NBA Thursday Oct 23

[RBD]

Record: 0-0

Yes, it's early in the season.
Yes, I only have two days worth of data tracked.
And yes, there are only two games on the card today, not much to choose from.

But . . .

T2 says the Denver game stays Under tonight.

T2 has had four games qualify as Unders so far this season.
And the record is 0-4.

That's a league based stat, encompassing all teams.
For a team specific stat, one of those four losses was with GS/LAL on Tuesday night. So GS is 0-1 in this spot.

I'm starting the NBA season with four different models to 'cap, two for WF's (Wrong Favs) and two for totals (T1 and T2.)

After a few weeks of games have been played and I have some data accumulated I'll add a third handicap for totals, the Hot/Cold Trend Reversal plays.

For now, might as well play the T2 Fade, see if it has some legs.
Jumping on trends after they're already established is a loser's gambit, you have to try to get on them early.

Good luck to any of you entering a Battle with Your Book this NBA season. Keep punching...


My play:
Den/GS Ov 233'

[RBD]

Banked a W last night in my first game, good start to the season.

Can't really say it's because of the Fade the Under spot I used.
Though the record on that spot is now 0-5 for Unders, betting the Over doesn't really require much handicapping in the first three days of the season. The Over has come in in 14 of 16 games!


An 87% trend cannot, will not continue.
So because of that I'm taking a wait and watch approach over the next couple days, likely won't have any action on totals.

There are two games that qualify for the same spot I used last night. I'll post them here in case anyone's looking for additional angles on the games.
T2 says the SA/NO game and the Utah/Sac game will stay Under.

Good luck with your plays today.