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A couple for today although I don't love the card as much as the last few days.
Toronto/NYY - No play yet
I am strongly considering the under here. Romero dominated the Yankees last year with the exception of a joke game where his OF's lost 2 balls in the sun for extra bases and he got some really bad luck. The other two matchups he absolutely dominated Cano and Texiera with his changeup and Jeter could hit his inside fastball. I think Toronto could be a little sluggish after their big series in Texas and having to travel so I am leaning to the under. Garcia has seemed to be doing it with smoke and mirrors but with a rested bullpen he should only need 5-6 innings and Girardi will be able to go to Robertson, Joba, the Eigth Inning Guy and Mo. Plus with Snider going down that's one more LHB out of the lineup. I expect the total to rise throughout the day so I will probably play this closer to gametime. Yesterday wasn't really an indication of the Yankees breaking out on offense. The Sox issued 8 walks (several in succession) and that keyed the offense. Smoke and mirrors kind of like Barry Enright.
The only concern I have is I am always apprehensive about playing NYY unders. But if there is any play it's Romero or the under.
Detroit -110 3 Units
Yes, Cleveland is playing well but let's not get carried away. They have played a very soft schedule, they have also faced very few RHP like Scherzer. They are off a 10 game stretch vs KC, Min and KC (not exactly world beaters of late). Both teams have performed similarly against RHP except for the fact that Detroit has been facing higher quality RHP's. I see Detroit with a significant advantage on the mound and a slight advantage with their lineup. That's more than enough for me with a home dog that appears to be garnering public support.
Florida/Cincy over 9 +100 2 Units
Two mediocre flyball pitchers, gentle wind tunnel and two teams with plenty of guys to do damage. I like Votto and Stanton to both go deep as each team should be able to get to 4. Javy is walking way too many guys and Cincy will take pitches and work him and Wood is giving up too many hits, which plays into a Florida team that likes to swing and put the ball in play.
Baltimore +140 2 Units
I like how Arrieta has pitched and although Danks has been Chicago's best pitcher they are just in a funk right now. I don't love Baltimore in general but I think there is value in this number.
Oakland -105 2 Units
glta
Toronto/NYY - No play yet
I am strongly considering the under here. Romero dominated the Yankees last year with the exception of a joke game where his OF's lost 2 balls in the sun for extra bases and he got some really bad luck. The other two matchups he absolutely dominated Cano and Texiera with his changeup and Jeter could hit his inside fastball. I think Toronto could be a little sluggish after their big series in Texas and having to travel so I am leaning to the under. Garcia has seemed to be doing it with smoke and mirrors but with a rested bullpen he should only need 5-6 innings and Girardi will be able to go to Robertson, Joba, the Eigth Inning Guy and Mo. Plus with Snider going down that's one more LHB out of the lineup. I expect the total to rise throughout the day so I will probably play this closer to gametime. Yesterday wasn't really an indication of the Yankees breaking out on offense. The Sox issued 8 walks (several in succession) and that keyed the offense. Smoke and mirrors kind of like Barry Enright.
The only concern I have is I am always apprehensive about playing NYY unders. But if there is any play it's Romero or the under.
Detroit -110 3 Units
Yes, Cleveland is playing well but let's not get carried away. They have played a very soft schedule, they have also faced very few RHP like Scherzer. They are off a 10 game stretch vs KC, Min and KC (not exactly world beaters of late). Both teams have performed similarly against RHP except for the fact that Detroit has been facing higher quality RHP's. I see Detroit with a significant advantage on the mound and a slight advantage with their lineup. That's more than enough for me with a home dog that appears to be garnering public support.
Florida/Cincy over 9 +100 2 Units
Two mediocre flyball pitchers, gentle wind tunnel and two teams with plenty of guys to do damage. I like Votto and Stanton to both go deep as each team should be able to get to 4. Javy is walking way too many guys and Cincy will take pitches and work him and Wood is giving up too many hits, which plays into a Florida team that likes to swing and put the ball in play.
Baltimore +140 2 Units
I like how Arrieta has pitched and although Danks has been Chicago's best pitcher they are just in a funk right now. I don't love Baltimore in general but I think there is value in this number.
Oakland -105 2 Units
glta
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