Giants line.

[Underdog88]

I can't remember the last time the divisional games were lined so high. Jax is the only dog I even lean to, & with the public all over them, I have to really think hard about it. Have GB-1 to close out a teaser for 3 units, thinking about playing them straight as well as the team total. The way the total is set, it'll be 25, GB has scored 27 or more in 7 of their last 8 games.

I'm starting to dig into the totals, & the Dallas/NYG under is looking good to me. Looking at the Boys games this season, most would be inclined to play on the over, & with good reason. However, I tend to think this will be more of a defensive battle. The Giants D is playing 10x better than the last time these two faced each other, & Dallas will likely focus on stopping the run. Dallas weakness defensively is something IMO the Giants will have trouble exposing, the long passing game. The Boys did well vs the Giants run game both times they faced them. They allowed 124 yds rushing the first game @ home, but 44 of those were on 1 run. Take that away & they rushed for 80 yds. Next meeting was 108 allowed. Both teams have top 8 D's vs. the run, & I would think this could be a field position type game. Watching the TB/NYG game, I think Coughlin really doesn't trust Eli at all. Look at the play calling- how many throws over 5 yards did he even attempt? I will give Manning credit in that he completed the throws he needed to, but will those be enough to move the ball vs the Boys D? I think the Cowboys will pressure him much more....

[JohnnyMapleLeaf]

Public absolutely hammering Eli freaking Manning and the Giants so far this week :beerbang: The line essentially holding the same however...even moving slightly the other way in some cases....you gotta think the books think Dallas covers that game, with Eli reverting back to his old ways :thumbs:

Hasselbeck not 100% after that hit by Smoot to his thigh? Seems he has a pretty bad bruise, and I'm not sure his forearm is perfect either! Also looks like Gates is very questionable for SD.....I think I'll be adding an Indy/GB teaser later in the week.


Still struggling on the Jaguars play, lol. I see I can get 14 now...and still climbing, although it is mostly Jax action!! The books are beggin me to take Jax....usually not a good thing, because I usually fall for it! lol :bang: But if I get 15....I might have too! :dunno: Or not. lmao...

[Sharukh10]

That is true, but i like to think of it this way.

There is nobody in the Jax recieving corp that NE would feel uncomfortably playing man on man. The passing game doesn't threathen NE. I just feel that JAX can't score with NE unless they get some short fields or special team Tds - which may well happen.

[JohnnyMapleLeaf]

The public is 72% on Seattle too, lol. They're gonna get crushed, and I think the books know it. I believe they're loving all the money coming on SEA. I liked GB before I saw that, and I love it now. That one is a a good example of a set up line, IMHO. Giving SEA over a TD, after they looked "impressive" (which they did NOT) in beating "red hot" Washington, who like I said before the game was an average team at best. Looks too easy, doesn't it?
.

I couldn't believe that when I saw bigtime early public action on Seattle...I really thought people would like Farve at home, with the season he's had. I guess a TD+ in the playoffs makes people jump up and down, even though I agree with Stif....the favs in these matchups really are the cream rising to the top. Seattle played true to form at home last week and got the win (they were lucky IMO), and will likely play true to form this week on the road....which means badly. They were 3-5 on the road including losses to non-playoff teams Car, Cle & Ari, as well as a blowout loss to Pitt, an expected easy win over SF, and two close unimpressive wins over Philly and Stl. They are not the same team away from that stadium. This matchup is between two similar teams....both mainly relying on the passing game and good defence. But GB looks to have found something with Ryan Grant. They are stellar at home, and Sea is brutal on the road...that makes me want to add more GB action....probably on a teaser.

GL

[hodown]

the public is hammering dawgs hard, which is unusual. that 35-14 seattle win may be the most misleading 3 strike win ever. the giants did look good last wk against tb, but they just flatout have more firepower than tb. tb looked slow, especially at skill positions. im still not sold on eli, and with owens listed as probable i still like the cowboys.

with regards to the afc, its hard to justify taking sd with that offense and i never thought id say that, but i think the colts philosophy will be to absolutely shutdown LT. sd did a good job of pass blocking against tenn and the only big gains sd had were on busted plays in the secondary. if gates doesnt play, i think the colts roll them. i thought jax would make a nice play here, but it makes me nervous the public is on them. the public doesnt make the outcome though, so hopefully this line continues to rise.

[Stifler's Mom]

Shutting down PIT's depleted offense for 3Q's isn't exactly something to write home about, lol, and that certainly doesn't translate into stopping the NE offense in any way, shape, or form.

Also, the public is 60% on JAX as of right now, and it's been that way since opening. If the books are trying to sucker anyone by juicing up the NE line against the public, it's not working....cause the public is on JAX, as of right now.

Doesn't mean JAX is the wrong play, just saying that I feel that in no way is NE -13 a "sucker line". If they wanted Joe Q all over NE, it would be like -9 or even -10.

Indy played like complete dog **** at SD this year (gave up 2 return TD's and manning had SIX interceptions), and was still in position to win. They ARE the better team, without a doubt. If you wanna bank on that happening again, I'd go ahead and throw down on SD. If not, I fail to see what makes SD even a marginally decent play this weekend.

