Recap: 2-0
Record: 5-3
Review: Catching up on the recaps from the last two picks when I was short on time.
0n 12/29 I banked a unit with the Toronto game Under, using the same system I used in my NBA article that week.
Last time in, Wednesday January 14th, I did an "IF" bet - if the early prop bet hits, bank the unit don't play the late game prop.
The first prop hit, I banked it.
The late game prop would have been a loss for a minus juice on the day, see using the "IF" was a good move.
I've had an unusual schedule over the last two weeks, back to normal now. I should be getting picks in more often.
Nothing strong, percentage-wise, but I have some slight edges I'm going to try today.
My model for choosing Wrong Favorites (WF2) has a record of 14-17 when it's a road team; slightly profitable.
The game also qualifies as a subcategory I call the Asterisk Spot. This used to be one of my strongest plays but, as always with all plays, it began to level out.
WF2 * spots on Rd teams is 2-3 this season; slightly profitable.
Two teams qualify as play AGAINST teams for both spots noted above: Philadelphia and Orlando.
Since I've got a 9:00 a.m. start on the Philly game and a late start this afternoon on Orlando I'll do the IF bet again.
If Charlotte covers for me I can either bank the unit or let it ride.
My play:
Char - 2'
Record: 5-3
Review: Catching up on the recaps from the last two picks when I was short on time.
0n 12/29 I banked a unit with the Toronto game Under, using the same system I used in my NBA article that week.
Last time in, Wednesday January 14th, I did an "IF" bet - if the early prop bet hits, bank the unit don't play the late game prop.
The first prop hit, I banked it.
The late game prop would have been a loss for a minus juice on the day, see using the "IF" was a good move.
I've had an unusual schedule over the last two weeks, back to normal now. I should be getting picks in more often.
Nothing strong, percentage-wise, but I have some slight edges I'm going to try today.
My model for choosing Wrong Favorites (WF2) has a record of 14-17 when it's a road team; slightly profitable.
The game also qualifies as a subcategory I call the Asterisk Spot. This used to be one of my strongest plays but, as always with all plays, it began to level out.
WF2 * spots on Rd teams is 2-3 this season; slightly profitable.
Two teams qualify as play AGAINST teams for both spots noted above: Philadelphia and Orlando.
Since I've got a 9:00 a.m. start on the Philly game and a late start this afternoon on Orlando I'll do the IF bet again.
If Charlotte covers for me I can either bank the unit or let it ride.
My play:
Char - 2'

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