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An astute take on Friday's Utah/Washington Pac 12 Game

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  • An astute take on Friday's Utah/Washington Pac 12 Game

    Courtesy of John Rothschild, a pretty good handicapper I know.

    The Utah Utes vs the Washington Huskies
    2018 PAC 12 Championship-Levi's Stadium in Santa Clara, CA
    (Friday, November 30th at 8:00 PM)

    So... Washington beats Utah earlier in they year by 14 points.
    Utah's top running back and starting quarterback are injured
    and, Washington won last week as an underdog against a ranked rival

    So... shouldn't the lines makers have made the Huskies double digit favorites?
    But..they only opened at -4, and the often mistaken public has bet them up to -5.

    Maybe the lines makers were right, and wanted the public to take Washington.

    Both are well coached with as many returning starters as any team in college football.
    Both have good defenses.
    Both have almost identical turnover margins.

    This could be a low scoring game making it difficult to give one side 5.5 points.
    A little support:
    1) Washington's quarterback, Jake Browning, has been considered a high draft choice.
    I'm not so sure. He has a lack of arm strength, and made a few too many bad decisions.
    His numbers from 2016 far exceed those in successive seasons.

    2) Washington may have gotten lucky last week beating Washington State.
    The Cougars are a throw first football team, which proved difficult for
    a southern quarterback in a snow storm.
    Washington State was the highest ranked passing team in the country.

    3) This is not a home game for the Huskies.

    4) Utah may have a nice defensive game.
    Although losing, they held Browning to 138 yards in their last match-up.

    5) Utah has better special teams.
    Washington's kicker has only converted once long, and that was 41 yards.
    Utah's kicker, Matt Gay, should get a chance in the NFL.

    6) The Ute's game plan has changed a little since the injury to QB Huntley.
    Their new QB, Jason Shelley, is even more productive on the ground.
    The backup running backs have played well.

    Washington can easily win the game, but it should be close.
    I like the Utah Utes +5.5

  • #2
    good read ..thanks Kevin
    Ya gotta look out for #1 or your gonna step in #2
    -Rodney Dangerfield

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