NBA Friday May 9 Prop Bet(s?) & Series

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  • RBD
    Predictem Feature Writer
    • Aug 2024
    • 441

    NBA Friday May 9 Prop Bet(s?) & Series

    Recap: 0-1
    Record: 15-13
    Review: Missed with Boston team total Over on my last play.

    Prop Bet

    The guitar player for the Monkees, Ov 12' points

    Here's his line, current series FG/points:
    5/8, 17 pts
    8/13, 19 pts

    Here's his line Round one:
    3/7, 7 pts
    5/9, 16 pts
    7/13, 18 pts
    5/8, 14 pts
    8/15, 19 pts

    Here's his line regular season vs Cleveland:
    7/14, 10 pts
    4/7, 22 pts

    He's surpassed tonight's number in seven of nine games.
    ​​​​
    I'm counting on him making at least two three pointers. That will get me halfway to the number I need for this bet.
    What am I basing this on?
    Let's look at his line for three pointers.

    This series: 5/8, 4/6

    Round one: 3/6, 2/5, 4/8, 4/5, 1/3.

    Reg season vs Cleveland: 1/2, 3/6.

    He's made at least two three pointers in seven of nine games.
    Not out of line to think he can get at least two tonight.


    I have one other prop that I might buy, waiting to see how the first one goes.


    Series Bet

    Boston -120

    I didn't buy the Celtics to win their Series against the Knicks because the price was too high (it opened as high as Boston -800.)
    And I'm glad I didn't buy it.
    Not because they're down 0-2, but because I can now get them at -120.
    It's a simple bet - the Celtics are the better team.
    Boston won all four games vs New York during the regular season, three of them by double digits. And they're winning both postseason games by double digits before inexplicably unexplainably blowing the lead in both games. I
    I'm betting that won't happen a third time.

    If the Celtics lose tonight my bet is probably dead in the water.
    But I expect them to win and worst case head back to Boston down 1-3. A home win put some at 2-3, making game 6 in NY the key game in the series. And that's how I see this series playing out.

    My plays:
    Nesmith Ov 12' pts
    Boston -120
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