I watched a very astute sports investor catch at least 2 times by buying that ever famous 1/2 point last weekend, smack in the middle of the largest sportsbook in the country.
The key is to determine which side has the best 1/2 point value. Remember linesmakers are not selling who they feel will win. They need balanced action on both sides in order to maximize their take on the juice they place onto each and every line. Some lines are put up to entice you; others are the book's perception of a public team favourite and/or underdog; others may be due to info that their people have that the general newspaper reading public most likely do not have access to, or simply cannot be bothered about because their team is playing on Sunday at 4:00 pm or even worse... on MNF.
Buying points needs to become an assertive wagering strategy in order to be successful but, it also must be done within one's self complete belief of the particular team that you deem in your opinion, to be the one (1) the ultimate, the absolute crackerjack play that will cover that almighty pointspread by that extra 1/2 point you are purchasing.
BOL w/ the NFL.
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yes buying points does you no good in the nfl. If you think the dog of +2.5 can win the game then bet them. Don't bet them because you think they keep it within a fg. If you like the fav to win the game then bet the fav and you get a little help with the -2.5 instead of laying 3. Its all a matter of who you see winning the game because for games where the spread is lower than 7, the spread tends to not even matter. Pick the winner of the game and they will most likely cover with such a low numer. Although this yr i tihnk the spread has mattered 31% of the time.Leave a comment:
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question regarding lines
a few different lines on road favs are at -2.5. obviously this is good for the fave, but if you are on the homedawg it puts you in a predicament. my question is, if you like the homedawg, do you take it at +2.5, or do you buy the half point in each instance to +3 to be safe. ive heard over the longrun that buying the 0.5 pt is a bad move, just looking for some insight on this though.
thx to anyone that can help
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