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Big Ben -6
Viqueens overrated imo. Look who they've played/beaten, and how they've had to do it. Pittsburgh puts up big time yards/points today, stops the Viqueens run (2nd best run def) controls the game, and forces Favre into mistakes. Something the clowns they've played so far couldn't do. Pick the winner. I'll take Pit.
Bring Back Romeo Crennel +9
Ditto for GB. I don't think they're very good. Not worth a -9 road fave, flu or not for Cleveland. I think this comes down to the wire in a game that could be very ugly to watch.
Oilers -3 -125
SF getting way too much love for beating a QBless Seattle team and the awful Lambs. Good win vs Ariz, but that was the first week too. Things change. Houston always burns me though, and SF with 2 weeks to stew over the beating they were issued by ATL is a bit of a concern too, but all things considered, if the books thought SF was the play, the line would be +2.5. Instead it's HOU -3 and juiced, practically ensuring no one buys it to -2.5, or pays a heavy price if they do. You can get SF +3.5 however for about -110, telling me which way the books feel about the "key number" of 3 and which way they are willing to risk the spread be "bought" off of it.
Jerry Jones -5
Cowgirls off 2 weeks to prepare, and playing an Atlanta team that I quite frankly am not as impressed with as it seems everyone else is. I think the Bears are in shambles right now on defense and ATL's offensive output vs them was far from impressive last week.
Ochocinco pk
See above. Plus Cutler blows, turning the ball over left and right and making stupid ass decisions/poor throws. I LMFAO at the fact that he thought he should get Elway type respect in Denver and cried for a trade. He hasn't even earned Steve Bono type respect yet.
Bungles should move it on a severely depleted Bears D today, hopefully jump out to a lead, and force more mistakes from Cutler trying to play catch up. Worst case scenario is tight game to the end and Bungles are able to move it and get the winning score on that tired and depleted defense.
On a side note, maybe it was the Bears offense that blew all those years, not Orton and every other QB that fell into that QB death trap....
Dirty Sanchez -6
NORMALLY i would look at this spread and think WTF? Books say EZ money on OAK. But with NYJ off 3 straight losses and OAK looking like they have righted the ship by beating Philly, it makes me think exactly the opposite. IMO this line has drifted into the JETS favor for those reasons. The 3 Jets losses weren't exactly ones to be ashamed of with the exception of the home loss to BUF last week (unless you think OAK is going to force 6 turnovers that one is irrelevant, imo), and winning one game means jack **** for an OAK team who still blows.
Consider that Sanchez is a "warm weather" QB too. I heard them say last week something to the effect that he has NEVER QB'd a game under like 50 degrees, and it showed. I'm guessing the weather will be more to his liking this week, and the Rex Ryan D will force turnover prone Russell into some bad mistakes.
Pick the winner, i come up with Jets. Either I'll be celebrating or kicking myself in the ass on this one.
3 units each
Matt Cassel +5.5
SD sucks. Can't run the ball or get off the field on D. Them being a road fave is ridiculous, imo.
Tampons +15.5
Bad spot for NE. Travel to England, bye next week, etc. The turf is notoriously slow at Wembley and that could hurt the NE passing game as well. I think U-dog said it best when he said that NE will be looking to put it away early and escape to the bye with no injuries. This just doesn't seem like a spot where they will want to run it up. Playing what I think is a favorable situation here and taking over 2 TD's, hoping for a decent performance from TB.
Wildcat +6 -105
Bad spot for the Saints. Sandwich game between the big blowout of NYG and divisional rival ATL. Speaking of which, as much as I believe the Saints are for real and probably the best team in the NFC, that blowout of the overrated NYG has everyone on the Saints pecker right now. Miami is a quality team, can run the ball, and this imo is the biggest test of the Saints so far this year. It's also a team who is notoriously poor on the road, and with the exception of beating the QBless Eagles, their only other road test was one they barely passed against Buffalo, who everyone thinks sucks.
Miami outright wouldn't surprise me in the least.
Warner to Fitzgerald +7
IMO West ----> East does not apply if the game is being played at 8pm. NYG overrated and got exposed big time last week at NO. I look for Warner to be able to do alot of the same.
2 units each
Matt Cassel ml +195
Wildcat ml +220
Warner ----> Fitzgerald ml +250
1 unit each
I meant to get a little more in depth with some of these write ups for those who enjoy them, but I got an offer for my old house today halfway thru these writeups that I have on the market since June, and stewing over that is a little more important than football, so I just gave my basic thoughts on most of em.
