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Tommy Gold's NBA November 2010 Picks

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  • #16
    I'm keeping two separate records, one for pointspreads and totals, another for moneylines. I also play the MLs instead of the pointspreads when the number ranges between +1 and +2.5.



    NBA 2010.11.13 results recap:

    Utah Jazz @ Charlotte Bobcats: Utah Jazz -1.5 -107 (1.93) 5Dimes (96-95: LOSS) -0.5 pts
    Orlando Magic @ New Jersey Nets: Orlando Magic -7 -105 (1.95) BetPhoenix (91-90: LOSS) -6 pts
    Indiana Pacers @ Cleveland Cavaliers: Indiana Pacers +2 -102 (1.98) BetPhoenix (99-85: WIN) +16 pts

    Toronto Raptors @ Miami Heat: Under 201 -104 (1.96) 5Dimes (109-100: LOSS) -8 pts
    Washington Wizards @ Chicago Bulls: Chicago Bulls -10 -105 (1.95) BetPhoenix (103-96: LOSS) -3 pts
    Golden State Warriors @ Milwaukee Bucks: Over 204 -102 (1.98) BetPhoenix (79-72: LOSS) -53 pts

    NBA 2010.11.13 finished 1-5, -4.02 units won/7 units risked on HDP & OU.
    NBA 2010/2011 HDP & OU Record: 35-41-1, -8.12 units lost (76 units risked)

    Indiana Pacers @ Cleveland Cavaliers: Indiana Pacers ML +115 (2.15) The Greek (99-85: WIN)

    NBA 2010.11.13 finished 1-0, +1.15 units won/1 unit risked on MLs.
    NBA 2010/2011 Moneylines Record: 8-9, +0.99 units won (17 units risked)

    -----

    NBA 2010.11.15 results recap:

    Memphis Grizzlies @ Orlando Magic: Under 200.5 -110 (1.91) Bookmaker (u195 is my projected line) (89-72: WIN) +39.5 pts
    Denver Nuggets @ Phoenix Suns: Phoenix Suns PK -105 (1.95) 5Dimes (-7 is my projected line) (100-94: WIN) +6 pts
    Detroit Pistons @ Golden State Warriors: Golden State Warriors -6 -105 (1.95) BetPhoenix (-12 is my projected line) (101-97: LOSS) -2 pts
    New Jersey Nets @ Los Angeles Clippers: New Jersey Nets +2 -105 (1.95) 5Dimes (-2 is my projected line) (96-110: WIN) +16 pts
    New Jersey Nets @ Los Angeles Clippers: Over 191.5 -105 (1.95) 5Dimes, BetPhoenix (o197 is my projected line) (96-110: WIN) +14.5

    NBA 2010.11.15 finished 4-1, +2.76 units won/5 units risked on HDP & OU.
    NBA 2010/2011 HDP & OU Record: 39-42-1, -5.36 units lost (81 units risked)

    New Jersey Nets @ Los Angeles Clippers: New Jersey Nets ML +115 (2.15) 5Dimes (96-110: WIN)

    NBA 2010.11.13 finished 1-0, +1.15 units won/1 unit risked on MLs.
    NBA 2010/2011 Moneylines Record: 9-9, +2.14 units won (17 units risked)

    -----

    NBA 2010.11.16 results recap:

    Toronto Raptors @ Washington Wizards: Toronto Raptors -1 -103 (1.97) BetPhoenix (-5 is my projected line) (109-94: LOSS) -16 pts
    Atlanta Hawks @ Indiana Pacers: Atlanta Hawks -2 -105 (1.95) 5Dimes, BetPhoenix (-8 is my projected line) (92-102: WIN) +8 pts
    Atlanta Hawks @ Indiana Pacers: Over 202.5 -110 (1.91) BetUS (o215 is my projected line) (92-102: LOSS) -8.5 pts
    Portland Trail Blazers @ Memphis Grizzlies: Memphis Grizzlies -1 -103 (1.97) BetPhoenix (-10 is my projected line) (99-100: LOSS) -2 pts

    NBA 2010.11.16 finished 1-3, -2.05 units won/4 units risked on HDP & OU.
    NBA 2010/2011 HDP & OU Record: 40-45-1, -7.41 units lost (85 units risked)

    NBA 2010/2011 Moneylines Record: 9-9, +2.14 units won (17 units risked)

    -----

    NBA 2010.11.17 results recap:

