Colts/Patriots line

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  • cavorca12
    replied
    Rothko:
    After looking back at this week, I was thinking along the lines of what you said about myself and my plays even before reading your post. Not so much that I play against whatever, but that I end up talking myself out of plays based too much on the public or aspects not relevant to the actual playing of the game. This week is a perfect example. I layed off Indy, Pitt, Oak, and a few others because of non-game related things, and I lost going with Hou against SD. I definitely think I've missed some plays due to over thinking, but it's a problem that can be corrected.

    IMO though, some weeks that's a good thing, some bad. There always does seem to be one or two weeks that are similar to this that public teams have attractive lines but DO get busted. I know I've let that play in my mind recently, as far as being tentative on plays. Glad you posted those thoughts though, because I think that's definitely needed at times throughout the season. :thumbs: BOL!

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  • Rothko
    replied
    Originally posted by Lpmatt
    I think I do subconsciously do that, maybe I just think too much about the public in football since the pt spread doesn't come into play very much so I should just pick who I think will win and not whether the line was pushed off what it opened at(which is supposed to give you the advantage)
    Exactly bro and EVERYONE is guilty of doing it! I would be better off looking at a game from a few perspectives (including the line) than examing 20 entries of someone pasting how the line moved a .5 point in the last 36 seconds! LOL! That **** cracks me up everytime!

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  • Lpmatt
    replied
    Originally posted by Rothko
    Why do we not take Indy and NE every fckn week??? It's silly to think there is a team out there that is going to stop the offensive massacre of either one of their offenses! Does taking the dog make us look like a more respected gambler!? Not in my book, brother! However, I do feel many posters on this site take the dog EVERYTIME in fear of being compared to joe public!
    I think I do subconsciously do that, maybe I just think too much about the public in football since the pt spread doesn't come into play very much so I should just pick who I think will win and not whether the line was pushed off what it opened at(which is supposed to give you the advantage)

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  • homedawg
    replied
    Originally posted by Rothko
    There is not one team that can stop NE except for the Colts!
    stillers:beerbang:

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  • Rothko
    replied
    There is not one team that can stop NE except for the Colts! The Skins had no chance in covering the spread today. None. Why should that shock anyone?? NE's performance this year has been flawless! Does NE run up the score?? Sure, but as a gambler I love to see it! I love having the right side of a blowout!

    Why do we not take Indy and NE every fckn week??? It's silly to think there is a team out there that is going to stop the offensive massacre of either one of their offenses! Does taking the dog make us look like a more respected gambler!? Not in my book, brother! However, I do feel many posters on this site take the dog EVERYTIME in fear of being compared to joe public!

    I took carolina +7 today! I saw where Indy was riding around 80% with the public and I took a chance! I should be kicked in the head! I liked Indy all week and went against my better judgement and it cost me!

    I hope the Colts pull it off next week! :thumbs:

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  • homedawg
    replied
    this 1 is not inflated IMO:drunk:

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  • homedawg
    replied
    Originally posted by valen
    Do you see that line getting inflated more than 4.5?


    :thumbs:

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  • valen
    replied
    Originally posted by homedawg
    premature IMO, the only reason to catch this 1 early, if you're on nep:thumbs:

    Do you see that line getting inflated more than 4.5?

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  • homedawg
    replied
    Originally posted by valen
    I just picked up the Colts at +4.5 -106 at 10:32 est Sunday night.

    GL

    Valen

    premature IMO, the only reason to catch this 1 early, if you're on nep:thumbs:

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  • valen
    replied
    I just picked up the Colts at +4.5 -106 at 10:32 est Sunday night.

    GL

    Valen

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  • Meestermike
    replied
    Line movement from Pinny

    Here we go...
    Code:
    New England  vs.  Indianapolis
    
    SIDE
    -4 -108 / +4 EVEN Opener 10/28/2007 8:32PM
    -4 -112 / +4 +104 10/28/2007 8:33PM
    -4 -115 / +4 +107 10/28/2007 8:42PM
    -4 -117 / +4 +109 10/28/2007 8:49PM
    -4 -114 / +4 +106 10/28/2007 8:50PM
    -4 -118 / +4 +110 10/28/2007 8:53PM
    -4 -114 / +4 +106 10/28/2007 9:06PM
    -4.5 -107 / +4.5 -101 10/28/2007 9:19PM
    -4.5 -103 / +4.5 -105 10/28/2007 9:40PM
    -4.5 +101 / +4.5 -109 10/28/2007 9:42PM
    -4.5 +105 / +4.5 -113 10/28/2007 9:43PM
    -4.5 +101 / +4.5 -109 10/28/2007 9:44PM
    
    TOTAL
    o57 -105 /u57 -105 Opener 10/28/2007 8:34PM
    o57 -111 / u57 +101 10/28/2007 8:34PM
    o57 -105 / u57 -105 10/28/2007 8:51PM
    o57 -111 / u57 +101 10/28/2007 9:06PM
    I will try and update this daily

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  • homedawg
    replied
    nep -4.5 total 57:beer2:

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  • EddieP
    replied
    Originally posted by JohnnyMapleLeaf
    I think it's more of a reputation problem in this instance....ah who cares.....GO Skins this Sunday :beerbang:

    Bring Back Mark Rypien
    bite your tongue,,,,,,,,, i want slingin sammy ,sonny jerg or doug williams:thumbs: oh gez i forgot joe thiesman: beerbang: :beerbang: :beerbang:

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  • homedawg
    replied
    Originally posted by JohnnyMapleLeaf
    Surely not the teams you bet on today :beer2:
    surely not the teams I bet against today, either! :drunk:

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  • JohnnyMapleLeaf
    replied
    Originally posted by homedawg
    I just need to know 1 thing: who has the #5 defense in the nfl??????:conf:
    Surely not the teams you bet on today :beer2:

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