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***The Knuckleballers 2012-2013 College Football Thread***

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  • ***The Knuckleballers 2012-2013 College Football Thread***

    Overall Record (0-0-0) 0 Units
    *****5 Unit Picks***** (0-0) 0 Units
    ****4 Unit Picks**** (0-0) 0 Units
    ***3 Unit Picks*** (0-0) 0 Units
    **2 Unit Picks** (0-0) 0 Unit
    *1 Unit Picks* (0-0) 0 Units

    Total Unit Based Record (0-0-0) 0 Units
    Risk Adj. Winning % (0.00%)

    College football kicks off tonight! Week 1 of college football is always fun to watch, because everyone has a "chance" to succeed. As usual, I have tweaked my system, and I am ready to bounce back from a terrible 2011-2012 college football season. Should be a lot of fun. Feedback is welcome, and I look forward to interacting as the season progresses. Good luck! Below are tonight's picks:

    **2 Unit Picks**
    Vanderbilt +6.5

    *1 Unit Pick*
    Washington State +12

  • #2
    On both of those....GL Knuckler!:beerbang:
    Batman: "If you can't spend it, money's just a lot of worthless paper, isn't it?" :phew:

    Comment


    • #3
      Week 1 College Football Continued

      Overall Record (1-1-0) .9 Units
      *****5 Unit Picks***** (0-0) 0 Units
      ****4 Unit Picks**** (0-0) 0 Units
      ***3 Unit Picks*** (0-0) 0 Units
      **2 Unit Picks** (1-0) 2 Unit
      *1 Unit Picks* (0-1) -1.1 Units

      Total Unit Based Record (2-1.1-0) .9 Units
      Risk Adj. Winning % (64.52%)


      Always good to start in the season in the black. After watching much of the Washington State game last night, I would expect to see some value in their upcoming lines. This is a team that is much better than they played last night, and they have a coach that will not settle for 224 yards of total offense on a weekly basis. Just a thought. As for tonight and the remainder of the weekend, my picks are posted below. Time permitting, I will likely have some writeups coming later today or early tomorrow morning.

      ****4 Unit Pick****
      Boise State +6.5 (Upset Alert)

      ***3 Unit Picks***
      Navy +15
      Southern Methodist +9

      **2 Unit Pick**
      Colorado State +6.5 (Upset Alert)

      *1 Unit Picks*
      Boise State ML +230
      Colorado State ML +205
      Kentucky +13
      Georgia Tech +7.5

      Comment


      • #4
        Week 2 College Football Picks

        Overall Record (5-5-0) 1.25 Units
        *****5 Unit Picks***** (0-0) 0 Units
        ****4 Unit Picks**** (1-0) 4 Units
        ***3 Unit Picks*** (0-2) -6.6 Units
        **2 Unit Picks** (2-0) 4 Unit
        *1 Unit Picks* (2-3) -.15 Units

        Total Unit Based Record (11.15-9.9-0) 1.25 Units
        Risk Adj. Winning % (52.97%)


        Not a terrible start to the College Football season. We are in the black heading into Week 2. This week's card doesn't present a ton of opportunities, but I am looking for it to be a successful week. Tonight, I have just one 2 Unit pick on tap. My system has Utah State losing this game by less than a field goal. Good luck and tomorrow's picks will be posted this evening!

        **2 Unit Pick**
        Utah State +7

        Comment


        • #5
          Week 2 College Football Picks Continued

          Overall Record (6-5-0) 3.25 Units
          *****5 Unit Picks***** (0-0) 0 Units
          ****4 Unit Picks**** (1-0) 4 Units
          ***3 Unit Picks*** (0-2) -6.6 Units
          **2 Unit Picks** (3-0) 6 Unit
          *1 Unit Picks* (2-3) -.15 Units

          Total Unit Based Record (13.15-9.9-0) 3.25 Units
          Risk Adj. Winning % (57.05%)


          Great start to week 2! Below are Saturday's winners:

          ***3 Unit Pick***
          Purdue +14

          **2 Unit Picks**
          Air Force +21.5
          Syracuse +26
          Wake Forest +9.5

          *1 Unit Picks*
          Wisconsin -7
          Oklahoma State -10.5

          Comment


          • #6
            Good luck today! I like Purdue and Wisky, but not OK St, I think Arizona on upset alert!!
            NFL 17: 45-47-2 // 48.91% // -10.12
            MMA: 247-332-2 // 42.66% // -6.04
            MLB 17: 151-140-8 // 51.89% // +5.65 ROR // +42.13
            NCAAF 17: 63-49-2 // 56.25% // +6.80
            Updated on 01/13/18
            ---
            One of my 2018 resolutions: no more action gambling.

            Comment


            • #7
              Good luck akatdrake! I have Oklahoma State winning by 16+ in this matchup. I hate being on the same side as the public, which is why my Oklahoma State pick is just a 1 Unit Pick. Same with Wisconsin, although I think they will likely win by 16+ as well.

              Comment


              • #8
                Week 2 College Football Wrap-Up

                Overall Record (10-7-0) 10.05 Units
                *****5 Unit Picks***** (0-0) 0 Units
                ****4 Unit Picks**** (1-0) 4 Units
                ***3 Unit Picks*** (1-2) -3.6 Units
                **2 Unit Picks** (6-0) 12 Unit
                *1 Unit Picks* (2-5) -2.35 Units

                Total Unit Based Record (22.15-12.1-0) 10.05 Units
                Risk Adj. Winning % (64.67%)


                Great week! We went 5-2 in Week 2 of College Football, losing just two 1 Unit Picks. That makes two winning weeks in a row to start the season. The "dogs" were barking yesterday, which left us with several questions that will have to be answered over the course of the season. Is Michigan even a Top 25 team? Can Arkansas bounce back, or does the loss to Louisiana Monroe leave them devastated? Will Gene Chizik be on the hot seat if they go 5-7 (or worse)? These questions are what make College Football so great. Good luck and check out my NFL picks!

