78-63-2: +20.2
OLE MISS at lsu = it bothers me that i havent capitalized on the terribleness of lsu this year, but may get a chance here, i really have no idea how high this line will be. 7 or less is worth a shot.
This lsu team is just awful. their 4th leading scorer averages less than 5 ppgs.
they rely on 3 players for most of the scoring, and one of those is bo spencer, their only big scoring threat from the guard position who is shooting 33% on the year and 27% from 3. tas mitchell is a really solid player, and they are pretty solid inside with storm warren, they combine for 18 boards a game, but there isnt too much else impressive about this team. they are just so weak on the perimeter, ole miss is a tough team to figure out, but they should have too much offense for lsu to keep up with.
MARSHALL vs. uab= marshall had played a bunch of nobody's for the most part prior to the west virg game, but they did at least take them down to the wire. i think they win at least one of these 2 tough home games (vs memph next), i still think uab is a little overrated as they havent played the toughest schedule either and this will be a tough road game for them. if marshall loses ill take them vs memphis, gotta think the great start can at least culminate in a home split here.
DENVER vs. South alabama= back denver at home, fade them on the road. thats how it was last year and how it is this year so far. they've won 11 straight at home, 6 str8 on the road. the extra travel and the altitude is tough on the sun belt athletes it seems. a much better south bama team lost at denver last year to a not as good denver team.
not sure what line we get here but hopefully relatively low.
DUQUESNE vs. st bonnies= spoke on this game in another thread, tihnk duquese gets on track here.
NORTHWESTERN vs. illinois= revenge spot for northwestern, i was hoping illinois would be coming off a win over purdue but they really just arent that good right now. i think theyll struggle on the road here.
PURDUE vs. michigan
VANDERBILT vs. AUBURN: OVER= auburn allowed lsu to reach 80 points which has only happened two other times all year. vandy has a great shot to get to 90 here, they hung 95 on florida and auburn is top 30 in tempo, shouold get a lot of possessions. may lay chalk here as well
TEXAS at uconn= i initially loved texas in this spot, but im still trying to figure out how confident i am in them. they havent given too much reason to believe in them the way they played last handful of games. i cant see uconn being able to hang in there for 40 minues, but it wouldnt surprise me to see them trailing at halftime like they usually are.
