Tweet
Recap: 1-2
Record: 30-24
Review: I had the good kind of 1-2 yesterday.
How can a 1-2 day be good???
When you lose your morning game, lose your afternoon game, and are looking at a possible 0-3 going into the late game.
Oregon gets the cover and I drop 1.2 units instead of 3-3.
THAT'S the good kind of 1-2!
Chalk Boy got his ass kicked picking Alabama. They were 22 point Favs who were actually losing by one point late in the game.
F'ing slackers.
I can only blame myself though for dropping a unit on the day.
What was the strategy going in?
From yesterday's post:
Using limited data from the postseason, WF2 has a record of 10-10 since the regular season ended; no value betting ON or Fading.
But it started out at 9-5 in the tournaments so it's 1-5 in the last six games that qualified, and it's usually sub.500 so I'm betting that it takes a few losses today (NINE to choose from: Robert Morris, Lip, Grand Canyon, Norfolk State, Troy, New Mexico, Akron, Bryant, Liberty.)
In the big tournament WF2 started off at 1-3 yesterday.
I'm going to look to see if I can jump on a streak early before it's established and starts to even out.
The strategy was to play against the nine WF2 spots.
The first play, 'Bama, lost so I abandoned the strategy except for the Oregon spot which I really only bet because it was an asterisk play (those are 1-3 now in the postseason.)
And what was the record for the nine WF2 fades?
6-3.
Good strategy, horrible execution.
I have one of those WF2 spots today, McNeese State.
The Cowboys were good to me in round one, banking me a unit, and I kind of feel like Benedict Arnold going against them today.
I'll be rooting for them to win against Purdue so if I Fade them I'd be rooting against my own money. I'll pass?
Got a WF1 spot that says Creighton should be the Fav.
Record for that spot in the postseason is 12-5.
I'll be rooting for them to upset #1 Auburn, but do I want to have money on them getting only +8'?
I don't know.
I used one spot in my article this morning, a play in a game that fits the A vs B spot that's now 21-4 after the loss in the Yale/Texas A&M game. I noticed this morning that I left one stat out of the article - the game also qualifies for the "18 or >" subcategory, 5-1 now.
Not sure what my forum pick will be today.
Maybe one of the WF spots noted above, maybe just a "gut feel" play (although unlikely since my gut feel yesterday told me take Maryland and I got tagged with an L.)
I'm going to root around through the stats and write ups right I see, looking to see if anything moves me to lay some money down.
I'll be back with something, sometime today.
Good luck with your plays.
Update: I can't pull the trigger on anything to add, so I'm going to rely on my article pick and boxing for my action today.
Record: 30-24
Review: I had the good kind of 1-2 yesterday.
How can a 1-2 day be good???
When you lose your morning game, lose your afternoon game, and are looking at a possible 0-3 going into the late game.
Oregon gets the cover and I drop 1.2 units instead of 3-3.
THAT'S the good kind of 1-2!
Chalk Boy got his ass kicked picking Alabama. They were 22 point Favs who were actually losing by one point late in the game.
F'ing slackers.
I can only blame myself though for dropping a unit on the day.
What was the strategy going in?
From yesterday's post:
Using limited data from the postseason, WF2 has a record of 10-10 since the regular season ended; no value betting ON or Fading.
But it started out at 9-5 in the tournaments so it's 1-5 in the last six games that qualified, and it's usually sub.500 so I'm betting that it takes a few losses today (NINE to choose from: Robert Morris, Lip, Grand Canyon, Norfolk State, Troy, New Mexico, Akron, Bryant, Liberty.)
In the big tournament WF2 started off at 1-3 yesterday.
I'm going to look to see if I can jump on a streak early before it's established and starts to even out.
The strategy was to play against the nine WF2 spots.
The first play, 'Bama, lost so I abandoned the strategy except for the Oregon spot which I really only bet because it was an asterisk play (those are 1-3 now in the postseason.)
And what was the record for the nine WF2 fades?
6-3.
Good strategy, horrible execution.
I have one of those WF2 spots today, McNeese State.
The Cowboys were good to me in round one, banking me a unit, and I kind of feel like Benedict Arnold going against them today.
I'll be rooting for them to win against Purdue so if I Fade them I'd be rooting against my own money. I'll pass?
Got a WF1 spot that says Creighton should be the Fav.
Record for that spot in the postseason is 12-5.
I'll be rooting for them to upset #1 Auburn, but do I want to have money on them getting only +8'?
I don't know.
I used one spot in my article this morning, a play in a game that fits the A vs B spot that's now 21-4 after the loss in the Yale/Texas A&M game. I noticed this morning that I left one stat out of the article - the game also qualifies for the "18 or >" subcategory, 5-1 now.
Not sure what my forum pick will be today.
Maybe one of the WF spots noted above, maybe just a "gut feel" play (although unlikely since my gut feel yesterday told me take Maryland and I got tagged with an L.)
I'm going to root around through the stats and write ups right I see, looking to see if anything moves me to lay some money down.
I'll be back with something, sometime today.
Good luck with your plays.
Update: I can't pull the trigger on anything to add, so I'm going to rely on my article pick and boxing for my action today.