                Comment


                • #9
                  Week 3 College Football Picks

                  Overall Record (10-7-0) 10.05 Units
                  *****5 Unit Picks***** (0-0) 0 Units
                  ****4 Unit Picks**** (1-0) 4 Units
                  ***3 Unit Picks*** (1-2) -3.6 Units
                  **2 Unit Picks** (6-0) 12 Unit
                  *1 Unit Picks* (2-5) -2.35 Units

                  Total Unit Based Record (22.15-12.1-0) 10.05 Units
                  Risk Adj. Winning % (64.67%)


                  Week 2 was a lot of fun! I have a solid 3 Unit Pick on tap for Thursday night. According to my system, Rutgers at South Florida should be a pickem. Both teams are 2-0 to start the season. The public is on South Florida, and we are seeing some strong reverse line movement. Don't be suprised if Rutgers pulls off the "upset" on the road tomorrow night. Good luck and gear up for another big week of College Football!

                  ***3 Unit Pick***
                  Rutgers +8

                  Comment


                  • #10
                    Week 3 College Football Picks Continued

                    Overall Record (11-7-0) 13.05 Units
                    *****5 Unit Picks***** (0-0) 0 Units
                    ****4 Unit Picks**** (1-0) 4 Units
                    ***3 Unit Picks*** (2-2) -.6 Units
                    **2 Unit Picks** (6-0) 12 Unit
                    *1 Unit Picks* (2-5) -2.35 Units

                    Total Unit Based Record (25.15-12.1-0) 13.05 Units
                    Risk Adj. Winning % (67.52%)


                    We are off to a great start, and I am looking to gain momentum as the season progresses. I have 10 picks on tap this Saturday. Of note, Kentucky is on UPSET ALERT this week as they face the Hilltoppers of Western Kentucky. My system has Western Kentucky winning by 3+ points at Kentucky. Alabama was too much for the Hilltoppers to handle, but Kentucky provides them with a great opportunity to knock off an SEC team. Enjoy the picks and please post any questions you might have regarding the picks posted below or any other games on the board. Good luck!

                    ***3 Unit Picks***
                    North Carolina +3
                    Florida +3
                    Western Kentucky +6.5

                    **2 Unit Picks**
                    California +17
                    Stanford +8.5
                    Notre Dame +5.5

                    *1 Unit Picks*
                    Wake Forest +28
                    UConn/Maryland Over 40
                    Western Kentucky ML +230
                    Colorado State +11

                    Comment


                    • #11

                      Comment


                      • #12
                        Week 4 College Football Picks

                        Overall Record (18-10-0) 22.85 Units
                        *****5 Unit Picks***** (0-0) 0 Units
                        ****4 Unit Picks**** (1-0) 4 Units
                        ***3 Unit Picks*** (4-3) 2.1 Units
                        **2 Unit Picks** (9-0) 18 Unit
                        *1 Unit Picks* (4-7) -1.25 Units

                        Total Unit Based Record (40.45-17.6-0) 22.85 Units
                        Risk Adj. Winning % (69.68%)


                        What a start to the season! My system is red hot going into Week 4, and we are looking to pick up some more units after three winning weeks in a row. This week's slate of games is very attractive. My favorite matchup is #21 Arizona at #3 Oregon. Per my ratings, Arizona has the 24th most effective defense in the country. Oregon is giving up 24.3 points per game, but they allow teams to convert just 15.6% of their 3rd down attempts. Should be an interesting matchup that has a lot more defense than the experts are predicting. Take Arizona and the under in this game. My system is projecting a final score of Arizona 28-Oregon 40. Good luck!

                        ***3 Unit Picks***
                        Kentucky +23
                        Maryland +25.5
                        Arizona +21.5

                        **2 Unit Picks**
                        Army +7
                        Colorado +20
                        California +15.5
                        Rutgers +9.5
                        Vanderbilt +14.5
                        Arizona/Oregon Under 79

                        *1 Unit Picks*
                        Temple +7.5
                        Kansas State +16.5
                        Hawaii +7

                        Comment


                        • #13
                          :goodjob:
                          NFL 8-5 + 5.97




                          The difference between stupidity and genius is that genius has its limits.

                          Comment


                          • #14
                            Week 4 College Football Picks Continued

                            I am adding a late night value play to the card. The Arizona ML is currently at +950. My system gives Arizona a chance at winning this game, especially using just 2012 stats. Thus, it is worth a small 1 Unit Pick. Good luck and enjoy the game!

                            *1 Unit Pick*
                            Arizona ML +950

                            Comment


                            • #15
                              Week 5 College Football Picks

                              Overall Record (23-18-0) 16.45 Units
                              *****5 Unit Picks***** (0-0) 0 Units
                              ****4 Unit Picks**** (1-0) 4 Units
                              ***3 Unit Picks*** (5-5) -1.5 Units
                              **2 Unit Picks** (12-3) 17.4 Unit
                              *1 Unit Picks* (5-10) -3.45 Units

                              Total Unit Based Record (50.45-34-0) 16.45 Units
                              Risk Adj. Winning % (59.74%)


                              My system posted its first losing week of the season in Week 4. This week, we are looking to bounce back with a solid slate of picks. Tonight, I have a small 1 Unit Pick on tap. My system has Hawaii losing by 14-17 points. Take the points and enjoy the game!

                              *1 Unit Pick*
                              Hawaii +25.5

                              Comment

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