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2 teams to fade this year

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  • 2 teams to fade this year

    I've done some research and also come up in agreement with a few friends that these 2 teams the public will bet heavy on, as usual.

    Notre Dame: Every week there are more than a billion people betting—financially or morally—on the biggest public favorite of them all.

    Last season, despite a dissolving coaching situation and a Week-2 loss to a mediocre-at-best Michigan team, Notre Dame ended up being favored in nine games. Charlie Weis’ last team featured a defense that allowed nearly 400 yards a game and ended up going 1-8 against the spread as a favorite. Even this year, money has been pouring on the Irish to win it all.

    “I actually just dropped them from 40-to-1 to 35-to-1,” Bodog.com sports book manager Richard Gardner said.

    How in the world can someone put money on Notre Dame this season? Where’s the divine intervention when you need it? When it comes to being a public favorite, Notre Dame is King Kong, every year.


    Nebraska Cornhuskers: There are nearly 1.8 million people in Nebraska. They all love the Cornhuskers, especially this year. More than 77,000 fans piled into Memorial Stadium for the Cornhuskers’ third spring game under coach Bo Pelini.

    It doesn’t seem to matter that they and are facing the task of replacing Ndamukong Suh, one of the most dominating players college football has seen in a long time. Suh led the Huskers’ in tackles from his defensive tackle position. And no one seems to care that quarterback Zac Lee threw 10 interceptions last season, including three against Texas in the Big 12 Championship Game. The Big 12 media picked the Huskers to win the conference. They’re No. 9 in the Coaches’ Preseason Poll.

    This is the same team that lost 9-7 to Iowa State at home last year. Yet, in Las Vegas, MGM Mirage sportsbook manager Jeff Stoneback says money is coming in fast on furious on the Huskers to win over 9.5 games this year.

    I am also leaning to fade the public on Boise and Ohio St. Still researching those two.

    Looking forward to hearing from all you guys again!! Can someone please lose my Cav avatar please!!?? Possible Brutus avatar??Thanks!!
    NCAAF '12: 11-16-0, -7.90 units.
    O/U:4-2, +1.80 units.
    Teasers:
    Rothstein's leans:
    Double Digit Home Dogs:9-7-1, +1.30 units.
    ________________
    NCAAB Tourney '12: 18-22-0, -2.50 units.
    O/U: 7-8, -1.70 units.
    ________________
    NCAAB '11-'12: 128-123-0, -10.80 units.
    O/U: 46-38, +2.80 units.
    Rothstein's "leans":
    Double Digit Home Dogs: 36-20-3, +13.10 units.

  • #2
    I agree that Ohio State will make a good fade.

    Boise State is an enigma man. I've watched a ton of their games and sometimes I actually believe the farse that they're playing to cover those fat spreads LOL.

    I've seen them line up and push in touchdowns up a ton of points with little time left. They don't play to win, they play to kill! lol

    Comment


    • #3
      Putting my 2 cents in... IMO i think your better off to fade TCU than Boise State...
      NCAAF YTD
      Overall

      67-46-2 +41.08 units

      Comment


      • #4
        Boise 17-8 last 2 years ATS. Only games I would fade them on is later in the year when there over favored on the road. They should beat and cover vs VT IMO.
        I have a theory that the truth is never told during the nine-to-five hours.
        Hunter S. Thompson
        Jackets win one for my beloved only brother Charles Barent one of you're biggest fans. Miss you forever BIGS

        Comment


        • #5
          Nicky,
          I hope all is well!!!

          Go Boilers (+11)

          Best of luck this year!:thumbs:

          Comment


          • #6
            Same to you IM!! Looking for another prosperous year.:beerbang:
            NCAAF '12: 11-16-0, -7.90 units.
            O/U:4-2, +1.80 units.
            Teasers:
            Rothstein's leans:
            Double Digit Home Dogs:9-7-1, +1.30 units.
            ________________
            NCAAB Tourney '12: 18-22-0, -2.50 units.
            O/U: 7-8, -1.70 units.
            ________________
            NCAAB '11-'12: 128-123-0, -10.80 units.
            O/U: 46-38, +2.80 units.
            Rothstein's "leans":
            Double Digit Home Dogs: 36-20-3, +13.10 units.

            Comment


            • #7
              Fade

              THE FLORIDA GATORS and fade PENN ST

              both lost really good qb's and both have tough schedules
              Keep em in the hole, Down in the hole

              NCAA STR PLAYS YTD
              (5-6) -1.5

              NCAA 3 PICKS PARLAYS YTD
              (1-1) +1 unit

              NCAA ML STR PLAYS YTD
              (0-2) -1 unit

              NBA STR PLAYS YTD
              (2-0) +2.5 units

              Comment


              • #8
                Originally posted by irishmike View Post
                Nicky,
                I hope all is well!!!

                Go Boilers (+11)

                Best of luck this year!:thumbs:
                :beerbang::beerbang:
                Go Boilers!
                thru 2/3

                NCAAF ’20 215-187-5 +75.19
                NCAAF ’21 200-169-7 +37.80
                NCAAF '22 239-216-14 +24.41

                NFL ’20 128-110-8 +50.21
                NFL ’21 94-102-3 -15.37
                NFL '22 186-165-9 +54.63

                NCAAB ’21-22 908-771-42 +196.07
                NCAAB '22-23 510-488-9 -43.13

                NHL '20-21 171-154-2 +42.97
                NHL ’21-22 223-241-5 -65.79
                NHL '22-23 153-149-3 -21.97

                NBA ’20-21 241-223-7 +11.97
                NBA ’21-22 282-266-6 -1.93
                NBA '22-23 225-246-9 -94.88

                Comment


                • #9
                  Agree wholeheartedly on Nebraska. You could see the overratedness coming a mile away after pounding Arizona. Pelini has done an excellent job and they are a legit top 25, but they still suck at the skill positions.

                  My book has them over under 10 +120/-140. Their schedule is pretty soft though, and they may be favored across the board. Nonconf includes Western Kentucky, Idaho, and South Dakota St. Trap games at Washington and A&M late, but I'd probably say they win 9 minimum this year.

                  Comment

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