UFL Week 7

[RBD]

Record: 4-6

Down two units, I'd like to get at least one of them back this week.
Going to keep it simple and stick to the original plan - Fade the consensus on sides.

Tonight we have DC at San Antonio.
The Defenders got beat last week by Michigan, 38-24.
San Antonio was even worse, getting crushed by Birmingham 26-3.

Tonight's poll:
DC 7, SA 2
Ov 4, Un 1

Five more touts on DC than SA. When there's a differential of two or more on sides the record is 5-12 ATS on the team that got the higher number of picks.

I'll take the points in this one, especially since our sponsor Bovada is offering a generous +8' (1 point to 1' better than other houses.)

For totals, when two or more pick the same side the record is 12-7.
That record, plus a game between the two worst defenses in the league (DC gives up 22 ppg, SA gives up 26 PPG) has me buying the Over.


SA +8'
Ov 38

[RBD]

Recap: 2-0
Record: 6-6

Review: Picked up a couple W's using stats from my polls.
From yesterday:

"When there's a differential of two or more on sides the record is 5-12 ATS on the team that got the higher number of picks.

For totals, when two or more pick the same side the record is 12-7."


Didn't do a good job on buying the number, I got +8', it closed at +10.
Got lucky, the bad buy didn't hurt me as SA lost by 8 points.
SIid in by the hook.

Coming in to play yesterday I was two games under .500 and my goal was to pick up at least one of those two units this weekend. Got both, so I'm in a good position going into Saturday and Sunday.

Same as yesterday, I'm sticking with using my own stats derived from the polls. After yesterday's game I have a 5-13 ATS record when there's a differential of two or more on the sides. That's a solid Fade.
For totals with a differential of two or more the record is 13-7.

Here's today's poll:
Mich 4, Arl 1
Ov 3, Un 4

The reason there are only five picks on the side is that a couple of the guys I poll picked Michigan -3 which makes it a Push.

I'm going to wait to buy this one because all of the -3's have 20 to 30 cents extra juice on them, 3 hours to game time might be able to get +3' or 4 with the Dog.



My play:
Arl +3

[RBD]

Recap: 1-0
Record: 7-6

Review: It wasn't easy, a lot of lead changes, not to mention a horrendous display of stupidity on steroids from Arlington head coach Bob Stoops, but in the end I slid by with a W.

I entered this week two games under .500, with the stated goal of getting at least one of those games back.
With a 3-0 week I'm now one game above .500.
My goal was met and surpassed.
So, on the 7th day he rested.
I'm locking up the three units to keep me on the black side of the ledger.

In case anyone's interested here are the polls I have for today.

Hou 3, Birmingham 6
Ov 1, Un 5

St L 7, Mem 3
Ov 2, Un 4


Including Friday and Saturday's games, when there's a differential of two or more on sides the record is 5-14 ATS on the team that got the higher number of picks.
For totals, when two or more pick the same side the record is 13-7.

There's some good stuff to work with there for today's games if anyone's looking for factors to add into their handicapping.

Good luck with your plays...