    Phoenix Suns @ Miami Heat: Phoenix Suns +8 -105 (1.95) BetPhoenix (-2.5 is my projected line and I really like the Suns ML too) (123-96: LOSS)
    Phoenix Suns @ Miami Heat: Over 208.5 -110 (1.91) Youwager.com, JazzSports (215 is my projected line) (123-96: WIN)
    Toronto Raptors @ Philadelphia 76ers: Philadelphia 76ers -3 -105 (1.95) 5Dimes, BetPhoenix (-7 is my projected line) (86-94: LOSS)

    Los Angeles Lakers @ Detroit Pistons: Los Angeles Lakers -7 -105 (1.95) 5Dimes, BetPhoenix (-14 is my projected line) (90-103: WIN)
    Dallas Mavericks @ New Orleans Hornets: Over 190.5 -110 (1.91) BetOnline (o197 is my projected line) (99-97: WIN)
    Chicago Bulls @ San Antonio Spurs: Chicago Bulls +7 -105 (1.95) 5Dimes, BetPhoenix (+1 is my projected line) (103-94: LOSS)

    NBA 2010.11.17 finished 3-3, -0.23 units won/6 units risked on HDP & OU.
    NBA 2010/2011 HDP & OU Record: 43-48-1, -7.64 units lost (91 units risked)

    NBA 2010/2011 Moneylines Record: 9-9, +2.14 units won (17 units risked)

    -----

    NBA 2010.11.23 final 2 picks:

    Cleveland Cavaliers @ Indiana Pacers: Over 197.5 -110 (1.91) BetOnline (o207 is my projected line)
    Atlanta Hawks @ New Jersey Nets: Atlanta Hawks -3 -109 (1.92) 5Dimes (-6 is my projected line)

    Good Luck!

    Comment


    • #17
      NBA 2010.11.23 results recap:

      Cleveland Cavaliers @ Indiana Pacers: Over 197.5 -110 (1.91) BetOnline (o207 is my projected line) (100-89: LOSS)
      Atlanta Hawks @ New Jersey Nets: Atlanta Hawks -3 -109 (1.92) 5Dimes (-6 is my projected line) (107-101: LOSS)

      NBA 2010.11.23 finished 0-2, -2 units lost/2 units risked on HDP & OU.
      NBA 2010/2011 HDP & OU Record: 43-50-1, -9.64 units lost (93 units risked)

      NBA 2010/2011 Moneylines Record: 9-9, +2.14 units won (17 units risked)

      -----

      NBA 2010/2011 HDP & OU Record: 17-6, +9.89 units won (23 units risked)
      NBA 2010/2011 HDP & OU Record: 43-50-1, -9.64 units lost (93 units risked)

      DRAWDOWN: 26-44-1, -19.53 units lost (70 units risked, 37,142857%) - 0,003746934 probability according to the binomial distribution probability, using a probability of 0,52356, which usually translates to -110 odds.

      -----

      NBA 2010.11.24 final 2 picks:

      Milwaukee Bucks @ Cleveland Cavaliers: Cleveland Cavaliers ML +105 (2.05) Bookmaker; +1.5 -108 (1.93) 5Dimes (-4 is my projected line)

      New York Knicks @ Charlotte Bobcats: Over 205 -105 (1.95) BetPhoenix (o220 is my projected line)

      Philadelphia 76ers @ Toronto Raptors: Philadelphia 76ers +6 -105 (1.95) BetPhoenix (-1 is my projected line and also fancy the ML)

      New Jersey Nets @ Boston Celtics: New Jersey Nets +11.5 -105 (1.95) BetPhoenix (+8 is my projected line)

      San Antonio Spurs @ Minnesota Timberwolves: San Antonio Spurs -7.5 -110 (1.91) BetPhoenix, JazzSports (-12 is my projected line)

      Dallas Mavericks @ Oklahoma City Thunder: Oklahoma City Thunder -3.5 -110 (1.91) JazzSports (-7 is my projected line)

      Good Luck!

