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ats 6-7 (-2.80 units)
dog ml 1-5 (-3.80 units)
total 7-12 (-6.60 units)
1pm games:
Minnesota Viqueens +2.5 (-105)
The Colts are a mess. They looked discombobulated at home vs the Bears last Sunday night, making the Bears look like a super bowl contender. With offensive line issues, Dallas Clark being questionable and their 2nd TE (name eluding me) already tagged as out, plus Peyton still getting in shape for the season (imo anyway), I don't see where the Colts do any better this week. I know many probably have a very hard time seeing the Colts losing 2 straight games outright, but when you consider all the factors, and the fact that the line opened with them as a fave of under a fg (imo begging for action on the Colts as an "easy winner" to cover under a FG), and then on top of that has actually dropped at most places all the way to a pk or -1, despite the expected assault of public bets on the Peytons, it becomes a little easier to see....at least to me.
I will admit that this was the toughest play for me to pull the trigger on this week, but in the end when i weighed all the factors, i feel it's the right choice and the correct side, so i went with it.
Carolina Panthers -3 (-115)
The Bears got a high profile road win in the Sunday night game, while i'm sure far less people saw the SD/CAR game, and may think the CAR win out there was a fluke, or that they got lucky.
I watched the SD/CAR game last week, and I thought CAR looked awesome. I was impressed with them (and sad I didn't take the +9 points, lol) and can't believe they are only laying -3 this week in the home opener to Cowboy Bob Orton and the rest of that Bears offense, to be honest. I am not believing the Bears offense is improved over the mess they have been for how long now just because they looked decent for one game and managed to benefit from some of the opportunities they were given for a change.
And, Even if the Beras are improved from last year, winning 2 straight road games outright is difficult for anyone except the elite NFL teams, and that is something I certainly do not believe the Bears qualify as. Like I said in the Minny write up, the Colts sucking had as much to do with the Bears looking good as the Bears actually being good did, imho.
Detroit Lionesses +3 (+100)
First off, Detroit has always been a completely different team at home. They actually did play half respectably last week at ATL too....AFTER dropping to an early 21-0 hole.
With that being said, this play is less ON Detroit, and more AGAINST Green Bay.
IMO, the honeymoon is over. They were all hyped up for their MNF game, which was also their home opener and the reg season debut of Rogers, and they impressed big time.
Not saying they will come out completely flat, but I also find it hard to believe they keep the intensity of last week and carry that momentum on the road to Detroit. It's time to play football now, and this is still the NFL....a league in which not sure this GB team is ready to be a road fave, especially not in the situation they are in this week.
St Louis Lambs +8.5
Ahhhh....how could ANYONE pick the Lambs to keep it even remotely close against the super bowl champs after they took a 35 point beat down at the hands of Philly last week?
Well, for one, the Lambs were supposed to have it all together heading into the season, and then got dismantled at Philly. They have have also always been night and day between road and home though, and no NFL team is really ever as good/bad as they look from one week to the next either. I'm giving them the benefit of the doubt that they are not the team that got brutalized last week by the Eagles.
Secondly, similar to the GB situation, I believe the same sorta holds true for the NYG here....in the respect that they were the super bowl champs, they came out in game 1 and made their statement that the SB win wasn't a fluke, and now they have to move on and play the rest of the season.....against a "****ty" team who they may take for granted a bit after seeing what fellow NFC East team Philly did to the Lambs last week.
I believe the Lambs will surprise quite a few people and be competitive today, and that's really all I need when catching 8.5 points.
Washington Redskins +1 (+100)
I'm not buying the hype that the 'Aints are a real contender, and I'm not buying them as a road fave either. Remember, this is a team that has historically sucked on the road, and this is the home opener for the Skins. The hogs will be ready to go today. With extra time to prepare, and the ton of weapons they now have on offense, AND an offensive minded head coach, they should put up plenty of points against a questionable Saints defense.
Anytime I see a home dog that I feel has a chance of putting up 28+, it's pretty much an automatic play, as it's much easier for a team with a good offense/bad defense to play catch up at home than on the road.....and I don't think 4 TD's is really far fetched for the Skins today.
2 units each
Detroit Lionettes ml +145
Washington Redskins ml +105
Minnesota Viqueens ml +120
1 unit each
1pm games I passed on:
Buffalo/Jacksonville - maybe it is because I want to root for Buffalo, but part of it is that after reading some threads here and checking out the injury reports, it looks like JAX is in pretty poor shape on the offensive side of the ball. Still can't buy on the Bills to win outright on the road today though until I see more. Tough one for me cause I'm a fan, i guess....so i passed.
KC/Oakland - How in the HELL could anyone bet on this game? I know i make alot of plays, but seriously!! Picking Oakland to win outright on the road is out of the question, and so is laying points with KC. And to make it even more f'd up, the line dropped against the public from OAK +4 to OAK +3!! Am I to believe there are sharps playing Oakland? Yikes. No thanks....
Tennessee/Cincinnati - This game just completely does not interest me. I didn't even handicap it. The Bungles suck, and there is no way I'm playing them....and Tennessee I have no idea what to expect from. Sorry Bungles/Titans fans, but this is one of those games that I probably wouldn't even watch if it was the only game on (unless I was REALLY bored, lol), let alone have enough interest in it to take the time to handicap it and/or make a wager on it.
