***NFL Week 6 Discussion***

[Daws1089]

Cedric don't call me Blake but you might as well call me blake cause im injured that much Griffin is out for the year for the Vikings......doesn't bode well facing DAL and their corps or WR's.

-1 at home against another 1-3 team doesn't exactly instill a lot of confidence in me that MINN can get it done either.

[Daws1089]

agree on SF Udog.

OAK wins against an awful road team in SDG and now the public is in love with them? Maybe its more of the public being so low on SF. SF was a pretty big public play last week and it went down in flames so everyone is jumping ship on them, meanwhile this is probably a good time to back them, especially at home catching OAK on the road off that win.


ATL playing its 2nd straight road game and has a tall task at hand. Eagles have a ton of injuries, but somehow they are still favored in this game? I didn't think ATL even really played that well last week. Birds favored has me leaning that way.

INDY looks too easy, but still might win.


Anyone else think BALT could be walking into a hornets nest sunday? After the embarrassing playoff game last year in NE, I have to think with the long week they will be well prepared. Brady should be able to attack the secondary. Orton did it quite easily last week. My worry is NE's run D, but I do think this is a good spot to back NE.

[FlyersFan]

Cedric don't call me Blake but you might as well call me blake cause im injured that much Griffin is out for the year for the Vikings......doesn't bode well facing DAL and their corps or WR's.

[Kevin]

I think the Browns are going to get blown out. Colt McCoy looked like absolute crap in the preseason. My first thought was that the Browns would limit his tosses and run the ball a ton but then I remembered that YOU CAN'T RUN against the Steelers, especially when they're expecting it.

I expect an absolute BLOWOUT this weekend by as many as 4+ scores.

[rocjones]

:laughing::laughing: FLYER U DID THE RIGHT THING HIDING BEHIND THAT SOFA

[FlyersFan]

Also going out on a limb and saying BUF doesn't lose this week....:hide:

DAL/MIN.......another interesting game as the loser is 1-4 and probably done from making the playoffs. Over?

TAM/NO i was looking to play Under.

[FlyersFan]

Chalkdog- what do you make of the KC/HOU game? I think that is the most intriguing game of the week in terms of line and total in that game. KC coming off of its first loss and a game they very well could have won if not for some drops and poor decisions. They frustrated Manning all day. HOU defense is a sieve. I was kind of surprised to see this total @ 44 in all honesty. But then again HOU has yet to hold a team under 24 points this year. On the flip side KC's offense has really stunk this year. They are 3rd from the bottom in Pass O and HOU is dead last in Pass D so something has to give. Based on that total number i think the oddsmakers are expecting it to be the HOU pass D that gives. Also the Chefs are ranked in the bottom 3rd in the league in Pass D and HOU is a top 10 pass team.

In the end I would lean to some TT Overs and possible game over. Not sure on the side

[Underdog88]

Plays I'm looking into


Steelers team total over- Inflated line because of Rapelisburger's return, but the spot is too bad for me to back the Brownies in any form. Are the Browns really doing this to Colt? Pitt will load up on the run and make the Browns throw. Steelers lost going into the bye, and only mustered 14 pts vs Baltimore. Now with a passing game that has to be respected, it should make the run that much more of a strength. Leaning hard on Steelers team total over, last 4 meetings @Pitt the Steelers have scored 27+, no reason for me to think they don't make a statement here.


49ers- Raiders won their superbowl last week, while the Niners lost yet again. Finally a team the Niners can run all over, setting up the playaction. Just a bad situation all around for the Raiders here, and seeing how the spread really hasn't come into play much this season, I'm not all that worried about laying under a touch here. Niners roll.

[Underdog88]

How time flies....


Week 5 Homedogs were 3-1

Dogs were 9-5 ATS & SU

Over 9-5


I think totals could be a bit inflated this week, and I am definitely leery of any big lined dogs this week. One thing is for sure, Dog MLs are profitable in the NFL:thumbs:


Homedogs this week


Rams+9 vs Chargers

Bucs+5 vs Saints

Redskins+3 vs Indy

Jaguars+3 vs Titans



Rams off a blowout loss @ Detroit, where they outgained the Lions but had 3 turnovers. SD had 3 fumbles lost, allowed 2 blocked punts and 1 fumble return for a td. They also amassed 500 total yards. The Rams I think are still better than people are giving them credit for, especially defensively. They have played well at home and SD is 0-3 on the road. Still the high line could be vegas expecting a blowout. Have to look more into this one but I don't see how you could lay that kind of chalk with a team that hasn't proved anything all season.....

Bucs- I can say the same for the Saints. The biggest factor of success other than the Saints high powered offense last season was their takeaways defensively. It just isn't happening this season, I believe NO is -6 to margin the last 3 games played. You simply won't cover fave lines if you turn the ball over that much. Lack of run game has hurt the Saints as well. TB off a come from behind win vs Cincy where they won despite having 3 turnovers (Cincy had 4). Saints biggest margin of victory was 5 @ Minny, and now they are just -5 @TB? Not sure I like the situation TB is in here because of the su win on the road, but I will say the Saints are the 31st ranked rushing attack and you beat TB by running the ball. Biggest concern about backing TB for me is although they are ranked as a good pass defense, they have faced Carolina, Cleveland, Pitt, and Cincy. Safe to say this is their biggest test.

Skins- Washington is killing it as underdogs this season. Hit Skins ml vs Dallas, Philly, and GB. Not sure if they will be able to string 3 in a row vs the Colts here though. They have scored over 17 points just once this season, and I think this could be the game it catches up to them. Skins pass D is suspect as hell, allowed 497 3 tds 1 int to Shaub, what will Peyton do? #30 pass D vs 11 tds 2 int and an avg of 317 ypg for Indy. The Colts weakness is the run D (as always), but with the Skins avg 88ypg/ 3.9 ypc, I don't think they will be able to exploit it. I don't necessarily think the Addai injury really hurts the Colts all that much.... Lean Indy as I think Washington's inability to sustain drives kills them here.....

Jaguars/Titans- I think this could be the Chris Johnson show, Jaguars defense is god awful. At the same time not the best of spots for the Titans off a su win on the road....have to look deeper there.