NBA notes for Tuesday 3/10

[RBD]

Three games qualify for T1 Overs tonight if anyone's looking for stats or trends on today's card.

I started to write up the Boston game but too many standard stats say the game stays under and I don't like the number at 222'.
No play for me yet as I have conflicting stats on all three T1 spots.

Hhere are the three games if anyone's interested:
Bos/SA
Hou/Tor
Mem/Phil


I'll add some more info when I get home later.

[RBD]

Update and why I haven't bought any of the three T1 spots tonight.

.
Bos/SA qualifies for:
T1 38-21, 64%
a match with T2, 8-3, 72%
and the subcategory for Overs that's 25 - 11, 69%.

You got to love those numbers so I started to write an article today about buying this pick but then I looked at some standard stats.

Boston on the Rd just 11-22 Ov/Un

SA at Hm just 13 - 17.

And if you apply tonight's number 222' to the last 10 games of both teams, Boston is 2-8, 80% stat that points to the Under. And most of those eight times they stayed Under 222 they weren't even close to it

And San Antonio is just 4-6, a 60% stat that says take the Under.

I usually side with my stats over standard stats but not when the standard stats are that strong on taking the opposite of the play I like.


Two other games qualify for T1 Over but also have conflicting stats with other systems I use.

Tor/Hou qualifies for a T1 spots but Houston plays tomorrow night.
In this spot, Game one, I think they cut down the minutes their starters play so they're not used up for the following night's game.
I may be wrong about this coaching tendency but I do know this - only 33% of Houston game one of B2B's goes Over.

The third spot that qualifies is Mem/Phil, but Memphis is in Game two of B2B's. When Memphis plays a Gm two on the Rd their Ov/Un number is just 1-3.

There's ALWAYS conflicting stats.
You can find stats supporting a play on either side a the game, Fav or Dog, or the Over or Under. But I don't like the conflict on any of these three spots tonight so I'll just take the night off and hope I can see a clearer picture tomorrow.

Good luck with whatever you play tonight.

Update #2
Mem/Phil on pace for 270 at halftime.
May have talked myself off a W there.

[RBD]

Well, I blew it on that one.
Should have stuck with my original play as the Boston game easily sailed Over.
Two of the three T1 spots went Over, if I played all three I could have had a profit on the day.
Played it a little too conservative.
No games qualify today.