**The Knuckleballers Computer Based System Tracking Thread***

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  • The Knuckleballer
    Member
    • Sep 2009
    • 355

    #46
    Overall (49-46-2) -.4 Units
    *****5 Unit Picks***** (0-1) -5.5 Units
    ****4 Unit Picks**** (1-1) -.4 Units
    ***3 Unit Picks*** (5-6) -4.8 Units
    **2 Unit Picks** (27-16-1) +18.6 Units
    *1 Unit Picks* (16-22-1) -8.3 Units

    Total Unit Based Record (89-81-3) -.4 Units
    Risk Adj. Winning % (51.45%)


    Yesterday was a nightmare, but today is a new day with one large 5 Unit Pick on tap. I love the Jets in this matchup. They have the edge rushing the ball averaging 4.5 YPR against a Chargers defense that allows 4.4 YPR. This should allow the Jets to control the clock and win the field position battle. Should be a good game, but I truly believe the JETS will walk away with an upset in this matchup. My system has the game capped at Chargers +1. GL and enjoy the game!!!

    *****5 Unit Picks*****
    Jets +7.5

    Comment

    • The Knuckleballer
      Member
      • Sep 2009
      • 355

      #47
      Overall (50-46-2) +4.6 Units
      *****5 Unit Picks***** (1-1) -.5 Units
      ****4 Unit Picks**** (1-1) -.4 Units
      ***3 Unit Picks*** (5-6) -4.8 Units
      **2 Unit Picks** (27-16-1) +18.6 Units
      *1 Unit Picks* (16-22-1) -8.3 Units

      Total Unit Based Record (94-81-3) +4.6 Units
      Risk Adj. Winning % (52.81%)


      Last week was fun with a big 5 Unit Winner!! Today, I am on the J-E-T-S, JETS, JETS, JETS again as a live dog. This line is way off. I have this game capped as a pickem, but the public's favorite QB, Peyton Manning, and his legendary Colts are favored by more than a TD in this matchup. The Colts lack of a running game will prevent them from covering this 8 point line. The Colts average only 3.4 YPR, while the Jets defense allows just 3.9 YPR. Also, the Jets ability to run the ball and chew up clock will be critical. The Jest average 4.5 YPR, while the Colts defense allows 4.3 YPR. The edge in the rushing game and the Jets ability to limit teams to an average of 4.9 yards per pass attempt will prove to be pivotal. This game will likely be decided by a field goal. GL and enjoy the football!!!

      ***3 Unit Picks***
      Jets +8

      Comment

      • The Knuckleballer
        Member
        • Sep 2009
        • 355

        #48
        Overall (50-47-2) +1.3 Units
        *****5 Unit Picks***** (1-1) -.5 Units
        ****4 Unit Picks**** (1-1) -.4 Units
        ***3 Unit Picks*** (5-7) -8.1 Units
        **2 Unit Picks** (27-16-1) +18.6 Units
        *1 Unit Picks* (16-22-1) -8.3 Units

        Total Unit Based Record (94-84-3) +1.3 Units
        Risk Adj. Winning % (51.93%)


        Just closing out my record for the 2009-2010 NFL Season. It was not all that pretty, but it was slightly profitable. I am itching for the 2010-2011 season to get started. I hope you all will continue to follow me as I attempt to improve my system and win more games this season than last. Good luck and start getting excited about the upcoming season!!
        Last edited by The Knuckleballer; 07-17-2010, 11:30 AM. Reason: messed up on my record

        Comment

        • Kevin
          Red Hot and Rollin'
          • Feb 2007
          • 12025

          #49
          Nice job last season. Don't ever feel bad about a break-even, heck, that's considered a win in a game where 90% get smoked!

          Looking forward to the upcoming season! Nice job on the 2 unit plays, you did quite well with those.

          Comment

          • The Knuckleballer
            Member
            • Sep 2009
            • 355

            #50
            Kevin, thanks for the support. I am excited about the upcoming NFL and College Football seasons. I barely broke even in NFL, but I killed it in College Football. Definitely worth taking a look at when you have a chance. Best wishes, and I look forward to chatting with you throughout the upcoming season. Any input is welcome.

            Comment

            • The Knuckleballer
              Member
              • Sep 2009
              • 355

              #51
              Overall (50-47-2) +1.3 Units
              *****5 Unit Picks***** (1-1) -.5 Units
              ****4 Unit Picks**** (1-1) -.4 Units
              ***3 Unit Picks*** (5-7) -8.1 Units
              **2 Unit Picks** (27-16-1) +18.6 Units
              *1 Unit Picks* (16-22-1) -8.3 Units

              Total Unit Based Record (94-92.4-.3) +1.3 Units
              Risk Adj. Winning % (50.35%)


              Above is my corrected record for the 2009-2010 NFL Football season. After looking at it, I realized that I failed to calculated my Total Unit Based Record correctly. Thus, my Risk Adjusted Winning % was ever so slightly inflated. Just wanted to fix it. See you this weekend for the new season!

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