MM's CFL Week 5

[Meestermike]

Laid off the 1st 2 games this week as teams involved were struggling ~ EDM & MON and then major personnel changes in the CGY @ WIN game last night. Still, both games went well over their totals.

Tonite's game is an interesting M-up in numerous capacities... ATS records, O\U records, W\L records this season and in the past; where to start hmm?

The Roughriders are

2-10 OU since Oct 31, 2009 after a win as a home fav,
2-11 OU since Nov 22, 2009 after just a win;
3-12 since Oct 31 2009 after a win as just a fav.
1-7 ATS since Aug 28, 2010 as a favorite after a game as a HM fav;
1-8 ATS since Aug 28, 2010 as a favorite after a game at home

and most other historical ATS results are similar for SAS.

On the other hand HAM has many positives going into tonite...
The Tiger Cats are

9-2-1 ATS since Aug 07, 2008 as a home dog after a game as a road 'dog;
11-3-1 ATS since Oct 26, 2007 as a home 'dog after a loss;
14-4-1 ATS since Oct 26, 2007 as a home 'dog;
16-4-1 ATS since Aug 07, 2008 as a dog after a road game;

but the major # against them is... they are 0-5 ATS since Nov 01, 2012... their L-5 games ~ ouch !!!

With this in mind and the lack of movement in the spread and total on this game...

My home 'dog upset plays for a unit each are:
HAM +4 1.96
HAM 2.60 ml
and
Over 55½ 1.94