NBA Info for Wed 4/22

[RBD]

It didn't look good at the end of the first quarter but Houston/LAL stayed Under the posted total last night.
So did the other T2 qualifying games I shared in yesterday's thread.

T2 is now 3-16 on Overs.
And matches with T1 are now at 0-3 on the Over.

Likely not going to buy anything today but in case anyone is interested in what qualifies on my models here's what I have.

T1 says Orlando/Det stays Under.
T1 has a record of 2-0 on Unders this postseason.

T2 says both games go Over.
T2 record is 3-16 on the Over.
That record is overdue for some course correction via Reversion Towards the Mean. I've banked a couple units on it and I'm leery of riding it again.

Unfortunately, not getting any Wrong Favorites to play.
Since I don't have any game action I'm going to spend some time this morning handicapping player props.
If I see something I like I'll buy it and post it.

Good luck with your play today.

[RBD]

It's always easy in hindsight, but . . .
I passed up a good spot yesterday.

"T1 says Orlando/Det stays Under. T1 has a record of 2-0 on Unders this postseason.
T2 said the game goes Over.
T2 record on Overs was 3-13."

Both stats clearly pointed to taking the Under in Detroit.
But the heavy percentage of Unders coming in in the playoffs (2-12 going into Wednesday's games, x percent) kept me off the play.
The game was set at 218. It came in at 181.
Like I said, missed an obvious one there.


No plays for me tonight, but for anyone looking for stats here are some things to consider.
NY/Atl and Cle/Tor both qualify for T2 Overs which now has the record of 3-16.

I'm still thinking about buying off New York in the series but I don't like the price that's available.
Rooting for New York tonight because I have them in the series and because I'm hoping I can get a better price if I want to hedge them tomorrow.