UFC 145: Jones vs Evans

[akatdrake]

Jon Jones vs. Rashad Evans
Rory MacDonald vs. Che Mills
Ben Rothwell vs. Brendan Schaub
Michael McDonald vs. Miguel Torres
Mark Hominick vs. Eddie Yagin
John Alessio vs. Mark Bocek
Travis Browne vs. Chad Griggs
Matt Brown vs. Stephen Thompson
John Makdessi vs. Anthony Njokuani
Mac Danzig vs. Efrain Escudero
Chris Clements vs. Keith Wisniewski
Maximo Blanco vs. Marcus Brimage

First off, I am not touching the main event alone, love Jones and have for a while now - but Evans does have a puncher's chance. In the last couple of Jones' fights, there have been openings and no one could capitalize. That being said, I would take Evans if I could get him at +400 or larger. Right now neither of my books offer anything higher than +325. I was going to be high on Che Mills but his ONLY win is a 45 second demolishing of Chris Cope. Listen fellas, you could knock out Cope, WOOOO! I do like Schaub but am worried about his chin vs a guy who can take a punch. Seems like he gets KTFO or KTFOs. Like Michael McDonald vs Torres, classic up and comer versus a once-dominant vet. Allesio missed weight and Bocek was already going to wrestle-fu3k him. Travis Browne vs Chad Griggs seems to be the easiest fight out there. Browne has been dominant and under the radar lately, and Griggs is just a can, definitely on a different level.

[akatdrake]

Plays:

Maximo Blanco/Anthony Njokuani -101

Michael McDonald +100 - late movement has this going in Torres's favor, but I like the younger kid to receive the torch.

Jones/Evans o2.5 +120

Each for one unit

[akatdrake]

Went against my rule of betting on fighters I haven't seen live before. Stupid hype for Maximo Blanco. He looked tentative the entire fight, not wanting to push the pace. Oh well. Njokuani looked great, and had thought about parlaying him with Travis Browne but didn't pull the trigger. Michael McDonald did what I thought he would, and same for the main event even though it was a stinker.

Now that Dan Henderson gets Jon Jones, I'll definitely be on Hendo if it's around +300 and will be on the unders if it less than 2.5 -150.