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NYJ -3.5 -105
Tough spot for MIA to get up for imo off the crushing loss to the Saints. NYJ with revenge off the MNF loss too. I have to think Rex looks at the tapes and finds a way to at least slow the wildcat this week in his 2nd chance, and I don't think MIA can win against a good/decent (especially on the road) with only plays made in a conventional offense.
PHI +1.5
Keep on going against the overrated Giants. 2 games against teams that don't blow, and 2 losses. Another key is that NYG were completely unable to stop the pass of the Saints or Arizona. What does Philly do best?
SEA +9.5
Romo will find a way to keep this one close....
CLE +13
Yea, I know....the Browns suck....blah blah blah. But so do the Bears. They made a half decent Cincinnati team look like a super bowl contender last week. Sure they COULD cover, but considering they don't do much stopping of anyone on defense and they are turning the ball over left and right on offense, I'm thinking even the ****ty Browns can get 17+ on them. That means they must score 30+. I'm not thrilled by their chances of either doing that, or actually shutting someone down.
BALT -3.5
Big time gut check for BALT. Off a bye and 3 SU losses. Their D has been poor, and if they lose this, their season is all but done, as they have done nothing but prove (to themselves and to the world) that they can do nothing but beat bad teams, and will lose against any decent or better ones.
DEN has impressed, especially that D, and IMO are the better team here, but the better team doesn't always win/cover. I think BALT comes out firing this week, gets a lead, and DEN will have a hard time playing catch up on the road.
I have a feeling the Baltimore D will make a rare appearance this week too....
TEN -3 -105
Toilet bowl. TEN isn't going to go winless, are they? You'd think the almost equally bad JAGS at home would be a game they should win, especially with 2 weeks to prepare and revenge from a 20 point loss earlier in the year. Or maybe I'm just a dope for laying points with an 0-7 team....
OAK +16.5
C'mon. SD looks impressive ONE GAME against the completely worthless Chiefs and now they are asked to cover 2 TD's AND a FG? I doubt that magically their defensive woes are all of a sudden fixed (one of the worst in the league at stopping teams on 3rd down, etc), and I also doubt that their running game is all of a sudden dominant again.
No idea which OAK team will show up, but since it's a divisional rivalry, i'm hoping the one that has been competitive boards the bus to the stadium today, not the one who lays down like a $5 hooker....
GB -3 -120
First contest was pretty competitive, but GB had too many turnovers, and they lost. This is just a must game for GB, and not just because it's vs Favre (although that can't hurt). They drop way back in the division with a loss here and leave themselves in a position to battle for a wild card (barring a huge collapse from MIN), and would have already been swept by division leader MIN. If they win, they are tied for 1st (in the loss column, MIN played 1 more game) and still have every shot to win the division.
Add that with divisional revenge and the fact that Favre may "try a little too hard" today (just a guess of course), and I like GB to find a way to win this one while MIN heads into the bye week to regroup.
3 units each
BUF +3 +105
Houston lets teams hang around. They look great for a quarter or a half, but for the rest of the game they look like donkey dick. BUF is pretty consistent and opportunistic, and plays in (imo) the toughest division in football top to bottom. Take away the MIA game and the Bills have been in every game till the end (Saints final was misleading).
Doesn't hurt that HOU has INDY on deck too, and that makes it all the more likely that they either overlook the Bills completely, or at least live up to their usual M.O. of only playing for a half at the most.
IF BUF were favored here, I wouldn't touch it because I wouldn't like their chances of the outright win/cover enough to justify the odds, but with the +3 and + odds and the + ML, I think they are worth a shot, as I think they will compete in this game and have a good enough shot at the outright win to over come +150 odds.
Or maybe i'm a homer :bang:
STL/DET o43.5
2 quality defenses here, lol. But actually the key for me here is that STL should move the ball and score since the Lions aren't exactly a team who "pressures the QB", and Bulger CAN make the throws when he has time. With that being said, I don't see DET not scoring at least 21 on that porous Lambs defense. I find it hard to believe either one of these teams will blow the other one out too, so that also helps the cause of an over since in a competitive game you will have teams trying to put up points until the end, not one team trying to coast thru the 2nd half or 4th qtr and waste clock.
TEX/JAX o44.5
TEN's defense is deplorable, but I think the offense will come out firing today. That's about it. Not hard to see both teams reaching the 20's here....
