Friday with the Kids 11/7

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  • RBD
    Predictem Feature Writer
    • Aug 2024
    • 439

    Friday with the Kids 11/7

    Recap: 1-2-1
    Record: 4-4

    Review: Dropped one unit Wednesday night, but it was a night of missed opportunity.
    I didn't 'cap early enough, bought my games late, resulting in a Push and a loss by the hook in what could have been two W's.


    Database looks weird. I'm using two models for totals, and 99% of the games that are qualifying are Unders.

    T1 is 4-2 overall, 0-1 on Overs, 3-1 on Unders.
    T2 is 6-2, all Unders.

    Despite the small data sample, I've had three games where both models had the same play.
    And the record is 3-0.

    After three days of play I've had three matches between the two models, and today I have three in one day.

    So I've got both models with a profit on Unders AND a subcategory with game matches that has a record of 3-0.

    I'm buying all three games that match and hoping I can get on a streak before it starts.


    My plays:

    'Bama St/Fla St Un
    Wait; opened 162', rising, now at 164'

    Update: 164' starting to disappear; bought 164'

    Utah St/VCU Un 162'
    This game open at 157'. There are a few houses at 163 but 162' is at more shops, that's what I'll use here.
    I bought it now before the Buy Backs start
    (My first college basketball article will be up next week and we'll have some information on the numbers I get and the numbers I use.)

    Miss Val/Murray St Un 160
    This one opened at 153' and has been on a steady rise.
    One of our sponsors, as well as a few other books, has 160 right now. Again, grabbing the number before a Buy Back starts.

    Update: One of our sponsors is now the ONLY book that has 160.
    I don't recommend games with lines most readers can't get.
    I'll use 159' for this play.
    Last edited by RBD; 11-07-2025, 04:02 PM.
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