Week 16

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  • recovering77
    Public Fader
    • Mar 2007
    • 502

    Week 16

    Was going to do some lessons learned with this post, but it's Christmas and I just came down with something yesterday.

    Last Week System 1: 3-6
    Last Week System 2: 1-2


    Christmas Day - Chase the backups. Double down if first loses. Risky because underdogs covered all 3 games on Thanksgiving. Could be the opposite today.

    Washington +9.5
    Minnesota +7.5



    Rest of the Week:

    Houston ML +105
    Cleveland +3.5 -125 (yuck), Waited too long.

    Adding:
    Indy +6
    NY Giants ML -140 (Raiders are deliberately tanking for draft position, and I've seen this in the past and they actually do it).


    Like:
    San Fran ML -175. It's puzzling that the line hasn't moved with the Bears clinching the division. I guess they're still in play for the 1 seed.



    System 1 (28-19) :
    Houston +1.5 - W
    Indy +6.5 - I'm calling this a push. 6.5 early, then 6 around Friday, then 5.5 Saturday/Sunday morning, then 4.5 very late.
    NY Jets +13.5 - L
    Seattle -7 (this really shouldn't be a system play but whatever) - W
    Arizona +7.5 - L
    NY Giants -1 - W
    Buffalo -1 - L


    System 2 (6-13):
    None.
    Last edited by recovering77; 12-29-2025, 12:03 AM.
    2023
    39-39-2 Plays, 26-25 Leans, System Plays (2-1), Half System Plays (2-4)
    Playoffs 6-4 Plays, 4-1 Leans

    2022
    43-46 Plays, 24-28 Leans, 4-4 System Plays, 2-0 Half System Plays
    Playoffs 8-4 plays, 1-2 leans, 1-0 Half System Plays

    2021
    36-29 Plays, 25-31 leans; Playoffs 3-3 Plays, 0-2 leans

    2020
    18-16-1 Plays, 18-18-1 Leans; Playoffs 6-2 Plays, 0-1 Leans

    2019
    15-8 plays, 7-6 leans, 2-1 Heavy MLs
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