Week 4 NFL Picks

[Kevin]

YTD 9-5-1 +3.60 Units

Lions/Packers UNDER 45. Both offensive lines are beat up. This should cause some extra false starts and penalties as the timing should be off from time to time. More importantly, the protection should suffer and we should see an extra sack or two here and there.

Jared Goff's home/road splits over his career are hugely different. He doesn't ever seem to play well on the road, while he excels at home.

The total opened at 46 and has gotten as low as 44.5 at some places (Bovada). I found it at 45 at Draftkings.

I think this game is likely to end up in the mid 30's (or less)

Good luck!

[Kevin]

Adding:

Houston Texans +3
Cleveland Browns -2.5
Nico Collins OVER 50.5 rushing and receiving yards -115 (He gets burnt toast Levi Wallace)
George KiTTLE over 40.5 receiving yards (AZ does not cover TE's)
Mike Evans UNDER 59.5 yards. (The cruse of Lattimore)
DJ Moore OVER 50 yards (+110) He's got the worst CB in the NFL on him today (Mathis) and Denver gets no push at the line of scrimmage, so Fields should have time to hit him often.
Latavius Murray to score a TD (+240) He's their true goalline back. They're trying to protect Allen/Cooks health. This line should be +150 or lower in a game that could see 60 points.

[Kevin]

13-9-1 +3.40

MNF: Giants +2.5