The public is 72% on Seattle too, lol. They're gonna get crushed, and I think the books know it. I believe they're loving all the money coming on SEA. I liked GB before I saw that, and I love it now. That one is a a good example of a set up line, IMHO. Giving SEA over a TD, after they looked "impressive" (which they did NOT) in beating "red hot" Washington, who like I said before the game was an average team at best. Looks too easy, doesn't it?

I can't believe I'm defending all these faves, lol, but in reality, Indy and NE are clearly the class of the AFC, and both deserve the lines they're getting, because they're both going to win....and I don't think Seattle even makes the playoffs if they don't play in the NFC West, and every point of the GB line is warranted (and more, IMHO).

I don't like seeing the public on NYG so far, but I still think they can keep it close, if not win. But, that would mean betting on ELI Manning to not choke 2 weeks in a row, lol....not easy for me to do.

[Underdog88]

I believe that jacksonville is too 1 dimensional. I believe that the pats will shut down the run and force garrard to beat them. Take the giants game for example, they were able to run the ball on the pats by establishing the passing game first.

Regular season rankings for passing offense.....


Chargers......#26

Steelers..........#22

Giants.............#21




Jags.....#17

[Underdog88]

whole lotta 13's and there's a 14 available right now... :beer2:

Yeah, looks like this line's on the move back up.... +14-120 can be had @ 5Dimes. I'm holding off for now, already laid -120 on the Boys & hate laying juice....

[homedawg]

I do this week... :beerbang:


14 would be insane! :sm:

whole lotta 13's and there's a 14 available right now... :beer2:

[homedawg]

is there going to be 1 SU upset "just because" or is there a team you think is going to win and have valid reasons for it?.....if so, why waste money on ML's that you think are blowouts the other way....why not just play the game/2games you think the dog will win/has a great chance to win...just curious....."i have a feeling somebody is going to get upset" is throwing **** at the wall and i guess that was my point earlier.

50/50 Odds on Every matchup & there could be a dog s/u win on any game?

look at the WC mu's, sea wins the 1h, skins take the lead in the 2h, sea wins the game... jax wins the 1h, pit takes the lead in the 2h, jax wins at the end of the game.... ten wins the 1h, sdc wins the 2h & the game... 3 games that could have gone either way... :beer2:

I will not bet all 4 dog ml's, but there is a good chance I will be on at least 1... :beer2:

[yomonte]

WC= 2 openin' dogs cover and win
2 opening favs win and cover
2 overs 2 unders

50/50

:beer2:

And just like last year, two WC and two Div

[V3r1f13d]

Dallas is the only one I like to cover, the rest seem bloaded to me. The Giants did surpirse me in Tampa though. I'd wait if you want better points.

[NittanyLions94]

Point taken, Nitt :beerbang: The 4th Q meltdown, and pass defence do concern me a bit for sure! During the year, Jax was ranked 15th best against the pass. They were not horrible this year overall in that area, but yeah, not great either!

I just think two things you need to have a chance against the Pats are 1) Ability to run the ball, as I feel that is the NE's defensive weakness....that lets you control the clock, essentially keeping Brady off the field, and Jax was 3rd best in the NFL this year in TOP....and 2) The ability to get pressure on Brady, and Jax can do that with a good D-line that was 9th in sacks this year, and got to Big Ben 6 times this week.

GL with your plays!!

I'm with ya on that JML, and I respect your opinion greatly. I want to take JAX because I want nothing more than to see NE fall, but I just can't do it I don't think. Garrard played an awful game outside of the one run at the end, and had they lost, he would be getting **** on by the media rather than stroked. 9-21, 140, 1 TD, 2 picks, 4 sacks ain't gonna do it up in Foxboro.

I dunno, maybe this is a "just watch it" type game.

[Sharukh10]

Point taken, Nitt :beerbang: The 4th Q meltdown, and pass defence do concern me a bit for sure! During the year, Jax was ranked 15th best against the pass. They were not horrible this year overall in that area, but yeah, not great either!

I just think two things you need to have a chance against the Pats are 1) Ability to run the ball, as I feel that is the NE's defensive weakness....that lets you control the clock, essentially keeping Brady off the field, and Jax was 3rd best in the NFL this year in TOP....and 2) The ability to get pressure on Brady, and Jax can do that with a good D-line that was 9th in sacks this year, and got to Big Ben 6 times this week.

GL with your plays!!

I believe that jacksonville is too 1 dimensional. I believe that the pats will shut down the run and force garrard to beat them. Take the giants game for example, they were able to run the ball on the pats by establishing the passing game first. Few long hookups to plax allowed jacobs to get going. I don't think the pats fear putting 8 men in the box against the jags. If the weather is good i believe the pats cover 11.5 - just my opinion.

[FlyersFan]

not with these m/u's, but IMO 2 cover, and 1 s/u upset... :beer2:

is there going to be 1 SU upset "just because" or is there a team you think is going to win and have valid reasons for it?.....if so, why waste money on ML's that you think are blowouts the other way....why not just play the game/2games you think the dog will win/has a great chance to win...just curious....."i have a feeling somebody is going to get upset" is throwing **** at the wall and i guess that was my point earlier.