      Comment


      • #18
        NBA 2010.11.24 results recap:

        Milwaukee Bucks @ Cleveland Cavaliers: Cleveland Cavaliers +1.5 -108 (1.93) 5Dimes (83-81: WIN)
        New York Knicks @ Charlotte Bobcats: Over 205 -105 (1.95) BetPhoenix (93-99: LOSS)
        Philadelphia 76ers @ Toronto Raptors: Philadelphia 76ers +6 -105 (1.95) BetPhoenix (106-90: LOSS)
        New Jersey Nets @ Boston Celtics: New Jersey Nets +11.5 -105 (1.95) BetPhoenix (89-83: WIN)
        San Antonio Spurs @ Minnesota Timberwolves: San Antonio Spurs -7.5 -110 (1.91) BetPhoenix, JazzSports (109-113: LOSS)
        Dallas Mavericks @ Oklahoma City Thunder: Oklahoma City Thunder -3.5 -110 (1.91) JazzSports (103-111: LOSS)

        NBA 2010.11.24 finished 2-4, -2.12 units lost/6 units risked on HDP & OU.
        NBA 2010/2011 HDP & OU Record: 45-54-1, -11.76 units lost (99 units risked)

        Milwaukee Bucks @ Cleveland Cavaliers: Cleveland Cavaliers ML +105 (2.05) Bookmaker (83-81: WIN)

        NBA 2010.11.24 finished 1-0, +1.05 units won/1 unit risked on MLs.
        NBA 2010/2011 Moneylines Record: 10-9, +3.19 units won (19 units risked)

        -----

        NBA 2010/2011 HDP & OU Record: 17-6, +9.89 units won (23 units risked)
        NBA 2010/2011 HDP & OU Record: 45-54-1, -11.76 units lost (99 units risked)

        DRAWDOWN: 28-48-1, -21.65 units lost (76 units risked, 36,8421%)

        -----

        NBA 2010.11.26 final 12 picks:

        Houston Rockets @ Charlotte Bobcats: Charlotte Bobcats -3.5 -110 (1.91) Bookmaker (-7.5 is my projected line)

        Houston Rockets @ Charlotte Bobcats: Under 198 -110 (1.91) The Greek (u194 is my projected line)

        Cleveland Cavaliers @ Orlando Magic: Under 191.5 -103 (1.97) BetPhoenix (u188 is my projected line)

        Philadelphia 76ers @ Miami Heat: Over 195.5 -110 (1.91) Bookmaker (o200 is my projected line)

        Toronto Raptors @ Boston Celtics: Toronto Raptors +9.5 -110 (1.91) BetOnline, BetPhoenix (pk is my projected line)

        Oklahoma City Thunder @ Indiana Pacers: Oklahoma City Thunder ML +108 (2.08) 5Dimes, +1.5 -105 (1.95) 5Dimes (-6 is my projected line)

        Oklahoma City Thunder @ Indiana Pacers: Over 206 -103 (1.97) 5Dimes (o220 is my projected line)

        Chicago Bulls @ Denver Nuggets: Denver Nuggets -5.5 -108 (1.93) 5Dimes (-8 is my projected line)

        Los Angeles Lakers @ Utah Jazz: Utah Jazz ML +110 (2.10) YouWager.com, BetOnline, BetUS, +1 -105 (1.95) BetPhoenix (-3 is my projected line)

        Los Angeles Clippers @ Phoenix Suns: Phoenix Suns -9.5 -105 (1.95) 5Dimes, BetPhoenix (-14 is my projected line)

        Los Angeles Clippers @ Phoenix Suns: Over 215.5 -105 (1.95) 5Dimes, BetPhoenix (o220 is my projected line)

        New Orleans Hornets @ Portland Trail Blazers: Under 189.5 -110 (1.91) The Greek (u185 is my projected line)

        Good Luck and have a nice weekend!

        Comment


        • #19
          NBA 2010.11.26 results recap:

          Houston Rockets @ Charlotte Bobcats: Charlotte Bobcats -3.5 -110 (1.91) Bookmaker (99-89: WIN)
          Houston Rockets @ Charlotte Bobcats: Under 198 -110 (1.91) The Greek (99-89: WIN)
          Cleveland Cavaliers @ Orlando Magic: Under 191.5 -103 (1.97) BetPhoenix (111-110: LOSS)
          Philadelphia 76ers @ Miami Heat: Over 195.5 -110 (1.91) Bookmaker (99-90: LOSS)

          Toronto Raptors @ Boston Celtics: Toronto Raptors +9.5 -110 (1.91) BetOnline, BetPhoenix (110-101: WIN)
          Oklahoma City Thunder @ Indiana Pacers: Oklahoma City Thunder +1.5 -105 (1.95) 5Dimes (106-110: WIN)
          Oklahoma City Thunder @ Indiana Pacers: Over 206 -103 (1.97) 5Dimes Pinny (106-110: WIN)
          Chicago Bulls @ Denver Nuggets: Denver Nuggets -5.5 -108 (1.93) 5Dimes (98-97: LOSS)

