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Recap: 1-0
Record: 14-12
Review: I actually got a W using Minnesota.
It's about time.
From today's homepage article:
T2 says the game between the Sun and the Storm goes Over.
T2 has a record of 7-4 on Overs this season.
AND it also fits a subcategory that I used for a play in the PredictEm forum two days ago on the Sea/Con game to go Over.
It was 5-0 at the time, after a W on Sea/Con it’s now at 6-0.
So I have a 7-4 spot and a 6-0 spot, both screaming to take the Over.
But . . .
Seattle is a DD Fav at Hm.
DD Favs at Hm are 12-12-1 ATS, and 8-18 on Overs.
Normally, I would go with my handicapping systems, but 8-18 is a 70% Fade, and a powerful deterrent to keep me off my two models. (Or not? Check the PredictEm forum later today in case I change my mind and buy the Over.)
Well, I changed my mind and bought the Over.
What do I always say?
"I ALWAYS stick with my numbers."
So I'm riding with the two systems mentioned above and hoping I don't get bit by the trend on DD Favs at Hm staying Under the total.
I'm more of a, "Bank it and go to work looking for the next bet" kind of a guy, but I hit with Con/Sea Over 2 days ago and I'm pressing/letting it ride tonight.
This one opened at 163 and it's down to 157/156'.
I have my screen up and I'm watching it, hoping I can get one more hook off the number before the guys looking for a middle start sending it back up.
With six and a half hours until tip off I can wait a little bit longer. Worst case I'll get the 156'.
I'll post an update if I can.
My play:
Con/Sea Ov (wait)
(Corrected, originally said Con/Min)
Record: 14-12
Review: I actually got a W using Minnesota.
It's about time.
From today's homepage article:
T2 says the game between the Sun and the Storm goes Over.
T2 has a record of 7-4 on Overs this season.
AND it also fits a subcategory that I used for a play in the PredictEm forum two days ago on the Sea/Con game to go Over.
It was 5-0 at the time, after a W on Sea/Con it’s now at 6-0.
So I have a 7-4 spot and a 6-0 spot, both screaming to take the Over.
But . . .
Seattle is a DD Fav at Hm.
DD Favs at Hm are 12-12-1 ATS, and 8-18 on Overs.
Normally, I would go with my handicapping systems, but 8-18 is a 70% Fade, and a powerful deterrent to keep me off my two models. (Or not? Check the PredictEm forum later today in case I change my mind and buy the Over.)
Well, I changed my mind and bought the Over.
What do I always say?
"I ALWAYS stick with my numbers."
So I'm riding with the two systems mentioned above and hoping I don't get bit by the trend on DD Favs at Hm staying Under the total.
I'm more of a, "Bank it and go to work looking for the next bet" kind of a guy, but I hit with Con/Sea Over 2 days ago and I'm pressing/letting it ride tonight.
This one opened at 163 and it's down to 157/156'.
I have my screen up and I'm watching it, hoping I can get one more hook off the number before the guys looking for a middle start sending it back up.
With six and a half hours until tip off I can wait a little bit longer. Worst case I'll get the 156'.
I'll post an update if I can.
My play:
Con/Sea Ov (wait)
(Corrected, originally said Con/Min)