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Finally a little bit of luck last week. Figures I'd finally have a good week when I scale the wagers back and try to relax for the holiday weekend.
System 1 is hitting at an unsustainable pace. But maybe the way Thursday/Friday played out was good enough to reset.
Last week: 4-1 Plays
System 1: 3-0
System 2: 1-0
System 1 is setting up like last Thursday/Friday again with basically all favorites (they all lost), but it's the way I've been picking it so can't do anything about it. Sad, because I know this many picks is going to tank the win percentage either way.
Detroit -3 would qualify for System 1, but like last week I'm not counting Thursday games.
NY Jets +2.5 vs. Miami. Did Mike Mike McDaniel just save his job? After starting the season 1-6, Miami has quietly won 4 out of their last 5. The Jets have quietly covered 5 in a row. I have a feeling about the Jets, but since it's against my system I may pass.
Jacksonville +1.5 vs. Indy. Another game that goes against the system. This is a wide open division all of a sudden. Crazy Jacksonville is +145, Indy +140, and Houston +115 to win this division. Can Indy win the division after that 7-1 start? Can Houston win it after that 3-5 start?
Indy has a tough schedule coming up. I changed my mind. I actually like Indy here now. I think they're going to be the ones fighting for the division with Houston at the end.
Minnesota -1.5 vs. Washington. Great game by Mariota on Sunday night. But if they trend continues, he's going to follow up the next game with a dud. Minnesota has had a chance to exploit bad defenses this season. JJ has done it twice, but I'm pretty sick of betting the Vikings. This is only under consideration if Mariota and JJ start. Otherwise no play. Daniels has a chance to play this weekend, and it looks like JJ is in.
System 1 (18-4-2):
Minnesota -1.5
Atlanta +7
Miami -2.5
Tampa Bay -8.5
Indy -1.5
LA Rams -8.5
KC -3.5
Philly -2.5
System 2 (5-8):
TBD, possibly none
System 1 is hitting at an unsustainable pace. But maybe the way Thursday/Friday played out was good enough to reset.
Last week: 4-1 Plays
System 1: 3-0
System 2: 1-0
System 1 is setting up like last Thursday/Friday again with basically all favorites (they all lost), but it's the way I've been picking it so can't do anything about it. Sad, because I know this many picks is going to tank the win percentage either way.
Detroit -3 would qualify for System 1, but like last week I'm not counting Thursday games.
NY Jets +2.5 vs. Miami. Did Mike Mike McDaniel just save his job? After starting the season 1-6, Miami has quietly won 4 out of their last 5. The Jets have quietly covered 5 in a row. I have a feeling about the Jets, but since it's against my system I may pass.
Jacksonville +1.5 vs. Indy. Another game that goes against the system. This is a wide open division all of a sudden. Crazy Jacksonville is +145, Indy +140, and Houston +115 to win this division. Can Indy win the division after that 7-1 start? Can Houston win it after that 3-5 start?
Indy has a tough schedule coming up. I changed my mind. I actually like Indy here now. I think they're going to be the ones fighting for the division with Houston at the end.
Minnesota -1.5 vs. Washington. Great game by Mariota on Sunday night. But if they trend continues, he's going to follow up the next game with a dud. Minnesota has had a chance to exploit bad defenses this season. JJ has done it twice, but I'm pretty sick of betting the Vikings. This is only under consideration if Mariota and JJ start. Otherwise no play. Daniels has a chance to play this weekend, and it looks like JJ is in.
System 1 (18-4-2):
Minnesota -1.5
Atlanta +7
Miami -2.5
Tampa Bay -8.5
Indy -1.5
LA Rams -8.5
KC -3.5
Philly -2.5
System 2 (5-8):
TBD, possibly none