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Recap: 3-3
Record: 18-14
Review:
Scored W's with Overs on Akron, Purdue, and Ohio State.
Took L's with the Over on Georgia, Arizona, and Sam Houston.
I had 21 points in the first 10 minutes of that Az game (14 of them from the Bearcats), a great pace for the Over, but ended up 2 points short as Cincinnati sat on those 14 points for most of the game.
I have a spot tonight in the Mia Oh/Buf game.
NOT SURE if I'll play it or not, just sharing some facts while I dig deeper.
WF1 says Miami Oh should be the Favorite.
And the public agrees because the line has flip-flopped, and the Red Hens (Mud Hens? Red Birds? Cut me a break, I'm getting old) are now the Favs.
I don't have stats on the ATS record of teams that opened as the Dog and closed as the Fav (and yes, I should; I'll try to make time to research it today and get back with what I find.)
I don't know how the flip flop will affect this spot.
WF1 is 20-32 on the season, a flat, worthless 8-8 on Hm teams, but a very profitable 12-24, 67% Fade on Rd teams, like Miami Oh tonight.
Not really enamored with putting my money on Buffalo (Enamored??!! What kind of word is that to use in a sports piece??!!) after watching them get their asses kicked by the Chippewas last week, who doubled up Buffalo's score 38-19.
One of the good parts about it being late in the season is I have a lot of data to look back on,band can check Team Specific records within the models I use.
Mia Oh has not been in the WF1 model yet.
Buffalo has, as the team to play ON, like tonight.
They lost, 0-1.
Another reason to stay off the Bills (yeah, yeah, I know) in this one.
I'll do some work on Flip Flop Favs and get back later.
Right now, no buy.
Okay, no update coming on the record of teams who opened as the Dog and closed as the Fav. I thought I had a site that listed the opening and closing lines without having to open multiple windows to see line movements but, no.
TOO much work, too-time consuming.
Record: 18-14
Review:
Scored W's with Overs on Akron, Purdue, and Ohio State.
Took L's with the Over on Georgia, Arizona, and Sam Houston.
I had 21 points in the first 10 minutes of that Az game (14 of them from the Bearcats), a great pace for the Over, but ended up 2 points short as Cincinnati sat on those 14 points for most of the game.
I have a spot tonight in the Mia Oh/Buf game.
NOT SURE if I'll play it or not, just sharing some facts while I dig deeper.
WF1 says Miami Oh should be the Favorite.
And the public agrees because the line has flip-flopped, and the Red Hens (Mud Hens? Red Birds? Cut me a break, I'm getting old) are now the Favs.
I don't have stats on the ATS record of teams that opened as the Dog and closed as the Fav (and yes, I should; I'll try to make time to research it today and get back with what I find.)
I don't know how the flip flop will affect this spot.
WF1 is 20-32 on the season, a flat, worthless 8-8 on Hm teams, but a very profitable 12-24, 67% Fade on Rd teams, like Miami Oh tonight.
Not really enamored with putting my money on Buffalo (Enamored??!! What kind of word is that to use in a sports piece??!!) after watching them get their asses kicked by the Chippewas last week, who doubled up Buffalo's score 38-19.
One of the good parts about it being late in the season is I have a lot of data to look back on,band can check Team Specific records within the models I use.
Mia Oh has not been in the WF1 model yet.
Buffalo has, as the team to play ON, like tonight.
They lost, 0-1.
Another reason to stay off the Bills (yeah, yeah, I know) in this one.
I'll do some work on Flip Flop Favs and get back later.
Right now, no buy.
Okay, no update coming on the record of teams who opened as the Dog and closed as the Fav. I thought I had a site that listed the opening and closing lines without having to open multiple windows to see line movements but, no.
TOO much work, too-time consuming.
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