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I won't be able to make it to put anything in this weekend. But I did a quick glance and will put some games in that I'll count towards my "leans" record. Hopefully I don't goof and put myself too much in a hole for the season record. There's a ton of pickem games this week (+3, -3), so I feel kinda out of whack with so many.
Leans:
Atlanta +4 at Minnesota. New Coach theory. Worked last week with Houston, but I didn't pull the trigger. Minny looked pretty good on SNF. I saw a fantasy football article that Alexander Mattison is shockingly cheap for daily fantasy prices, yet he's supposedly projected to have as many points as Dalvin Cook typically does. Atlanta's defense is god awful, but Cousins hasn't shown me that he can exploit great defensive matchups. Seattle was dead last again QBs and he still had an average day.
Atlanta/Minnesota UNDER 54. Same reasons as above. I don't trust Cousins to exploit a matchup where he has to throw the ball. Atlanta's new interim coach is a defensive coordinator, so maybe he'll get them to play defense for once in their lives.
New England -8 vs. Denver. Don't know if this game will even be played or if Cam is playing. I'm assuming he will. I think I'll trust Belichick following a loss and think the defense steps up here.
Cincinnati +7.5 at Indy. My reasoning I've used before. I think the Colts are typically better at winning games where they're a small favorite or small underdog. I don't like them when they're giving a lot of points.
Washington +2.5 at NY Giants. I'll give Kyle Allen another shot this week. The division is still wide open, the Giants coming off a couple of pretty good showings, and Washington gets back their pro bowl guard, and no Aaron Donald to worry about this week.
San Fran +3 vs. LA Rams. Lookin for a San Fran bounce back, and it's pretty much a must win game as they're already dead last in their own division. But I'm really shakey about this pick.
Dallas +1 vs. Arizona. Backup QB system. I'm actually a tad bit surprised to see Dallas as a dog here. Dalton is the best backup in the NFL. So they should be slight favorites IMO.
Other Plays:
Green Bay -1 at Tampa Bay.
Leans:
Atlanta +4 at Minnesota. New Coach theory. Worked last week with Houston, but I didn't pull the trigger. Minny looked pretty good on SNF. I saw a fantasy football article that Alexander Mattison is shockingly cheap for daily fantasy prices, yet he's supposedly projected to have as many points as Dalvin Cook typically does. Atlanta's defense is god awful, but Cousins hasn't shown me that he can exploit great defensive matchups. Seattle was dead last again QBs and he still had an average day.
Atlanta/Minnesota UNDER 54. Same reasons as above. I don't trust Cousins to exploit a matchup where he has to throw the ball. Atlanta's new interim coach is a defensive coordinator, so maybe he'll get them to play defense for once in their lives.
New England -8 vs. Denver. Don't know if this game will even be played or if Cam is playing. I'm assuming he will. I think I'll trust Belichick following a loss and think the defense steps up here.
Cincinnati +7.5 at Indy. My reasoning I've used before. I think the Colts are typically better at winning games where they're a small favorite or small underdog. I don't like them when they're giving a lot of points.
Washington +2.5 at NY Giants. I'll give Kyle Allen another shot this week. The division is still wide open, the Giants coming off a couple of pretty good showings, and Washington gets back their pro bowl guard, and no Aaron Donald to worry about this week.
San Fran +3 vs. LA Rams. Lookin for a San Fran bounce back, and it's pretty much a must win game as they're already dead last in their own division. But I'm really shakey about this pick.
Dallas +1 vs. Arizona. Backup QB system. I'm actually a tad bit surprised to see Dallas as a dog here. Dalton is the best backup in the NFL. So they should be slight favorites IMO.
Other Plays:
Green Bay -1 at Tampa Bay.
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