2 units each
BUF ml +150
1 unit
Tough spot for MIA to get up for imo off the crushing loss to the Saints. NYJ with revenge off the MNF loss too. I have to think Rex looks at the tapes and finds a way to at least slow the wildcat this week in his 2nd chance, and I don't think MIA can win against a good/decent (especially on the road) with only plays made in a conventional offense.
PHI +1.5
Keep on going against the overrated Giants. 2 games against teams that don't blow, and 2 losses. Another key is that NYG were completely unable to stop the pass of the Saints or Arizona. What does Philly do best?
SEA +9.5
Romo will find a way to keep this one close....
CLE +13
Yea, I know....the Browns suck....blah blah blah. But so do the Bears. They made a half decent Cincinnati team look like a super bowl contender last week. Sure they COULD cover, but considering they don't do much stopping of anyone on defense and they are turning the ball over left and right on offense, I'm thinking even the ****ty Browns can get 17+ on them. That means they must score 30+. I'm not thrilled by their chances of either doing that, or actually shutting someone down.
BALT -3.5
Big time gut check for BALT. Off a bye and 3 SU losses. Their D has been poor, and if they lose this, their season is all but done, as they have done nothing but prove (to themselves and to the world) that they can do nothing but beat bad teams, and will lose against any decent or better ones.
DEN has impressed, especially that D, and IMO are the better team here, but the better team doesn't always win/cover. I think BALT comes out firing this week, gets a lead, and DEN will have a hard time playing catch up on the road.
I have a feeling the Baltimore D will make a rare appearance this week too....
TEN -3 -105
Toilet bowl. TEN isn't going to go winless, are they? You'd think the almost equally bad JAGS at home would be a game they should win, especially with 2 weeks to prepare and revenge from a 20 point loss earlier in the year. Or maybe I'm just a dope for laying points with an 0-7 team....
OAK +16.5
C'mon. SD looks impressive ONE GAME against the completely worthless Chiefs and now they are asked to cover 2 TD's AND a FG? I doubt that magically their defensive woes are all of a sudden fixed (one of the worst in the league at stopping teams on 3rd down, etc), and I also doubt that their running game is all of a sudden dominant again.
No idea which OAK team will show up, but since it's a divisional rivalry, i'm hoping the one that has been competitive boards the bus to the stadium today, not the one who lays down like a $5 hooker....
GB -3 -120
First contest was pretty competitive, but GB had too many turnovers, and they lost. This is just a must game for GB, and not just because it's vs Favre (although that can't hurt). They drop way back in the division with a loss here and leave themselves in a position to battle for a wild card (barring a huge collapse from MIN), and would have already been swept by division leader MIN. If they win, they are tied for 1st (in the loss column, MIN played 1 more game) and still have every shot to win the division.
Add that with divisional revenge and the fact that Favre may "try a little too hard" today (just a guess of course), and I like GB to find a way to win this one while MIN heads into the bye week to regroup.
3 units each
BUF +3 +105
Houston lets teams hang around. They look great for a quarter or a half, but for the rest of the game they look like donkey dick. BUF is pretty consistent and opportunistic, and plays in (imo) the toughest division in football top to bottom. Take away the MIA game and the Bills have been in every game till the end (Saints final was misleading).
Doesn't hurt that HOU has INDY on deck too, and that makes it all the more likely that they either overlook the Bills completely, or at least live up to their usual M.O. of only playing for a half at the most.
IF BUF were favored here, I wouldn't touch it because I wouldn't like their chances of the outright win/cover enough to justify the odds, but with the +3 and + odds and the + ML, I think they are worth a shot, as I think they will compete in this game and have a good enough shot at the outright win to over come +150 odds.
Or maybe i'm a homer :bang:
STL/DET o43.5
2 quality defenses here, lol. But actually the key for me here is that STL should move the ball and score since the Lions aren't exactly a team who "pressures the QB", and Bulger CAN make the throws when he has time. With that being said, I don't see DET not scoring at least 21 on that porous Lambs defense. I find it hard to believe either one of these teams will blow the other one out too, so that also helps the cause of an over since in a competitive game you will have teams trying to put up points until the end, not one team trying to coast thru the 2nd half or 4th qtr and waste clock.
TEX/JAX o44.5
TEN's defense is deplorable, but I think the offense will come out firing today. That's about it. Not hard to see both teams reaching the 20's here....
2 units each
BUF ml +150
1 unit
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