Viqueens overrated imo. Look who they've played/beaten, and how they've had to do it. Pittsburgh puts up big time yards/points today, stops the Viqueens run (2nd best run def) controls the game, and forces Favre into mistakes. Something the clowns they've played so far couldn't do. Pick the winner. I'll take Pit.
Bring Back Romeo Crennel +9
Ditto for GB. I don't think they're very good. Not worth a -9 road fave, flu or not for Cleveland. I think this comes down to the wire in a game that could be very ugly to watch.
Oilers -3 -125
SF getting way too much love for beating a QBless Seattle team and the awful Lambs. Good win vs Ariz, but that was the first week too. Things change. Houston always burns me though, and SF with 2 weeks to stew over the beating they were issued by ATL is a bit of a concern too, but all things considered, if the books thought SF was the play, the line would be +2.5. Instead it's HOU -3 and juiced, practically ensuring no one buys it to -2.5, or pays a heavy price if they do. You can get SF +3.5 however for about -110, telling me which way the books feel about the "key number" of 3 and which way they are willing to risk the spread be "bought" off of it.
Jerry Jones -5
Cowgirls off 2 weeks to prepare, and playing an Atlanta team that I quite frankly am not as impressed with as it seems everyone else is. I think the Bears are in shambles right now on defense and ATL's offensive output vs them was far from impressive last week.
Ochocinco pk
See above. Plus Cutler blows, turning the ball over left and right and making stupid ass decisions/poor throws. I LMFAO at the fact that he thought he should get Elway type respect in Denver and cried for a trade. He hasn't even earned Steve Bono type respect yet.
Bungles should move it on a severely depleted Bears D today, hopefully jump out to a lead, and force more mistakes from Cutler trying to play catch up. Worst case scenario is tight game to the end and Bungles are able to move it and get the winning score on that tired and depleted defense.
On a side note, maybe it was the Bears offense that blew all those years, not Orton and every other QB that fell into that QB death trap....
Dirty Sanchez -6
NORMALLY i would look at this spread and think WTF? Books say EZ money on OAK. But with NYJ off 3 straight losses and OAK looking like they have righted the ship by beating Philly, it makes me think exactly the opposite. IMO this line has drifted into the JETS favor for those reasons. The 3 Jets losses weren't exactly ones to be ashamed of with the exception of the home loss to BUF last week (unless you think OAK is going to force 6 turnovers that one is irrelevant, imo), and winning one game means jack **** for an OAK team who still blows.
Consider that Sanchez is a "warm weather" QB too. I heard them say last week something to the effect that he has NEVER QB'd a game under like 50 degrees, and it showed. I'm guessing the weather will be more to his liking this week, and the Rex Ryan D will force turnover prone Russell into some bad mistakes.
Pick the winner, i come up with Jets. Either I'll be celebrating or kicking myself in the ass on this one.
3 units each
Matt Cassel +5.5
SD sucks. Can't run the ball or get off the field on D. Them being a road fave is ridiculous, imo.
Tampons +15.5
Bad spot for NE. Travel to England, bye next week, etc. The turf is notoriously slow at Wembley and that could hurt the NE passing game as well. I think U-dog said it best when he said that NE will be looking to put it away early and escape to the bye with no injuries. This just doesn't seem like a spot where they will want to run it up. Playing what I think is a favorable situation here and taking over 2 TD's, hoping for a decent performance from TB.
Wildcat +6 -105
Bad spot for the Saints. Sandwich game between the big blowout of NYG and divisional rival ATL. Speaking of which, as much as I believe the Saints are for real and probably the best team in the NFC, that blowout of the overrated NYG has everyone on the Saints pecker right now. Miami is a quality team, can run the ball, and this imo is the biggest test of the Saints so far this year. It's also a team who is notoriously poor on the road, and with the exception of beating the QBless Eagles, their only other road test was one they barely passed against Buffalo, who everyone thinks sucks.
Miami outright wouldn't surprise me in the least.
Warner to Fitzgerald +7
IMO West ----> East does not apply if the game is being played at 8pm. NYG overrated and got exposed big time last week at NO. I look for Warner to be able to do alot of the same.
2 units each
Matt Cassel ml +195
Wildcat ml +220
Warner ----> Fitzgerald ml +250
1 unit each
I meant to get a little more in depth with some of these write ups for those who enjoy them, but I got an offer for my old house today halfway thru these writeups that I have on the market since June, and stewing over that is a little more important than football, so I just gave my basic thoughts on most of em.
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