game of a long road trip. The Clippers have been sleeping at home in their own beds for 10 days since April 29th. Love me some Clippers today on ESPN!

Date: 5/8/21
Handicapper: Kevin West
Pick: Golden State Warriors -14 (Won 136-97). OKC has scored 99 points or less in four of their last five games. I'm forecasting the GSW to score at least 116 here.

Date: 5/7/21
Handicapper: Kevin West
Pick: Portland Trail Blazers ML -394 (Won 106 -101). Lots of reasons to like Portland tonight! Lebron is out. I saw Anthony Davis roll his ankle last night (although he said he'd try to play Friday), the Lakers had to fly to Portland and the Blazers are red hot. This spread opened at -6 and has moved to -8.5, but I'll be backing the money line tonight, despite last night's disaster at Detroit. The Grizzlies couldn't have played worse and I'm beyond baffled by Detroit would try to win a game and hurt their draft position with only a week or so left in the season. DUMB!

   

Why are our losses only scored as -1.05? Because we bet at reduced vigorish! Bet smart! Wagering is cheaper at BAS!

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For more predictions with analysis - Daily NBA Picks

MLB Picks

MLB betting is beautiful because one can literally hit 50% or less and turn a profit due to money lines and no point spreads being involved. This frequently results in us backing the underdog, which can create some cold feet among our readers. We ask that you trust the process as we know what we're doing. The 162 game season is a LONG grind in which we’ll have both winning and losing streaks. Picks are provided by Predictem’s Chief Handicapper, Kevin West. Kevin’s favorite variables include stats, hot/cold streaks and some things you can’t find in the box scores such as good/bad pitching and hitting mechanics.

Date: 5/9/21
Handicapper: Rich Crew
Pick: Dodgers/Angels OVER 8.5 Dodgers’ starter Trevor Bauer has allowed two or fewer runs in all of his starts excluding his seasonal debut, and his ERA 2.44 and WHIP are fantastic. That said, his back numbers against the Angels projected lineup are not great with Upton, Iglesias and Butera all having a career BA of over .360. Angels’ starter Jose Quintana’s current form is dismal allowing exactly five runs in three of his last four starts and has allowed a career .982 OPS against LAD’s projected lineup. Both teams went to the bullpen often in yesterday’s 25 run game which will lower the arms available if either starter gets into trouble. The Dodgers could get near the total themselves and with two or three runs by Angels I think we get the OVER. (Posted 10:28 AM ET)

Date: 5/8/21
Handicapper: Rich Crew
Pick: Giants +118 (Won 7-1). We had this starters matchup back on May 2 with San Francisco coming away with a decisive 7-1 road win. Here are some stats to consider. Musgrove is 0-1 in day games this season with a 6.75 ERA Compared to Gausman’s 1-0, 1.38 mark. San Diego is an impressive 9-5 on the road this season, but while SF didn’t play the toughest home schedule, they are 11-3 at Oracle Park this season. The Giants have scored five or more runs in five consecutive games while the Padres have managed a total of just 12 runs in their last five. (Posted 12:09 PM ET)

Date: 5/8/21
Handicapper: Rich Crew
Pick: White Sox -1.5 runs -110 (Won 9-1). The Chisox Starter Lance Lynn was brilliant in his first three starts with an 0.92 ERA striking out 27 in 19 2/3 IP before a strained right trap sent him to the sidelines. He wasn’t as dominant in in his return but pitched well enough to get win pitching 5 frames allowing three earned runs on four hits. He should be stronger today without the layoff and a return to the preinjury form would not be a surprise facing a team that he pitched nine shut out innings against back on April 8th. The Royals offense has been shut out in two straight and with rookie LH Daniel Lynch making his second start (White Sox .297 BA and 7.30 R/9 versus left-handers) the runline looks like a solid play in this spot. (Posted 12:09 PM ET)

Date: 5/7/21
Handicapper: Rich Crew
Pick: Detroit +129 (lost 3-7). Twins starter Matt Shoemaker got his only win came in his his first start of the season and that was on the road against the Tigers, but he’s been below average since with zero quality starts. Detroit starter Tarik Skubal has yet to get a W in any of his four starts and likewise for the team. His 6.14 ERA is far from impressive, however, his lone home start was okay (5 1/3 IP, 2 Earned Runs) and a repeat of that could get them the money tonight. Note that Minnesota’s scoring offense has fallen off scoring a combined seven runs in their last three and may be without arguably their top hitter in OF Byron Buxton for this game. (Posted 1:08 PM ET)

