Looking over my notes from last year I spotted a play.
Over the first 5 weeks it was good for a 67% Fade.
It's based on a percentage play for Favorites that will cover, no dogs.
Call me crazy but I'm playing every one of them in week one.
l usually use two bet sizes, investment plays (big $) and TV plays (small $, games I bet solely because I'll be watching and I want action on it.) This year I'm adding a third, System Spots (mid level $ bet.)
Yes, I advocate not varying your unit sizes (because I see nonsense like 1*, 5*, 10*, 20*!) but the fact of the matter is most sports bettors have plays that they like and then they have plays they bet just because they're on TV and they want to have a rooting interest.
So you should have at least those two different betting sizes, one for games you like and have strong numbers in your favor, and one with smaller units for TV/action plays.
As if I don't already have too many numbers/models/different sports to track, I'm adding this third unit size category because I'm not going to make investment size bets on this many games, and I want a little bit more than just TV action small $ because I do have some numbers/stats behind the spots.
Aside from the bets listed below I also have a couple other plays (one side and four totals) you can find in my write-up/analysis in the homepage columns, some already posted, some will be up soon.
Week one, SS plays:
Thursday, 8/28
Wyoming -7
Rutgers -14'
Wisconsin -17'
Saturday, 8/30
Purdue -17
Indiana -22'
Virginia -12
Arizona -13'
Washington -19'
Kentucky -7
Georgia -39'
Texas A& M -22
Michigan -36'
Oregon State -3
NOT something I would do if I was in the red, or if it was late in the season, but even if I lose a few units I've got all season long to get it back. I've been in a "You only live once" mood all week and have been resisting going crazy with my bets thus far, but I'm going for it to start off this college football year (a possible side effect of months and months of just NBA, WNBA and UFL betting.)
I'm either going to dig a hole right out of the starting gate or bank a few units as a foundation to start the season.
Either way, it will be FUN.
I'll have a LOT of action that will result in either the challenge of a hole to have to dig out of or an increase in my bankroll, and the satisfaction of possibly uncovering another handicapping model to use going forward.
Good luck to all of you this college football season!
Over the first 5 weeks it was good for a 67% Fade.
It's based on a percentage play for Favorites that will cover, no dogs.
Call me crazy but I'm playing every one of them in week one.
l usually use two bet sizes, investment plays (big $) and TV plays (small $, games I bet solely because I'll be watching and I want action on it.) This year I'm adding a third, System Spots (mid level $ bet.)
Yes, I advocate not varying your unit sizes (because I see nonsense like 1*, 5*, 10*, 20*!) but the fact of the matter is most sports bettors have plays that they like and then they have plays they bet just because they're on TV and they want to have a rooting interest.
So you should have at least those two different betting sizes, one for games you like and have strong numbers in your favor, and one with smaller units for TV/action plays.
As if I don't already have too many numbers/models/different sports to track, I'm adding this third unit size category because I'm not going to make investment size bets on this many games, and I want a little bit more than just TV action small $ because I do have some numbers/stats behind the spots.
Aside from the bets listed below I also have a couple other plays (one side and four totals) you can find in my write-up/analysis in the homepage columns, some already posted, some will be up soon.
Week one, SS plays:
Thursday, 8/28
Wyoming -7
Rutgers -14'
Wisconsin -17'
Saturday, 8/30
Purdue -17
Indiana -22'
Virginia -12
Arizona -13'
Washington -19'
Kentucky -7
Georgia -39'
Texas A& M -22
Michigan -36'
Oregon State -3
NOT something I would do if I was in the red, or if it was late in the season, but even if I lose a few units I've got all season long to get it back. I've been in a "You only live once" mood all week and have been resisting going crazy with my bets thus far, but I'm going for it to start off this college football year (a possible side effect of months and months of just NBA, WNBA and UFL betting.)
I'm either going to dig a hole right out of the starting gate or bank a few units as a foundation to start the season.
Either way, it will be FUN.
I'll have a LOT of action that will result in either the challenge of a hole to have to dig out of or an increase in my bankroll, and the satisfaction of possibly uncovering another handicapping model to use going forward.
Good luck to all of you this college football season!

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