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There's only one game on the card tonight and I really want to bet it but I have conflicting stats, so no play.
I'll share some numbers here though, for anyone looking for info and angles on the game.
Phil/Bos qualifies for one of my models for picking totals, T2 (no surprise there, almost every game in round one has qualified, too.)
The record for this play is 18-27, a very solid 60% Fade telling me to take the Under.
I also have a look back of undetermined length (can't read my own handwriting to see how many years the record covers) which says that elimination games when it's a game six or seven are about 60% to the Under. So, another stat pointing me to the Under.
So what's the problem?
Those are all league-wide stats for all teams.
The team specific stats tell a different story.
Tonight's total is at 205'.
The previous six games in the series have seen totals of:
214, 208, 208, 224, 210, and 199.
FIVE of the six are Over tonight's number.
AND . . . all three of the games played in Boston, like tonight, have gone Over.
Like I said, conflicting stats.
I'm not seeing a clear path so no bets for me.
I was looking at a play on the Birmingham Stallions team total Over tomorrow, was halfway through my write-up when I went to check the numbers and was disappointed to find not a single book offering team totals for UFL. Pussy Boys.
If I have a play for this morning's game I'll post it in the UFL section. Hope to have an NBA spot for tomorrow.
Good luck with your play today.
I'll share some numbers here though, for anyone looking for info and angles on the game.
Phil/Bos qualifies for one of my models for picking totals, T2 (no surprise there, almost every game in round one has qualified, too.)
The record for this play is 18-27, a very solid 60% Fade telling me to take the Under.
I also have a look back of undetermined length (can't read my own handwriting to see how many years the record covers) which says that elimination games when it's a game six or seven are about 60% to the Under. So, another stat pointing me to the Under.
So what's the problem?
Those are all league-wide stats for all teams.
The team specific stats tell a different story.
Tonight's total is at 205'.
The previous six games in the series have seen totals of:
214, 208, 208, 224, 210, and 199.
FIVE of the six are Over tonight's number.
AND . . . all three of the games played in Boston, like tonight, have gone Over.
Like I said, conflicting stats.
I'm not seeing a clear path so no bets for me.
I was looking at a play on the Birmingham Stallions team total Over tomorrow, was halfway through my write-up when I went to check the numbers and was disappointed to find not a single book offering team totals for UFL. Pussy Boys.
If I have a play for this morning's game I'll post it in the UFL section. Hope to have an NBA spot for tomorrow.
Good luck with your play today.