monday night football SAINTS/FALCONS discussion

[theBOSS]

congratulations to everyone who bet the SAINTS tonight in a blowout. payton spread then out all game and brees sugurically dismembered their secondary.

WHO DAT

[navy_blue99]

Atl will win this one and lose next week to TB. No line on next week yet, but I will play TB when it comes out. Atl and the over IMO

I agree. TB will have Garcia back next week, and Atlanta has to go on the road in a short week. The line may be lower because of the Bucs loss, but the Bucs were due for a letdown game yesterday. They'll be back hungry next week.

As for tonight, it's a tough play. Atlanta looked better with Redman in last week, and N.O.'s pass defense is so bad. I may look at that Falcons point total of 19.5 and take the over. I think even a 3rd stringer can score 20 on New Orleans.

[rousea]

I know this isn't ballsy but I'm taking the Saints ML (-210). I just don't see how a team with Chris Redman at the helm is going to beat anyone. This game means more to the Saints than it does to the Falcons and I think they are hungrier.

Atlanta is 2-4 at home with its only wins over a Houston team without Andre Johnson and a 4-point win over San Francisco.

Sure, as Stifler mentioned above, the only road wins New Orleans has have been over hapless teams like Carolina and San Fran (and a better win at Seattle) but at 3-9, doesn't Atlanta fall into the same category as Carolina and San Fran? Why would a road win over the Falcons be so surprising?

I'll take Brees and company over Redman and his boys.

[homedawg]

[bookiekilla]

by the way...this is my biggest play of the season so far, so it's probably a great fade....:puke:

also, some genius came in my thread and gave me some great advice to take the Saints and make some money tonight.....AFTER I've already played the falcons for a dime.....AND...that was his first post in this forum....

so...now you've got a choice of what to fade...either my big play....or the genius in my thread...:dunno:

[bookiekilla]

falcons ml :thumbs:

























































































:hide:

[Stifler's Mom]

Aints laying points on the road? That to me doesn't sound like a good idea.

They're not a physical team at all, and while they have some bright spots, they're not really a very good team right now.

I see alot of people talking about how bad ATL sucks, and this is true, but the Aints suck too....so isn't it a wash?

Think about this. I saw a bunch here last night take the horrible Ravens as a +8.5 to +9.5 home dog to what IMO amounts to the best team in football (I say that because they have a better defense than NE, and that's what usually wins out come playoff time)....yet no one wants to take the points with Atlanta (about as bad as Baltimore), when they're playing a 5-7 Saints team who has done exactly jack **** all season except for that one stretch where they won 4 straight?

Otherwise the Aints lost every other game they've played except beating a brutal Panthers team, and they even lost at home to the freakin RAMS!! How they managed to beat up on Jacksonville I have no idea, but that game and Seattle are their only 2 worthwhile wins all season. I just don't see how that earns them a road fave status, and especially of between -3.5 and -4.5.

Their 3-3 road record is extremely deceiving as well, as they beat SF, Seattle and Carolina on the road, and 2 of those 3 teams are complete ****. In their other road contests, they got thrashed by the likes of Indy (41-10), TB (31-14), and even Houston beat them 23-10.

Take away the 4 game stretch where they were apparently "hot", and the Aints are averaging just 18ppg, with many of their efforts barely breaking double digits in scoring. They are merely a shell of the offense they were last year.

Now IMO they don't have the defense to hold Atlanta to the low teens tonight, and without any type of playmaking threat at RB, I don't see them busting out for 30+....

Adding in homefield, divisional rivalry, and revenge, and for all of these reasons, I don't see how it can be anything but Atlanta or no play.....but what the hell do I know? I think I've won like 2 MNF games all season, LOL

GL whatever you all decide :thumbs:

[homedawg]

Even if I win this Pool card , it's not likely to pay too much because only 2 non faves won...

Straight-Up Quick Picks for NFL Week 14, 2007 Matchup Quick Pick Value


Pittsburgh at New England New England 16
Indianapolis at Baltimore Indianapolis 15
Dallas at Detroit Dallas 14
Carolina at Jacksonville Jacksonville 13
Arizona at Seattle Seattle 12
Kansas City at Denver Denver 11
Oakland at Green Bay Green Bay 10
St. Louis at Cincinnati Cincinnati 9
Minnesota at San Francisco Minnesota 8
New Orleans at Atlanta New Orleans 7
Cleveland at NY Jets Cleveland 6
Chicago at Washington Washington 5
Miami at Buffalo Buffalo 4
Tampa Bay at Houston Tampa Bay 3
San Diego at Tennessee Tennessee 2
NY Giants at Philadelphia NY Giants 1


:beer2:

[Katidy]

New Orleans!!!!!!

Haven't been posting anything lately, but I've a real interest in this game...

Any PRO-LINE fans out there, I've got all 14 teams right in the Football Pools card #14, & need New Orleans to just win....

Didn't like reading that Reggie & Duece are out...That hurts...

Even if I win this Pool card , it's not likely to pay too much because only 2 non faves won...

But hey I'll take anything....

How about some support ..ROOT ROOT ROOT...???

GL on your plays tonight guys.....

:cheers:

[homedawg]

:thumbs: I usually dont get too upset 'bout a bet gone bad, but that game ended my, 7 game survivor streak ...:bang: dammit it is tough to get to 21 :beer2:

[matt71211]

And what the hell is Mangini doing kicking a field goal with two minutes left, three timeouts and then on the next play, kicking an onside kick??? Isn't the whole idea of kicking the field goal to stop them and get field position?

And as for Jamaal Lewis, that was either the most unnecessary play i've ever seen or it's another case of him padding his stats while the other team is down.

[homedawg]

The Jets topped the cake though.

almost had an ats cover, but f'd up at the end of the game.... cle with the ball, less than a minute to play, get the 1st down and down the ball, game over... nyj with the ball: 1st down around the 15 and kick a fg? dont kick a fg there, throw to the endzone, try for the td there.. then if you can recover an onside kick, you only need 20 or so yards to kick a fg! not 50yrds for the td! :boog:

as of now, tonights game is a pass for me...

however the squares are kickin' ass this week:

favs are: 12-3.... overs are: 10-5.. :nuts: Are the linesmakers on strike?????

jp is poundin' nos and over again tonight, at 3-1 clip..... :beer2:

[FearTheRaven]

Norwood goes nuts tonight on National TV.

falcons money-line for me.

Leaning towards the Over.

Redman can score some and may have a few turnovers sprinkled in.

[SuperSkins]

I like the Falcons secondary in this matchup, who have 14 interceptions and have allowed only 17 TD passes. Brees will have to play the bigger role here without the primary RB's available, so it may be a harder fought battle than most think. Plus add in J. Norwood for Atlanta who is getting the nod for starting RB, and you have a pretty decent game methinks. :dunno:

[shorts]

Imho...

IMHO....if it were possible both teams would lose! LMAO!! I'm coming up with a slight edge in passing of NO and should be able to cover the spread. What I'm really looking at is taking the over and hammering beers just to make it exciting! :beerbang:

BOL to all!