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If at first you don't succeed, try again.
If you keep trying, but keep losing, STOP!!!
I'm going to ignore that rule today and try a play using Minnesota, a team I never seem to have good luck with.
But first, recap and record update.
Recap: 2-1
Record: 13-12
Review: hit two of three yesterday.
Missed with my favorite play, the asterisk spot, but hit my other two using Over 155 in the Seattle game and Phoenix +7.
Today . . .
Minnesota is in game 2 of B2B's.
This was profitable on the Over last year but is sitting at .500 this year, 5-5.
Edges can be found within that 5-5 though if you dig a little deeper, Hm 2-4, Rd 3-1.
So if you're considering a play on the Under on a team in game 2 of B2B's and they're at home you have an extra stat to add to your ammo.
Same if you're looking at an Over if they're on the Rd.
The Lynx are on the Rd today, possible consideration for an Over, but there's also this:
Teams playing in game 2 of B2B's are:
8-2 ATS.
The breakdown is Hm 4-2, Rd 4-0.
Looks like a good spot to play the Lynx on the Rd.
Let's look at a couple other angles, see if anything else justifies trusting them with my money today.
Minnesota is clearly the best team in the league, so as Spackler would say, "I've got that going for me."
Record-wise they're three games ahead of the Mercury and four games ahead of the Liberty.
But here's what I really like about this spot today - they're off a loss. Only their third of the season.
Here's how they responded in the next games following the first two losses.
They lost to Seattle, came back the next game and won 101-78.
They lost to the Mystics, came back the next day and won 96-92.
After losing to Phoenix in their last game I imagine they're going to be looking to take it out on somebody today, and the Sparks are that somebody.
So I have a team that's got the best record in the league at 17-3, facing a team that's tied with Chicago and Dallas for the second worst record in the league with just six wins (only the Sun are worse.)
Not a stretch to think Min wins SU, the question is will they cover the spread?
The Books opened this one at Min -3'. There are still a few -6' out there but the WAN is -7 so that's what I'll use here.
I have a few rules that I try to stick to.
One of them is if the line moves against me three points or more I don't buy it.
Rules like that shouldn't be broken, they're in place for a reason, but I'm going to ignore it today.
The Lynx are just 4-5 ATS on the Rd, not too great, but . . .
LA are 1-7 ATS at Hm; suddenly 4-5 doesn't look too bad.
The pendulum's got to start swinging back the other way for LA's ATS numbers at Hm, but hopefully it doesn't start today.
One other stat.
That 22-point win I mentioned above after Minnesota lost to Seattle?
Their opponent that night was . . . LA.
Good luck with your plays today.
My play:
Min -7
If you keep trying, but keep losing, STOP!!!
I'm going to ignore that rule today and try a play using Minnesota, a team I never seem to have good luck with.
But first, recap and record update.
Recap: 2-1
Record: 13-12
Review: hit two of three yesterday.
Missed with my favorite play, the asterisk spot, but hit my other two using Over 155 in the Seattle game and Phoenix +7.
Today . . .
Minnesota is in game 2 of B2B's.
This was profitable on the Over last year but is sitting at .500 this year, 5-5.
Edges can be found within that 5-5 though if you dig a little deeper, Hm 2-4, Rd 3-1.
So if you're considering a play on the Under on a team in game 2 of B2B's and they're at home you have an extra stat to add to your ammo.
Same if you're looking at an Over if they're on the Rd.
The Lynx are on the Rd today, possible consideration for an Over, but there's also this:
Teams playing in game 2 of B2B's are:
8-2 ATS.
The breakdown is Hm 4-2, Rd 4-0.
Looks like a good spot to play the Lynx on the Rd.
Let's look at a couple other angles, see if anything else justifies trusting them with my money today.
Minnesota is clearly the best team in the league, so as Spackler would say, "I've got that going for me."
Record-wise they're three games ahead of the Mercury and four games ahead of the Liberty.
But here's what I really like about this spot today - they're off a loss. Only their third of the season.
Here's how they responded in the next games following the first two losses.
They lost to Seattle, came back the next game and won 101-78.
They lost to the Mystics, came back the next day and won 96-92.
After losing to Phoenix in their last game I imagine they're going to be looking to take it out on somebody today, and the Sparks are that somebody.
So I have a team that's got the best record in the league at 17-3, facing a team that's tied with Chicago and Dallas for the second worst record in the league with just six wins (only the Sun are worse.)
Not a stretch to think Min wins SU, the question is will they cover the spread?
The Books opened this one at Min -3'. There are still a few -6' out there but the WAN is -7 so that's what I'll use here.
I have a few rules that I try to stick to.
One of them is if the line moves against me three points or more I don't buy it.
Rules like that shouldn't be broken, they're in place for a reason, but I'm going to ignore it today.
The Lynx are just 4-5 ATS on the Rd, not too great, but . . .
LA are 1-7 ATS at Hm; suddenly 4-5 doesn't look too bad.
The pendulum's got to start swinging back the other way for LA's ATS numbers at Hm, but hopefully it doesn't start today.
One other stat.
That 22-point win I mentioned above after Minnesota lost to Seattle?
Their opponent that night was . . . LA.
Good luck with your plays today.
My play:
Min -7