For more baseball predictions with analysis - Daily MLB Picks

PGA Golf Picks

Matty Evergreen brings us his weekly take on the PGA circuit, providing a few predictions for the golfer to win the tournament and a few "head to head" matchup picks. One needs to be extremely patient and have a long-term approach when betting on a golfer to win the tournament. You could literally win 2 or 3 times during a season 50 events and show a profit. In all candidness, this type of wagering should be reserved for those looking for four days of entertainment each week. One could use their bankroll to follow our college football, and college basketball picks and has a much better return on their investment. Not a fan of either? You don't have to be a fan to make free cheese! We do all the work for ya!

Check out Evergreen’s analysis (Posted by Wed.) - Weekly Golf Picks

NASCAR Picks

When we placed an ad looking for somebody to write NASCAR for us, we expected a “Crazy Cooter” or wrench monkey to catch our attention. To our surprise, an itty bitty gal from Virginia took the checkers, and we all lived happily ever after. As most of us know, women have a different perspective on things than men. They notice things we don't and are more analytical. This goes hand in hand with watching and reporting on auto racing. We couldn't be happier with our Virginia Vroom!

Check out V's analysis (Posted by Wed.) - This Week's NASCAR Predictions

Boxing/MMA Picks

Big Scotty L wanted to play baseball, basketball, and football as a kid but his dad forced his hand at boxing because he grew up in the barrio where if you weren’t tough, you had no chance to survive. This led Scott to follow MMA/Boxing closely throughout his childhood and college years in which he went to school in Northern California for journalism. The guy is a walking-talking encyclopedia of fighting, and you will quickly see that in his writing. He’s a guy that listens and watches, which allows him to learn and understand the deep inner workings of the sport. To top it off, he’s eloquent and classy to boot. I love this guy!

Check out Scott’s boxing analysis here.
Check out Scott’s MMA previews here.

Horse Racing Picks

One of the most astute horse racing brains on the planet, Kenneth Strong, gives his daily race predictions for all the major tracks and writes an award-winning analysis for the Kentucky Derby, Preakness and Belmont Stakes races. Ken has done it all. Cleaned stables, trained horses, trained trainers, written for the DRF and even acted as an agent for jockeys. This-guy-knows-horse-racing! Horse betting can be confusing to newbies. Ken is happy to answer any and all questions you may have astutely and always at no cost to our readers.

Check out Ken's daily take - Daily Racing Selections

College Football Picks

Like MLB betting, college football wagering is BEAUTIFUL, but not for the same reasons. College football betting is one of the easiest sports to beat because it presents us with situations in which you can find a lot of “bug meets windshield” matchups. This doesn’t mean that you automatically go out and jump on Bama playing a small college. It’s more of a “Senior offensive lineman is out, and his backup is a freshman" type of thing. There's also some very low hanging fruit in the smaller college matchups because the sportsbooks know most are going to bet SEC/Big Ten/Pac 12 matchups. They then put more of their resources into those high profile matchups leaving us to snipe some tasty lesser known conference spreads that often times have final score margins not even close to the proposed point spread.

Rich Crew (65.96% 2019 regular season on 47 plays) returns as part of our CFB handicapping team in 2020. Get his plays and insight plus additional free plays from our Staff and Guests here!

2021/2022

Date: N/A
Handicapper: TBA
Pick: TBA

   

For more predictions with analysis - Weekly College Football Picks

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NFL Picks

Football betting is why bookies drive Cadillacs, and you probably don't. The oddsmaker knows who the betting public (squares) are going to bet before they even see the lines. Hardly seems fair! That doesn't stop droves of gamblers from partaking in the euphoric event known as NFL betting. Beating the NFL spread over the course of the season is darn near impossible. But not anymore! We'll take you from being a guy who regular pays his bookie, to an astute advantage bettor who will show a profit by season's end!

Do you know which offensive linemen are banged up or not playing this week? Probably not. Have you studied which wide receivers run a 4.4 40 yard dash and which cornerbacks covering them are a half-second slower? Probably not. Do you check weather reports to see if the teams will be forced to run it or pass it a lot? Not likely. Are you plugged into some of the most astute sabermetrics nerds on the planet and a handful of others who are so deep into studying football games that they don't have time to run a website or market their craft? No. Luckily for you, our team is, and we're happy to share our picks with you. Get ready for a whole lot of education on good teams win and bad teams cover!

