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Starting a thread that I'll modify as we get closer to week 1.
Wanted to throw in a couple of futures. If you check my post last season, I said I was big on New England. Didn't expect them to make the super bowl, but I thought they would surprise.
This season my two primary futures are around Kliff Kingsbury and Mike McDaniel, who I believe are two of the more underrated offensive minds in this league.
Washington Commanders UNDER 7.5 wins (-115). Dan Quinn is going to regret having differences with Kliff, because he's a very mediocre old fashioned coach, and those are dying these days. I think Washington will at least have some initial growing pains with David Blough as their new OC. They'll be in the hole early.
LA Chargers Over 10.5 wins (+130). Jim Harbaugh is a solid coach, but the addition of Mike Mcdaniel should make them one of the teams to beat this season. I'll pass on -140 at 9.5 and go with the 10.5 for extra value. I'm showing about 5 losses, plus 2 each for a split between KC and Denver. So they'll have to overperform by 1 game to hit this.
LA Chargers AFC West Winner (+190). Odds are pretty even between the Chiefs, Chargers, and Broncos. With Mahomes coming off injury and Kelce getting married and getting older, I think this team's window is fading until they can get some real weapons on offense. I don't see Denver repeating. They won a ton of close games last season, and Bo Nix is really a system QB.
Week 1:
Pittsburgh Team Total Under 22.5. This is Aaron Rodgers last season, and the results aren't usually good for those. I tried to fade Tom Brady in his last season, and he lucked out with good defensive performances the first couple of weeks. Will take under Team Total for Pitt in case Rodgers lucks out that way as well.
Carolina +2.5 vs. Chicago. This is really a prove it season for Bryce Young. He's probably a better QB than we gave him credit for considering he's winning with Carolina and and Sam Darnold and Baker couldn't. Likely to be the #1 public pick this week.
Minnesota -1.5 vs Green Bay. Was wrong about JJ Mccarthy last season. Even Kevin O'Connell couldn't make him a good quarterback. Will see what he can do with Kyler Murray this season. The new Call of Duty doesn't come out until October 23rd, so he could have a good first 5-6 weeks.
Philly ML (-218) vs. Washington. Losing AJ Brown will hurt, but losing Kingsbury will hurt Washington more.
KC -2.5 vs. Denver. I'll take Mahomes not to lose 3 in a row to Denver.
Updates likely to come later......
Wanted to throw in a couple of futures. If you check my post last season, I said I was big on New England. Didn't expect them to make the super bowl, but I thought they would surprise.
This season my two primary futures are around Kliff Kingsbury and Mike McDaniel, who I believe are two of the more underrated offensive minds in this league.
Washington Commanders UNDER 7.5 wins (-115). Dan Quinn is going to regret having differences with Kliff, because he's a very mediocre old fashioned coach, and those are dying these days. I think Washington will at least have some initial growing pains with David Blough as their new OC. They'll be in the hole early.
LA Chargers Over 10.5 wins (+130). Jim Harbaugh is a solid coach, but the addition of Mike Mcdaniel should make them one of the teams to beat this season. I'll pass on -140 at 9.5 and go with the 10.5 for extra value. I'm showing about 5 losses, plus 2 each for a split between KC and Denver. So they'll have to overperform by 1 game to hit this.
LA Chargers AFC West Winner (+190). Odds are pretty even between the Chiefs, Chargers, and Broncos. With Mahomes coming off injury and Kelce getting married and getting older, I think this team's window is fading until they can get some real weapons on offense. I don't see Denver repeating. They won a ton of close games last season, and Bo Nix is really a system QB.
Week 1:
Pittsburgh Team Total Under 22.5. This is Aaron Rodgers last season, and the results aren't usually good for those. I tried to fade Tom Brady in his last season, and he lucked out with good defensive performances the first couple of weeks. Will take under Team Total for Pitt in case Rodgers lucks out that way as well.
Carolina +2.5 vs. Chicago. This is really a prove it season for Bryce Young. He's probably a better QB than we gave him credit for considering he's winning with Carolina and and Sam Darnold and Baker couldn't. Likely to be the #1 public pick this week.
Minnesota -1.5 vs Green Bay. Was wrong about JJ Mccarthy last season. Even Kevin O'Connell couldn't make him a good quarterback. Will see what he can do with Kyler Murray this season. The new Call of Duty doesn't come out until October 23rd, so he could have a good first 5-6 weeks.
Philly ML (-218) vs. Washington. Losing AJ Brown will hurt, but losing Kingsbury will hurt Washington more.
KC -2.5 vs. Denver. I'll take Mahomes not to lose 3 in a row to Denver.
Updates likely to come later......