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Recap: 0-1
Record: 8-10
Review:
Commissioners Cup game, I took Minnesota team total Ov.
Minnesota - the best team in the league at 11-2.
Minnesota - winner of last year's Commissioner's Cup.
Minnesota - the second best offense in the league.
Minnesota - who went 8 minutes and 13 seconds without a score in a 10-minute quarter.
EIGHT MINUTES, 13 seconds of a 10 minute quarter.
With 0 points.
F me.
Tonight I have two plays in my pocket and may add a possible third.
One is outlined in my homepage article from today.
One is a prop that I'm going to post now, the other is a total that I'm still looking at.
UPDATE: I really want to play this Wash/Min game Over, based on the stats I outlined in today's article, a 3-1 stat and a 4-0 stat call for the Over. But I keep looking at that Double Digit Hm Favs stat of 7-15 on Overs and I just can't pull the trigger.
And when I dug deeper to look for team specific stats I saw that the Lynx are 2-4 Over when they're DD Hm Favs.
I'm sure they're pissed off after losing the CC Cup game to the Fever, and I think that makes it a bad spot for Washington, side and total, but I have to pass.
For my prop I took the LA Sparks Dearica Hamby over 7' rebounds, and got a nice price on it too at +105.
Going back to the same thoughts I had with my last prop bet here in the forum, when I took Allisha Gray over 4' rebounds figuring she could best her season average of 4' by at least one with Jones on the bench for the Liberty.
She snagged nine.
The Liberty are missing Jonquel Jones again, which should free up a couple rebounds for Hamby.
Hamby averages 7.8 rebounds per game, so the book's number is right on the money. But like I said, with Jones out I expect Hamby should be able to collect at least 8.
On the season her numbers are just a little bit under where I'd want them to be with a total of 7', hitting it in just eight of 17 games.
But in those 17 games she has four games that landed on 7.
Just need one more than that tonight, and with Jones out I think I get it.
These two haven't met this season but in last year's three games, WITH Jones on the floor, Hamby pulled down 13, 6, and 11, an average of 10 per game.
My play:
Hamby Ov 7' rebounds, +105
Record: 8-10
Review:
Commissioners Cup game, I took Minnesota team total Ov.
Minnesota - the best team in the league at 11-2.
Minnesota - winner of last year's Commissioner's Cup.
Minnesota - the second best offense in the league.
Minnesota - who went 8 minutes and 13 seconds without a score in a 10-minute quarter.
EIGHT MINUTES, 13 seconds of a 10 minute quarter.
With 0 points.
F me.
Tonight I have two plays in my pocket and may add a possible third.
One is outlined in my homepage article from today.
One is a prop that I'm going to post now, the other is a total that I'm still looking at.
UPDATE: I really want to play this Wash/Min game Over, based on the stats I outlined in today's article, a 3-1 stat and a 4-0 stat call for the Over. But I keep looking at that Double Digit Hm Favs stat of 7-15 on Overs and I just can't pull the trigger.
And when I dug deeper to look for team specific stats I saw that the Lynx are 2-4 Over when they're DD Hm Favs.
I'm sure they're pissed off after losing the CC Cup game to the Fever, and I think that makes it a bad spot for Washington, side and total, but I have to pass.
For my prop I took the LA Sparks Dearica Hamby over 7' rebounds, and got a nice price on it too at +105.
Going back to the same thoughts I had with my last prop bet here in the forum, when I took Allisha Gray over 4' rebounds figuring she could best her season average of 4' by at least one with Jones on the bench for the Liberty.
She snagged nine.
The Liberty are missing Jonquel Jones again, which should free up a couple rebounds for Hamby.
Hamby averages 7.8 rebounds per game, so the book's number is right on the money. But like I said, with Jones out I expect Hamby should be able to collect at least 8.
On the season her numbers are just a little bit under where I'd want them to be with a total of 7', hitting it in just eight of 17 games.
But in those 17 games she has four games that landed on 7.
Just need one more than that tonight, and with Jones out I think I get it.
These two haven't met this season but in last year's three games, WITH Jones on the floor, Hamby pulled down 13, 6, and 11, an average of 10 per game.
My play:
Hamby Ov 7' rebounds, +105
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