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Tonight I'm going with the underdog here. Miami and Indiana both have even win/loss records SU and extremely similar PPG averages in addition to their points allowed to opponents. This game is going to be close, so favoring Miami by 4.5 seemed like a bit much.
The history of this match up is interesting as well. Indiana is 5-3 ATS over Miami over the last three seasons, and 3-1 ATS over Miami in games played at Miami over the last three seasons. Indiana holds a better percentage against Miami when playing them as the road team. Indiana may win this one, but if not, it should be extemely tight. I'll take Indiana and the points.
Indiana +4.5
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NBA YTD
3-1
The history of this match up is interesting as well. Indiana is 5-3 ATS over Miami over the last three seasons, and 3-1 ATS over Miami in games played at Miami over the last three seasons. Indiana holds a better percentage against Miami when playing them as the road team. Indiana may win this one, but if not, it should be extemely tight. I'll take Indiana and the points.
Indiana +4.5
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
NBA YTD
3-1
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