Last day of the regular season, with some seeding implications in the West. Everything is set in the East, so there is really nothing for any team to play for. IMO because of this today's lines could be more perception based than usual. I expect a couple outright dog winners today, & have some strong leans. Stepping out but back in a bit to break it down...
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***Udoggie's Regular Season Finale***
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Be Selective! :beerbang:
Here's the projections, TIFWIW:
4/16/2008 Predictions
Rank Team Win Odds Proj Margin
#22 New Jersey (34-47) 15.3%
#1 Boston (65-16) 84.6% +12.0
#3 New Orl/OKC (56-25) 43.2%
#9 Dallas (50-31) 56.7% +1.5
#4 Utah (54-27) 43.3%
#6 San Antonio (55-26) 56.6% +1.4
#5 Detroit (58-23) 57.0% +1.6
#13 Cleveland (45-36) 42.9%
#26 LA Clippers (23-58) 17.6%
#7 Houston (54-27) 82.3% +10.7
#16 Portland (41-40) 26.6%
#8 Phoenix (54-27) 73.3% +6.7
#14 Washington (43-38) 31.2%
#10 Orlando (51-30) 68.7% +5.0
#27 Memphis (22-59) 20.7%
#11 Denver (49-32) 79.2% +9.2
#29 Seattle (19-62) 19.5%
#12 Golden State (48-33) 80.4% +9.8
#15 Toronto (41-40) 52.8% +0.6
#21 Chicago (32-49) 47.1%
#17 Philadelphia (40-41) 50.7% +0.1
#23 Charlotte (31-50) 49.2%
#19 Atlanta (37-44) 62.3% +3.0
#30 Miami (14-67) 37.6%
#28 New York (23-58) 29.8%
#20 Indiana (35-46) 70.1% +5.5
#24 Milwaukee (26-55) 38.8%
#25 Minnesota (21-60) 61.1% +2.7
I'm Watching the por line...
GL UD :thumbs:
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Knicks/Pacers over- I expect zero D to be played here, so of course I lean to the over. I couldn't justify a road play on the Knicks with their road record, but I do think they could stay competitive, which is good for the over.
T-Wolves- Fading the Bucks on the road one last time. The Wolves have been playing well, & 6 of their last 8 home wins have been by 8 or more pts. The Bucks have lost their last 5, 4 by 13+ pts.
Wiz- Neither team has a thing to play for, & the Magic are on a b2b off a 121-105 win @ Atl. Coach Eddie Jordan has said he want both Butler & Arenas to play, but I'll believe it when I see it. Still, I think that this is too many points for a meaningless season ending game....
Nets- C's with nothing to play for, likely to rest Rondo & the big three. 9.5 pts is just too high...
Heat- WTF am I thinking? Oh yeah, the public Hawks who can't win on the road & have nothing to play for are favored.
Basically I expect to hit at least 1 of these moneylines, 2 would be wonderful. I guess we'll see. If the Hornets beat Dallas (though I don't think they will), I'll look to play on the Nuggets. Also leaning Spurs & will be on the lookout for 2ndh unders to close out the regular season...:thumbs:Champagne for my real friends, real pain for my sham friends...
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Clips/Rockets u91 2ndh
3 units
Bulls-4.5 2ndh
Spurs-2.5-105 1sth
Spurs-4.5-107
2 units eachLast edited by Underdog88; 04-16-2008, 08:41 PM.Champagne for my real friends, real pain for my sham friends...
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