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Getting started early this week. The systems killed it in week 9. Maybe I'm onto something, or maybe it starts to even out over the next few weeks.
The truth is picks in system 1 also would apply to system 2 in many cases, but system 2 is a little bit different. There's also subjectiveness in the systems, and this week it's a little more difficult to sort the picks out. I have a feeling this is going to be a bad week for the system, but here it is.
Last Week 2-3 Picks
System 1: 1-0
System 2: 3-1
Miami +9.5 vs. Buffalo. This line is very high for a division game, and unlike the Minnesota and Detroit game, the home team is getting 9.5. Miami's defense has not been great for multiple years now, but it's even worse this year. Buffalo should have no trouble scoring on them, but Miami usually finds a way to score enough points to keep it close. The way James Cook ran it down KC's throat on Sunday might make Buffalo backers a little too confident.
Minnesota +4.5 vs. Baltimore. I think this is one of those games that Baltimore leads comfortably, but Harbaugh goes into conservative mode, and the defense doesn't hold. Ravens probably win, but it's close.
Tampa Bay -2.5 vs. New England. Might be fading New England a little too early, but I think they lose steam towards the end, and Buffalo ultimately secures the division.
NY Jets +1.5 vs. Cleveland. I think Cleveland is like 0-6 ATS on the road their last 6. Line flipped after the Jets were sellers at the deadline, but I would never take Cleveland on the road again.
LA Rams -5.5 at San Fran. Niners seem to play well every other game this season. Thinking the trend continues. That line seems way too high for the Rams to give on the road.
Pittsburgh +3 at LA Chargers. Line seems fair, but I'll take the points. Predicting the Ravens to come back and win the division, but it doesn't have to be this week. Pitt and Baltimore haven't even played each other yet.
System 1 (6-1):
Indy -6 - Push
Miami +9.5 - W
New England +2.5 - W
Cleveland +2.5 - L
NY Giants +4.5 - W
New Orleans +5.5 - W
LA Chargers -3 - W
Green Bay -1.5 - L
System 2 (3-3)
Minnesota +3.5 - L
Arizona also might have qualified as a system 2 pick, but it was close, and I forgot to put it in anyways.
The truth is picks in system 1 also would apply to system 2 in many cases, but system 2 is a little bit different. There's also subjectiveness in the systems, and this week it's a little more difficult to sort the picks out. I have a feeling this is going to be a bad week for the system, but here it is.
Last Week 2-3 Picks
System 1: 1-0
System 2: 3-1
Miami +9.5 vs. Buffalo. This line is very high for a division game, and unlike the Minnesota and Detroit game, the home team is getting 9.5. Miami's defense has not been great for multiple years now, but it's even worse this year. Buffalo should have no trouble scoring on them, but Miami usually finds a way to score enough points to keep it close. The way James Cook ran it down KC's throat on Sunday might make Buffalo backers a little too confident.
Minnesota +4.5 vs. Baltimore. I think this is one of those games that Baltimore leads comfortably, but Harbaugh goes into conservative mode, and the defense doesn't hold. Ravens probably win, but it's close.
Tampa Bay -2.5 vs. New England. Might be fading New England a little too early, but I think they lose steam towards the end, and Buffalo ultimately secures the division.
NY Jets +1.5 vs. Cleveland. I think Cleveland is like 0-6 ATS on the road their last 6. Line flipped after the Jets were sellers at the deadline, but I would never take Cleveland on the road again.
LA Rams -5.5 at San Fran. Niners seem to play well every other game this season. Thinking the trend continues. That line seems way too high for the Rams to give on the road.
Pittsburgh +3 at LA Chargers. Line seems fair, but I'll take the points. Predicting the Ravens to come back and win the division, but it doesn't have to be this week. Pitt and Baltimore haven't even played each other yet.
System 1 (6-1):
Indy -6 - Push
Miami +9.5 - W
New England +2.5 - W
Cleveland +2.5 - L
NY Giants +4.5 - W
New Orleans +5.5 - W
LA Chargers -3 - W
Green Bay -1.5 - L
System 2 (3-3)
Minnesota +3.5 - L
Arizona also might have qualified as a system 2 pick, but it was close, and I forgot to put it in anyways.
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