4pm games in a bit....these write ups take time and i wanna get the 1pm's posted in case anyone actually finds my write ups useful, lol
dog ml 1-5 (-3.80 units)
total 7-12 (-6.60 units)
1pm games:
Minnesota Viqueens +2.5 (-105)
The Colts are a mess. They looked discombobulated at home vs the Bears last Sunday night, making the Bears look like a super bowl contender. With offensive line issues, Dallas Clark being questionable and their 2nd TE (name eluding me) already tagged as out, plus Peyton still getting in shape for the season (imo anyway), I don't see where the Colts do any better this week. I know many probably have a very hard time seeing the Colts losing 2 straight games outright, but when you consider all the factors, and the fact that the line opened with them as a fave of under a fg (imo begging for action on the Colts as an "easy winner" to cover under a FG), and then on top of that has actually dropped at most places all the way to a pk or -1, despite the expected assault of public bets on the Peytons, it becomes a little easier to see....at least to me.
I will admit that this was the toughest play for me to pull the trigger on this week, but in the end when i weighed all the factors, i feel it's the right choice and the correct side, so i went with it.
Carolina Panthers -3 (-115)
The Bears got a high profile road win in the Sunday night game, while i'm sure far less people saw the SD/CAR game, and may think the CAR win out there was a fluke, or that they got lucky.
I watched the SD/CAR game last week, and I thought CAR looked awesome. I was impressed with them (and sad I didn't take the +9 points, lol) and can't believe they are only laying -3 this week in the home opener to Cowboy Bob Orton and the rest of that Bears offense, to be honest. I am not believing the Bears offense is improved over the mess they have been for how long now just because they looked decent for one game and managed to benefit from some of the opportunities they were given for a change.
And, Even if the Beras are improved from last year, winning 2 straight road games outright is difficult for anyone except the elite NFL teams, and that is something I certainly do not believe the Bears qualify as. Like I said in the Minny write up, the Colts sucking had as much to do with the Bears looking good as the Bears actually being good did, imho.
Detroit Lionesses +3 (+100)
First off, Detroit has always been a completely different team at home. They actually did play half respectably last week at ATL too....AFTER dropping to an early 21-0 hole.
With that being said, this play is less ON Detroit, and more AGAINST Green Bay.
IMO, the honeymoon is over. They were all hyped up for their MNF game, which was also their home opener and the reg season debut of Rogers, and they impressed big time.
Not saying they will come out completely flat, but I also find it hard to believe they keep the intensity of last week and carry that momentum on the road to Detroit. It's time to play football now, and this is still the NFL....a league in which not sure this GB team is ready to be a road fave, especially not in the situation they are in this week.
St Louis Lambs +8.5
Ahhhh....how could ANYONE pick the Lambs to keep it even remotely close against the super bowl champs after they took a 35 point beat down at the hands of Philly last week?
Well, for one, the Lambs were supposed to have it all together heading into the season, and then got dismantled at Philly. They have have also always been night and day between road and home though, and no NFL team is really ever as good/bad as they look from one week to the next either. I'm giving them the benefit of the doubt that they are not the team that got brutalized last week by the Eagles.
Secondly, similar to the GB situation, I believe the same sorta holds true for the NYG here....in the respect that they were the super bowl champs, they came out in game 1 and made their statement that the SB win wasn't a fluke, and now they have to move on and play the rest of the season.....against a "****ty" team who they may take for granted a bit after seeing what fellow NFC East team Philly did to the Lambs last week.
I believe the Lambs will surprise quite a few people and be competitive today, and that's really all I need when catching 8.5 points.
Washington Redskins +1 (+100)
I'm not buying the hype that the 'Aints are a real contender, and I'm not buying them as a road fave either. Remember, this is a team that has historically sucked on the road, and this is the home opener for the Skins. The hogs will be ready to go today. With extra time to prepare, and the ton of weapons they now have on offense, AND an offensive minded head coach, they should put up plenty of points against a questionable Saints defense.
Anytime I see a home dog that I feel has a chance of putting up 28+, it's pretty much an automatic play, as it's much easier for a team with a good offense/bad defense to play catch up at home than on the road.....and I don't think 4 TD's is really far fetched for the Skins today.
2 units each
Detroit Lionettes ml +145
Washington Redskins ml +105
Minnesota Viqueens ml +120
1 unit each
1pm games I passed on:
Buffalo/Jacksonville - maybe it is because I want to root for Buffalo, but part of it is that after reading some threads here and checking out the injury reports, it looks like JAX is in pretty poor shape on the offensive side of the ball. Still can't buy on the Bills to win outright on the road today though until I see more. Tough one for me cause I'm a fan, i guess....so i passed.
KC/Oakland - How in the HELL could anyone bet on this game? I know i make alot of plays, but seriously!! Picking Oakland to win outright on the road is out of the question, and so is laying points with KC. And to make it even more f'd up, the line dropped against the public from OAK +4 to OAK +3!! Am I to believe there are sharps playing Oakland? Yikes. No thanks....
Tennessee/Cincinnati - This game just completely does not interest me. I didn't even handicap it. The Bungles suck, and there is no way I'm playing them....and Tennessee I have no idea what to expect from. Sorry Bungles/Titans fans, but this is one of those games that I probably wouldn't even watch if it was the only game on (unless I was REALLY bored, lol), let alone have enough interest in it to take the time to handicap it and/or make a wager on it.
4pm games in a bit....these write ups take time and i wanna get the 1pm's posted in case anyone actually finds my write ups useful, lol
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