Week 14 Discussion Thread

[Daws1089]

Tenn +4


This is pretty much the only play I like at all so far. I think it's a great spot for Tenn catching NO out of the dome on grass. Tenn has the D to slow down the saints O and I think the Tenn run game will continue to roll.


Last week home dogs did pretty well going 3-2 with 2 of the 3 home dogs also winning the game.

The home dogs this week are

Tenn +4
AZ +4
Carolina +3
Washington +9

I think Tenn could be one of those home dogs to also win the game. AZ is tough because they are off of a big OT win, but the line is so different from the 10.5 pts they were getting @ SF last time those two played.

[AddictedToBetting]

IMO, I wouldn't overlook San Fran against AZ. San Fran is hot right now under coach Jim Harbaugh (10-2). They completely shutdown the Rams passing and rushing game last Sunday. San Fran is rank #1 on rushing defense, so I don't see how AZ will be successful on their run game at all. Look at how AZ was struggling offensively against a crappy Dallas team. I don't trust Kevin Kolb pass offense just yet, neither do I trust Alex Smith, but when it comes down to the running game I'm going with San Fran.

[bluedevil12]

Daws I definitely agree on TEN. This game means a lot to them, but the Saints are basically locked in as the #3 seed in the NFC following losses by ATL/NYG/DAL last week. The Saints have been unimpressive on the road this season. Seems like a game they can lose.

Indy +16.5. I don't know. I know they covered a big spread through the backdoor in Foxboro. I may take them and think they have a chance to do the same.

Miami -3...Seems too easy. Miami has outscored opponents by 85 points in their last 5 games, going 4-1 in that stretch. Based on point differentials and recent performance this line should be closer to 6, but I guess Vegas/some bettors still respect the Philly hype.

I was going to back Carolina, but then I realized their wins have come against Jax/Was/Indy/TB (without Freeman). May play the over in this game, seems like every Panthers game turns into a shootout.

Bears +3.5. I'm still not a believer in Tebow. Tebow has to lose eventually right? This will be the 2nd good defense that he's faced in his stretch, maybe they won't inexplicably allow a 95-yard touchdown drive to end the game.

Oakland +11. We're talking about a potential playoff team fighting for its life getting 11 points.

Buffalo/SD over. This game has 35-27 or 38-31 written all over it.

That's my thoughts for now...