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Recap: 1-0
Record: 1-0
Recap:
Made my first buy back on day three of the season, 10/23.
T2 Under spot said the Denver game would stay Under 233'.
T2 had a record of 0-4 so I Faded it and took the Over.
Final score: 136-131.
Haven't bought any games since then, just accumulating data.
Using two models for sides and three for totals.
Here's what I have so far (as always, I apologize for the stupid names, but I have to call them SOMETHING to refer to them in my articles and posts.)
WF1
4-9; Hm 1-2, Rd 3-7
WF2
9-8; Hm 4-3, Rd 5-5
T1 Ov 4-1, Un 4-5
T2 Ov 0-0, Un 5-7
H/C Ov 0-0, Un 0-2
Asterisk Play
Hm 2-0, Rd 0-2
Fading WF1 on the Rd looks playable, and T1 Overs.
Asterisk Play is just 2-2, but 0-2 when it's a Rd game.
And I have one of those today.
WF2 says the Warriors should be the Favorite in tonight's game.
WF1 says no, the Kings are the correct favorite, and the point spread differential between the two models makes it qualify as an Asterisk Spot.
I'm buying that game, and also Fading Brooklyn in the WF1 Rd spot.
My buys:
Ind -6'
Sac -2'
(Update/correction: I added the hook to the Indiana line, -6' is the WAN. Common number on Sac is -3 but most houses have extra juice on the +3 and some have already dropped to -2'.)
Record: 1-0
Recap:
Made my first buy back on day three of the season, 10/23.
T2 Under spot said the Denver game would stay Under 233'.
T2 had a record of 0-4 so I Faded it and took the Over.
Final score: 136-131.
Haven't bought any games since then, just accumulating data.
Using two models for sides and three for totals.
Here's what I have so far (as always, I apologize for the stupid names, but I have to call them SOMETHING to refer to them in my articles and posts.)
WF1
4-9; Hm 1-2, Rd 3-7
WF2
9-8; Hm 4-3, Rd 5-5
T1 Ov 4-1, Un 4-5
T2 Ov 0-0, Un 5-7
H/C Ov 0-0, Un 0-2
Asterisk Play
Hm 2-0, Rd 0-2
Fading WF1 on the Rd looks playable, and T1 Overs.
Asterisk Play is just 2-2, but 0-2 when it's a Rd game.
And I have one of those today.
WF2 says the Warriors should be the Favorite in tonight's game.
WF1 says no, the Kings are the correct favorite, and the point spread differential between the two models makes it qualify as an Asterisk Spot.
I'm buying that game, and also Fading Brooklyn in the WF1 Rd spot.
My buys:
Ind -6'
Sac -2'
(Update/correction: I added the hook to the Indiana line, -6' is the WAN. Common number on Sac is -3 but most houses have extra juice on the +3 and some have already dropped to -2'.)