mon

[TheBeholdah]

well guys, obviously my thoughts are pretty worthless at this juncture, but I will keep trying, its a new week, perhaps I make progress this week. Teams like Drexel that have inexplicably regressed have really hurt me this year.

I feel I have this game capped pretty well, doubt it turns out that way. I'm like 2-11 or sumthing rediculous on games involving a team from Cali...

2.2 /2

Davis vs. E Wash: Over 151

First 2 unit total of season

Should be at least 70 possessions in this game, both teams play pretty uptempo, 37th and 76th.

These teams are mirror images of eachother it seems:

Offensive efficiency rankings: E Wash: 203 Davis : 209
Defensive efficiency rankings: E Wash: 305 Davis: 309


It's those bottom 300 defensive rankings that intrigue me. Though both have pretty much below avg offenses, I would think those numbers improve tonight facing weak defenses.

This is how these teams have fared vs teams with similarly weak defense:

E Wash

vs.. Utah Valley (316) - scored 83
vs. CSUN (244) scored 79
vs. SC Upstate (237) - scored 75

UC Davis

vs. No Arizona (292) - scored 82
vs. Sac St (307) - scored 87


Seems pretty reasonable to me that w/ these team's pretty evenly matched we get some late game fouling, and the loser of this game should manage to get in the 70's

[TheBeholdah]

worth noting that though e wash hasnt been competitive on the road thus far, those games were at st mary's, csun, wazzou and santa clara. Should compete far better @ davis, who is 1-6 and sucks at defense, so I dont think the road will hurt their offense as much

[TheBeholdah]

won by 1 point, man I'll take it.. clearly I didnt think the loser would be stuck in the mid 60's and thought the game would be more competitive. East Washington is absolute dogcrap and way too dependant on the 3 pointer, I'd be shocked if they find any road success at all this year given the way they are solely dependant on 3's it seems. Just glad this play cashed.