Week 9 Notes

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  • recovering77
    Public Fader
    • Mar 2007
    • 495

    Week 9 Notes

    Sorry really late this week.


    Last Week 4-3. System 1 went 5-1, System 2 went 0-2.

    Unfortunately, there is some subjectivity between the two systems, so it's difficult to know which system they fall under this week.



    NY Giants +2.5 vs. San Fran. The Giants are one of those teams I typically don't like taking. However, this line seems really suspect considering the 49ers have been overpriced for years, going back to the Jimmy G days and this line feels really low. Surprised to see the Giants getting less than a field goal when they just lost Skattebo last week to season ending IR.

    Denver +2.5 at Houston. This is a game where i would normally take Houston, but it looks like a pretty popular play this week, which gives me great pause. Denver has not been great on the road, and Houston has been playing pretty well the last month or so. Just a hunch here, but I like Denver.


    Minnesota +9.5 at Detroit. Was liking this one more earlier. Line feels pretty high for a Minnesota team that had a pretty high Team Total Wins to start the season. Detroit is 4-1 ATS in their last 5, and have covered 9 in a row against Minnesota. That probably explains the line, plus nobody really believes in JJ Mccarthy right now. Like Minny to keep it close, but second guessing myself a bit catching almost 10 when Minny has offensive weapons, a good defense, and Detroit can be swiss cheese at times.


    KC -2.5 at Buffalo. Thought about taking Buffalo money line at +110 and watching for fun, but I figure that's what a lot of people are doing and where the value lies. New England should Stumble at some point to allow Buffalo to capture the division. Both teams had blowout wins last week, but Buffalo put together the more impressive win IMO. Washington was playing with their backup QB, and had their chances, and KC played very sloppy in the first half. Buffalo put together a complete game of destruction.


    JAX / LV Raiders UNDER 44. Feels like an ugly game between an ugly team (Raiders), and a team that can be ugly (JAX).







    System 1: (5-1)
    Carolina +13.5 at Green Bay - W

    Wow, only 1 this week.


    System 2: (0-2)
    Minnesota +9.5 at Detroit - W
    Tenn +9.5 vs. LA Chargers - W
    Atlanta +4.5 at New England - W
    New Orleans +14 at LA Rams - L
    Last edited by recovering77; 11-03-2025, 10:31 PM.
    2023
    39-39-2 Plays, 26-25 Leans, System Plays (2-1), Half System Plays (2-4)
    Playoffs 6-4 Plays, 4-1 Leans

    2022
    43-46 Plays, 24-28 Leans, 4-4 System Plays, 2-0 Half System Plays
    Playoffs 8-4 plays, 1-2 leans, 1-0 Half System Plays

    2021
    36-29 Plays, 25-31 leans; Playoffs 3-3 Plays, 0-2 leans

    2020
    18-16-1 Plays, 18-18-1 Leans; Playoffs 6-2 Plays, 0-1 Leans

    2019
    15-8 plays, 7-6 leans, 2-1 Heavy MLs
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