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***Week 10 Fades***

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  • ***Week 10 Fades***

    Straight 94-115 -39.3 units

    Dog ML 11-29 -17.25 units




    Ouch. Going to try one more week.




    5 pt teaser- ties win +105

    Chargers-3
    Ravens-2

    4 units




    Raiders tt u21-115

    2 units




    Possible letdown spot for Ravens, but I just don't see it. They have already lost two letdown games off big wins this season, so maybe it's dumb to back them here.... just don't see Seattle being able to run successfully vs Balty (which imo is what they would need to do to win).

    Chargers are in a must win spot here, and the Raiders are floundering. A banged up McFadden is the icing on the cake for me. If Matthews is out once again I am fine with Tolbert banging out a consistent 3.5 ypc. If Rivers throws picks all day he may get lynched.



    Other wagers I'm close to pulling the trigger on...

    Giants- could be a popular dog which is scary. Even scarier is the thought of backing Alex Smith vs a team that can get to the passer so well. SF is much improved, but i think an efficient passing team like the Giants could give them trouble. Would like to have Bradshaw back though. Also a lil scared of the Niners running all over the Giants

    Buccaneers- Houston laying pts on the road now... Bucs in need of a win and I think Blount gets going this week. Very surprised at the play calling last week vs the saints though. Drawback is once again going against a team that can kill you on the ground.

    Titans/Panthers over- If there ever was a week that CJ gets on track, it will be vs the Panthers run D. Titans have been pretty pedestrian on D themselves. The Texans offense put up 34 on them, Pitt put up 38, Cincy put up 24. I would think both get to 23, so over is a likely wager. Only hesitant because of the last Panthers total play, which seems to be the exact moment my NFL wagers really took dive. CJ rushing prop could be a good wager as well, if it's under 90 I probably bite.
    Last edited by Underdog88; 11-10-2011, 07:58 PM.
    Champagne for my real friends, real pain for my sham friends...

  • #2
    Added Raiders tt under
    Champagne for my real friends, real pain for my sham friends...

    Comment


    • #3
      moving right along....



      Saints-102

      Jaguars-3+100

      Lions+142

      4 units each




      Buccaneers+185

      Titans/Panthers o23.5 1sth

      Eagles tt o30

      2 units each




      Parlay

      Bengals+7.5-195
      Jaguars-160
      Cowboys-235
      Panthers-190
      Lions+138
      Patriots+7-245

      1 to win 16.92 units
      Last edited by Underdog88; 11-13-2011, 12:19 PM.
      Champagne for my real friends, real pain for my sham friends...

      Comment


      • #4
        longshot

        6 pt pleaser

        KC-9.5
        Bucs-2.5
        patriots-6
        Vikings+8

        .5 to win 24 units




        How does that not hit :beer2:
        Champagne for my real friends, real pain for my sham friends...

        Comment


        • #5
          Saints tt o12.5 2ndh

          3 units
          Champagne for my real friends, real pain for my sham friends...

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          • #6
            Buccaneers tt o10.5 2ndh

            3 units
            Champagne for my real friends, real pain for my sham friends...

            Comment


            • #7
              NYG/49ers o43-105

              3 units
              Champagne for my real friends, real pain for my sham friends...

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              • #8
                Ravens/Seahawks o20 2ndh

                3 units
                Champagne for my real friends, real pain for my sham friends...

                Comment


                • #9
                  Live wager


                  Pats/Jets o44.5

                  5 units
                  Champagne for my real friends, real pain for my sham friends...

                  Comment


                  • #10
                    Patriots-2.5+175 2ndh

                    Pats/Jets o26+130 2ndh

                    2 units each
                    Champagne for my real friends, real pain for my sham friends...

                    Comment


                    • #11
                      Good work on the 2nd half of the late game. Who are you thinking about tomorrow?

                      I'm biased, but I think the Vikings off a bye getting two TDs is probably a good thing.
                      NFL 17: 45-47-2 // 48.91% // -10.12
                      MMA: 247-332-2 // 42.66% // -6.04
                      MLB 17: 151-140-8 // 51.89% // +5.65 ROR // +42.13
                      NCAAF 17: 63-49-2 // 56.25% // +6.80
                      Updated on 01/13/18
                      ---
                      One of my 2018 resolutions: no more action gambling.

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                      • #12
                        I may jump in at the half, but no play right now.....
                        Champagne for my real friends, real pain for my sham friends...

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                        • #13
                          7-6 straight +9 units

                          0-2 dog ml -6 units





                          Maybe the Pack comes out and pounds the crap out of Minny, but once again I think the line is too high. Small wagers to start and will look at the half....



                          Packers/Vikings o24-130 1sth

                          Vikings tt o19.5-105

                          2 units each



                          Vikings+7.5+190 game

                          1 unit
                          Champagne for my real friends, real pain for my sham friends...

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                          • #14
                            Vikings+7-110 2ndh

                            Vikings/Packers u23 2ndh

                            2 units each



                            Vikings+260 2ndh
                            u22.5 2ndh

                            .5 to win 2.93 units
                            Champagne for my real friends, real pain for my sham friends...

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                            • #15
                              Vikings 2ndh+7 is a 4 unit wager
                              Champagne for my real friends, real pain for my sham friends...

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