Kid's Ball Wednesday 3/12

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  • RBD
    Predictem Feature Writer
    • Aug 2024
    • 439

    Kid's Ball Wednesday 3/12

    Recap: 2-1
    Record: 25-21

    Review: I posted all four plays that qualified for the A vs B system.
    I hit two of the first three so I didn't play the fourth one.
    Of course in hindsight it's easy to say that was a mistake as that game also stayed Under, but the real mistake was in that if you look at yesterday's post I noted that the Gonzaga game graded out the strongest and I forgot that when I stayed off it.
    And it stayed under by more than 40 points!!!

    Anyway...
    This post will be put together in pieces as I keep adding to it.
    Right now I want to get it submitted in case anyone's looking for action on the game that's about to start in about 10 minutes.
    Rich/David fits A vs B BUT both agree this game goes Over.
    The record when they agree is 3-2.

    I'm not on it just thought I'd share that in case anyone was looking for angles on the game. I'll be back with the games that qualify today and a correction on last night's play.

    Okay I'm back. First up the correction from last night.
    Look at this picture from my logbook (I think you have to be a registered member to see pictures so if you can't see it sign up!)
    Okay, can't remember how I uploaded pictures.
    But if you could see the picture you would see that next to three of four games from yesterday you'll see the letter "D."
    That means A and B disagree on which way the total will go.
    If you look next to the Youngstown/Robert Morris play you'll see the letter A. They both agreed the game would go Over.
    In other words, the game didn't qualify, and my mistake cost me a loss because I bought it.

    The updated correct record for when A and B disagree on an Over is now 1-11.
    When they agree the record is 3-2.

    Here are the games that qualify today when B says Over and A says Under:
    Col/W Virg 12 pm
    A Force/UNLV 4 pm
    S Hall/Vill 6 pm

    While they qualify none of them grade out as strong plays, the point differentials are 3, 2', 2'.
    Still, at 1-11 I have to play something. Because the times are staggered (not all being played at the same time) I'm going to see if I can bank something on the early game before I make a decision on the later two.

    There are also two games where both systems say take the Over, Rich/David as noted above, and Virg/G Tech.
    The record on these is 3-2.

    My Play:
    Col/W Virg Un 128

    Correction: Point differentials above are incorrect (hey, cut me a break, this method is new to me too and I'm doing a lot of stat work and number crunching!)
    Spots with a differential of 18 or > are 0-3, or a 3-0 Fade.
    The strongest spot today is N West/Min at 18 (Yes, Minnesota is not listed with the three games noted above. See post number 3, below.)
    Last edited by RBD; 03-12-2025, 11:58 AM.
  • RBD
    Predictem Feature Writer
    • Aug 2024
    • 439

    #2

    Photo of yesterday's page from my log book.

    Comment

    • RBD
      Predictem Feature Writer
      • Aug 2024
      • 439

      #3
      The reply above contains the photo from my logbook that I mentioned in the opening post.
      I think you have to be a logged in registered member to be able to see the photo.

      Update: I left off the Northwestern/Minnesota game when listing the spots that qualify for A vs B Disagree.
      Point differential in that one of 18 points.

      Today's plays:
      Col/W Virg Un 128
      N West/Min Un 127'

      ​Update: Got a split on the above two plays. I see the next two as a split also so I'm going to save juice and just take the rest of the day off.
      Last edited by RBD; 03-12-2025, 05:01 PM.

      Comment

      • RBD
        Predictem Feature Writer
        • Aug 2024
        • 439

        #4
        Bad move Iaying off the later two games thinking they split.
        Both plays won. The play I'm highlighting goes 3-1 and I come away with just a 1-1 day.
        That's two nights in a row I laid off the later games and missed an opportunity to bank some units.

        Only two games qualify today. I played them both.
        Details in today's homepage article.
        ​​

        ​​​​
        Last edited by RBD; 03-13-2025, 11:30 AM.

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