          Los Angeles Lakers @ Utah Jazz: Utah Jazz +1 -105 (1.95) BetPhoenix (100-96: WIN)
          Los Angeles Clippers @ Phoenix Suns: Phoenix Suns -9.5 -105 (1.95) 5Dimes, BetPhoenix (116-108: LOSS)
          Los Angeles Clippers @ Phoenix Suns: Over 215.5 -105 (1.95) 5Dimes, BetPhoenix (116-108: WIN)
          New Orleans Hornets @ Portland Trail Blazers: Under 189.5 -110 (1.91) The Greek (78-97: WIN)

          NBA 2010.11.26 finished 8-4, +3.46 units won/12 units risked on HDP & OU.
          NBA 2010/2011 HDP & OU Record: 53-58-1, -8.3 units lost (111 units risked)

          Oklahoma City Thunder @ Indiana Pacers: Oklahoma City Thunder ML +108 (2.08) 5Dimes (106-110: WIN)
          Los Angeles Lakers @ Utah Jazz: Utah Jazz ML +110 (2.10) YouWager.com, BetOnline, BetUS (100-96: WIN)

          NBA 2010.11.26 finished 2-0, +2.18 units won/2 units risked on MLs.
          NBA 2010/2011 Moneylines Record: 12-9, +5.37 units won (19 units risked)

          -----

          NBA 2010.11.27 first 6 picks:

          Orlando Magic @ Washington Wizards: Orlando Magic -6 -110 (1.91) The Greek

          Memphis Grizzlies @ Cleveland Cavaliers: Over 196.5 -105 (1.95) 5Dimes, BetPhoenix

          New Jersey Nets @ Philadelphia 76ers: Philadelphia 76ers -1 -102 (1.95) 5Dimes, BetPhoenix

          Golden State Warriors @ Minnesota Timberwolves: Golden State Warriors ML +125 (2.25) 5Dimes, +2.5 -110 (1.91) Bookmaker

          Miami Heat @ Dallas Mavericks: Dallas Mavericks -2 -108 (1.93) 5Dimes

          Charlotte Bobcats @ Milwaukee Bucks: Charlotte Bobcats ML +145 (2.45) Bookmaker, +3.5 -105 (1.95) BetPhoenix

          I'm waiting for the lines of Bulls @ Kings to come out, depending if Evans and/or Rose play tonight. Good Luck!

          Comment


          • #20
            NBA 2010.11.27 results recap:

            Orlando Magic @ Washington Wizards: Orlando Magic -6 -110 (1.91) The Greek (99-100: LOSS)
            Memphis Grizzlies @ Cleveland Cavaliers: Over 196.5 -105 (1.95) 5Dimes, BetPhoenix (92-86: LOSS)
            New Jersey Nets @ Philadelphia 76ers: Philadelphia 76ers -1 -105 (1.95) 5Dimes, BetPhoenix (102-86: WIN)

            Golden State Warriors @ Minnesota Timberwolves: Golden State Warriors +2.5 -110 (1.91) Bookmaker (94-104: WIN)
            Miami Heat @ Dallas Mavericks: Dallas Mavericks -2 -108 (1.93) 5Dimes (106-95: WIN)
            Charlotte Bobcats @ Milwaukee Bucks: Charlotte Bobcats +3.5 -105 (1.95) BetPhoenix (104-101: WIN)

            NBA 2010.11.27 finished 4-2, +1.74 units won/6 units risked on HDP & OU.
            NBA 2010/2011 HDP & OU Record: 57-60-1, -6.56 units lost (117 units risked)

            Golden State Warriors @ Minnesota Timberwolves: Golden State Warriors ML +125 (2.25) 5Dimes (94-104: WIN)
            Charlotte Bobcats @ Milwaukee Bucks: Charlotte Bobcats ML +145 (2.45) Bookmaker (104-101: LOSS)

            NBA 2010.11.27 finished 1-1, +0.25 units won/2 units risked on MLs.
            NBA 2010/2011 Moneylines Record: 13-10, +5.62 units won (23 units risked)

            -----

            NBA 2010.11.29 final 4 picks:

            Washington Wizards @ Miami Heat: Miami Heat -12.5 -107 (1.93) BetPhoenix (-16 is my projected line)

            New Orleans Hornets @ Oklahoma City Thunder: Oklahoma City Thunder -3.5 -105 (1.95) 5Dimes, BetPhoenix (-7 is my projected line)

            Houston Rockets @ Dallas Mavericks: Over 198.5 -105 (1.95) 5Dimes (o215 is my projected line)

            Milwaukee Bucks @ Utah Jazz: Utah Jazz -9 -103 (1.97) 5Dimes (-15 is my projected line)

            Good Luck!