Super Bowl Picks

Date: 2/7/21
Handicapper: Rich Crew
Pick: Under 56 (Won 31-9)

 

Date: 2/7/21
Handicapper: Kevin West
Pick: Tampa Bay Buccaneers +3.5 (Won 31-9) (Shorthand notes) People often ask me who I think is going to win the Super Bowl. My answer is always the same; "Whowever is healthy and hitting their peak hotness!" Tampa Bay is HOT! Going into Lambeau to beat the Pack speaks volumes about how well this team is playing. They're healthier now too! Chiefs LT Eric Fisher is out. This is bad news for Pat's backside. From what I understand RT Mike Remmers will move over to the LT spot to take his place. Not a huge deal, but it's not his true position so it creates an edge for TB. TB ranks 4th in sacks and 3rd in QB hits. I don't think KC can stop the run, which should setup tons of play action opportunities for Brady. I don't think KC will have that luxury as the TB line is a stone wall vs. the run. I have access to a database of NFL bettors that hit 60% or better this season. 7 of 10 are on TB. KC can tend to start slow in games. If this were to happen, they won't be able to come back like they did vs.dipstick Shanahan or the how they did vs. the Bills last game. Chiefs went 7-8 ATS this season because the public overvalues them. This is Brady's 10th Super Bowl. That experience gives TB an edge. I'm predicting the Bucs win by 7+. I'm expecting a 31-24 or 31-20 final score. Thank you for following us this season! Good luck!

 

For more predictions with analysis - Weekly NFL Picks

 

College Basketball Picks

Expect more multi-unit BEST BET opportunities here than any other sport as college hoops present some fantastic wagering opportunities! It's not uncommon to see college basketball lines off by 10+ points. Especially with small colleges. Kevin West and Rich Crew dig through the sizable daily card to sniff out the needle in a haystack value. West is a huge believer in backing teams that shoot the ball well and play good defense vs. teams with poor field goal percentages and that are lazy on D. That variable mixed with the belief that there's more chemistry in Junior/Senior heavy teams vs. younger teams can make for a gold mine when these opportunities present themselves. Note: College hoops takes a few weeks to figure out so don't expect many plays early on.

2020/2021 NCAA Basketball Picks

Date: 4/5/21
Handicapper: Rich Crew
Pick: I'm going to pass on tonight's game as I don't find any value. Thanks to those who have tailed this NCAA season. It's been an odd year to cap the games, and I had a couple of rough patches, but overall finished plus double-digit units on the year. Please be sure to check back daily for more free picks as I transition into MLB! Note: All of the major sportsbooks have moved down to +4. However, you can still get +4.5 at Interops Sportsbook. In a game like this, every point matters!

Date: 4/3/21
Handicapper: Rich Crew
Pick: UCLA/Gonzaga OVER 145.5 (Won 93-90).

Date: 3/30/21
Handicapper: Rich Crew
Pick: UCLA/Michigan UNDER 135.5 (Won 51-49).

Date: 3/28/21
Handicapper: Rich Crew
Pick: Florida State/Michigan UNDER 143 (Won 76-58). I'm not getting the best of the line, but I feel there is still value with two of the top Opp Effective FG % battling it out.

Date: 3/27/21
Handicapper: Rich Crew
Pick: Oregon St. +7 (Won outright 65-58). Sure the public is all over this which usually means a go against or pass for me, but the Beavers have a big edge in size. They should have some success with their inside game and can limit the damage that the Ramblers can do from three point land.

Date: 3/27/21
Handicapper: Rich Crew
Pick: Syracuse/Houston Under 141 (Won 62-46). The Orange shot extremely well in recent games, but this Cougar team can turn that trend around quickly. Syracuse can play good defense in stretches and I think Houston's scoring average is inflated based on their conference.

   
For more predictions with analysis - Dan's daily College Basketball Picks
Betting on sports is a grind. If you want to make money in this venture, you need to understand that it’s a marathon, not a sprint. Beating the point spread is a full-time job that most simply don’t have time for. This site is run by three astute expert handicappers that have been doing this for more than 20 years. In the beginning, we took our lumps as most do. Over time, we learned the in’s and outs including but not limited to proper money management, which stats matter, the psychology of betting, a contrarian approach and much more. We're willing to do all the hard work for you! All we ask is that you bookmark the site, come to see us regularly and consider placing your bets at our sportsbook sponsors as they are what pay our bills and allow us to provide a valuable service to you. Thanks for choosing Predictem.com! We appreciate it!