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It’s time to dance.
The Big Dance.
Which teams will be Fred Astaire,
which teams will be Elaine Benes?
(Links to both are in the reply below. The Elaine dance is funny but painful. If you haven't seen Fred and Rita choreographed to Mazzy Stars 'Fade Into You' do yourself a big favor and check it out. It's beauty, it's art. It's perfection.)
I have three A vs B spots today.
Record and play details are in my homepage article.
I used one of the three in my article.
The other two are:
S Ill-Ed/Hou Un
Drake/Mizoo Un
The homepage pick had the largest differential, also qualifying for the subcategory "Differential of 18 or >." (record in the homepage article.)
As I've said, if you've been riding along with these and have already banked a few units you may as well pick and choose a spot or two to buy today.
But, as noted, if you haven't played any of them yet, be careful - if jumping on already established streaks was a winning strategy 98% of sports bettors wouldn't lose at this game because that's what many of them do - they look for a trend that's hot or handicapper that's hot and they jump on the already established streak.
21-3 is ripe for a visit from reversion toward the mean (and if you don't know what "reversion toward the mean" means then look it up before you make another bet. It's crucial info for sports bettors to have.)
I've got nothing on the opening games but I have a spot for the 12:00 McNeese St/Clemson game.
My model for identifying Wrong Favorites, WF1, says McNeese State should be the favorite in this game.
During the season this play was worthless at 124-130.
No value in playing ON them or Fading them.
But in the postseason it's 11-5 so, today, "You wouldn't know by looking at me, I am a Cowboy my friend."
Right now the number on the Cowboys is +7'.
I'm going to wait to buy it a little while, hoping that Joe Public will jump on the favorite as he tends to do.
Worse comes to worse and the number starts to drop I can always grab a +7.
I'll be back before tip off with the number I get.
GOOD LUCK to all of you in the Madness.
Update #2: Lost the hook by waiting to buy McNeese St.
Between the Houston and Drake "posted as qualifying plays" mistake, and buying the Houston game, and now making the wrong move by waiting on this game trying to get a better line, I'm not off to a good start in the tournaments.
My Play:
McNeese St +7
Update #1: Still monitoring the McNeese number, no buy yet.
I'll post the number here when I buy it.
Also, adding a play.
I have to take the first A vs B spot.
I've already banked a few units, and it's been red hot so how can I not?
Ride that horse until it bucks you.
My plays:
McNeese St (wait to buy)
S Ill-Ed/Hou Un 127 (correction, left the hook off; Un 127')
Update #3: I forgot to add recap and record at the top of the post.
(not including today's games)
Recap: Got a push on SMU last night Record: 27-22.
The Big Dance.
Which teams will be Fred Astaire,
which teams will be Elaine Benes?
(Links to both are in the reply below. The Elaine dance is funny but painful. If you haven't seen Fred and Rita choreographed to Mazzy Stars 'Fade Into You' do yourself a big favor and check it out. It's beauty, it's art. It's perfection.)
I have three A vs B spots today.
Record and play details are in my homepage article.
I used one of the three in my article.
The other two are:
S Ill-Ed/Hou Un
Drake/Mizoo Un
The homepage pick had the largest differential, also qualifying for the subcategory "Differential of 18 or >." (record in the homepage article.)
As I've said, if you've been riding along with these and have already banked a few units you may as well pick and choose a spot or two to buy today.
But, as noted, if you haven't played any of them yet, be careful - if jumping on already established streaks was a winning strategy 98% of sports bettors wouldn't lose at this game because that's what many of them do - they look for a trend that's hot or handicapper that's hot and they jump on the already established streak.
21-3 is ripe for a visit from reversion toward the mean (and if you don't know what "reversion toward the mean" means then look it up before you make another bet. It's crucial info for sports bettors to have.)
I've got nothing on the opening games but I have a spot for the 12:00 McNeese St/Clemson game.
My model for identifying Wrong Favorites, WF1, says McNeese State should be the favorite in this game.
During the season this play was worthless at 124-130.
No value in playing ON them or Fading them.
But in the postseason it's 11-5 so, today, "You wouldn't know by looking at me, I am a Cowboy my friend."
Right now the number on the Cowboys is +7'.
I'm going to wait to buy it a little while, hoping that Joe Public will jump on the favorite as he tends to do.
Worse comes to worse and the number starts to drop I can always grab a +7.
I'll be back before tip off with the number I get.
GOOD LUCK to all of you in the Madness.
Update #2: Lost the hook by waiting to buy McNeese St.
Between the Houston and Drake "posted as qualifying plays" mistake, and buying the Houston game, and now making the wrong move by waiting on this game trying to get a better line, I'm not off to a good start in the tournaments.
My Play:
McNeese St +7
Update #1: Still monitoring the McNeese number, no buy yet.
I'll post the number here when I buy it.
Also, adding a play.
I have to take the first A vs B spot.
I've already banked a few units, and it's been red hot so how can I not?
Ride that horse until it bucks you.
My plays:
McNeese St (wait to buy)
S Ill-Ed/Hou Un 127 (correction, left the hook off; Un 127')
Update #3: I forgot to add recap and record at the top of the post.
(not including today's games)
Recap: Got a push on SMU last night Record: 27-22.
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