            Comment


            • #21
              NBA 2010.11.30 final 9 picks:

              Orlando -11 -104 (1.96) BetPhoenix (-14 is my projected line)

              Portland -3.5 +100 BetPhoenix (2.00) (-7 is my projected line) Over 192 -103 (1.97) BetPhoenix (o195 is my projected line)

              Knicks -4.5 -105 (1.95) 5Dimes, BetPhoenix (-8 is my projected line) e Over 205 -105 (1.95) BetPhoenix (o211 is my projected line)

              Sacramento +4.5 -110 (1.91) Bookmaker (-2 is my projected line) e Over 192 -110 (1.91) The Greek (o204 is my projected line)

              GS Warriors +4.5 -110 (1.91) 2BetDSI (-1 is my projected line) e Over 214 -110 (1.91) BetOnline (o222 is my projected line)

              Good Luck!

              Comment


              • #22
                NBA 2010.12.01 final 7 picks:

                Memphis/Atlanta Under 196.5 -110 (1.91) BetOnline, JazzSports (u190 is my projected line)

                Washington ML +175 (2.75) BetOnline (-3 is my projected line)

                Washington +5 -110 (1.91) 2BetDSI, BetUS (-3 is my projected line)

                Orlando/Chicago Over 192 -110 (1.91) Bookmaker (o201 is my projected line)

                New Orleans -8 -104 (1.96) 5Dimes (-12 is my projected line)

                Denver -8 -110 (1.91) 2BetDSI, BetOnline (-14 is my projected line)

                SA Spurs/LA Clippers Under 204 -110 (1.91) Bookmaker (u198 is my projected line)

                Good Luck!

                Comment


                • #23
                  NBA 2010.12.05 first 2 picks:

                  Boston -5.5 -105 (1.95) 5Dimes, BetPhoenix (-10 is my projected line)

                  Knicks @ Toronto: Under 218.5 -105 (1.95) 5Dimes, BetPhoenix (u210 is my projected line)

                  Good Luck!

                  Comment


                  • #24
                    NBA 2010.12.05 last 2 picks:

                    Cleveland @ Detroit: Over 192 -105 (1.95) 5Dimes (o201 is my projected line)

                    San Antonio -7 -105 (1.95) 5Dimes (-14 is my projected line)

                    I still might have a play in the Warriors @ Thunder game. Good Luck!

                    Comment


                    • #25
                      NBA 2010.12.05 extra 2 picks:

                      Golden State @ Oklahoma: Over 216 -110 (1.91) Bookmaker (o225 is my projected line)

                      Warriors +6.5 -105 (1.95) 5Dimes (pk is my projected line and I also fancy the ML)

                      Good Luck!

                      Comment


                      • #26
                        NBA 2010.12.05 "crap, almost forgot to post this pick too":

                        Memphis @ Denver: Under 215 -110 (1.91) BetUS (u210 is my projected line)

                        Card closed. Good Luck!

                        Comment


                        • #27
                          NBA 2010.12.06 final 5 picks:

                          Indiana -7.5 -102 (1.98) BetPhoenix (-13 is my projected line)

                          Knicks -6.5 -110 (1.91) The Greek (-10 is my projected line)

                          Oklahoma +5 -105 (1.95) BetPhoenix (-2.5 is my projected line)

                          Thunder @ Bulls: Under 204.5 -110 (1.91) YouWager.com, JazzSports (u200 is my projected line)

                          Miami -5 -105 (1.95) 5Dimes (-13 is my projected line)

                          Good Luck!

                          Comment


                          • #28
                            NBA 2010.12.07 final 5 picks:

                            Sixiers -6.5 -110 (1.91) 2BetDSI (-10)

                            Bobcats Under 203 -110 (1.91) Bookmaker, The Greek (u193)

                            Dallas Over 205 -107 (1.93) 5Dimes (o210)

                            Suns ML +130 (2.30) The Greek & Phoenix +3 -110 (1.91) The Greek (-5)

                            Good Luck!

                            Comment


                            • #29
                              NBA 2010.12.07 extra/late pick: Houston -6.5 -110 (1.91) BetUS (-10)

                              Comment


                              • #30
                                With ya on the Sun.....GL Tommy:win:
                                Batman: "If you can't spend it, money's just a lot of worthless paper, isn't it?" :phew:

                                Comment

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