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Thursday Night Game

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  • Thursday Night Game

    Baltimore +1 @ Atlanta over/under 44

    Intresting matchup for a thursday night. When you look at both QB's, Baltimore's Flacco has 1917yrds and 12 td to 6 int with a qb rating of 88.9. On the other side Atlanta's Ryan has 1949yrds and 13 td to 5 int with a qb rating of 90.2. That is about even has you going to get. Baltimore's Ray Rice has 606 yrds of rushing and Atlanta's Michael Turner has 694 yrds. The offenses are about has even.

    So lets talk about the defenses and this where the difference is. Atlanta defense is 21# in total yards, and 26# in passing yards, and #6 is rushing yards, and 10# in points. Baltimore defense is #9 in total yards, and #9 in passing yards, and #13 in rusing yards, and 6# in points. Clearly Baltmore has the better defense. Also Baltimore has played a much tougher schedule with wins against NY Jets, Pittsburgh, Miami. Atlanta has only beaten two winning teams New Orleans and Tampa Bay.

    The Baltimore is 8-0 ATS against Atlanta in their last 8, including 5-0 ATS as an underdog. Atlanta is 0-14 ATS at home in games off back-to-back wins so back Baltimore tonight.

    This is going to be a low scoring game with Baltimore doing just enough to win a close one. My prediction is Baltimore 17-14.

    Baltimore +1 under 44
    I always turn to the sports pages first, which records people's accomplishments. The front page has nothing but man's failures.
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