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Can we talk about this weekend a little bit guys? It's been so dead around the site.
NE-7/50.5
SF-2.5/42
As hard as it may be to picture it, I think Baltimore can win at NE. I have been on Flacco's case all year. Especially last game where he was just awful and so unimpressive. Make that the entire Ravens offense that was unimpressive. Meanwhile, Tom shredded Denver looking unstoppable. It's easy to get caught up in what happened last week. We talk about this a lot as the season goes on week to week, the books just want you to remember what happened last week or last game and apply it to this week's games. I know Stifler's Mom stresses that a lot and it is valid again this week. Something else I always like to look at is which team scored the most points last week. This ties in with the whole "last week" idea. Take for example the saints who scored the most points wild card weekend against Detroit. If you faded them, you won last weekend with San Fran. You can look at this for each week of the regular season and it has a nice record. Looking back to last week's games, New England scored 45 making them the highest scoring team. People will remember the drubbing they put on Denver and it shouldn't be blindly followed, but it's a nice tool to add to whatever else you use to pick winners. The line opened at -9 and the fact that its down to -7 tells me a lot. I mean why is the ****ty road team Ravens getting sharp money here? I think that tells us something. It really doesn't make me want to back NE even though I can get a better line for NE now. I would feel a lot better about NE if the line held or grew a little.
Something that has been troubling me this week. I keep going back to the 2010 (I think) AFC championship game when Indy was -9 vs the Jets. I was so hung up on the Jets defense getting that many pts and just wouldn't let it go. I thought it had to be the right side. Someone else on this site who no longer posts was opposite. He kept harping on the fact that Indy was such a big favorite in an AFC championship game should tell us Indy. The thought is that since its an AFC championship game, you would think the spread would be tighter and the game will be close. He was right as Indy won by like 17 or something. I keep trying to apply that to this game as it was a -9 pt spread, but now that it has moved 2 full pts and not in the favorite's favor I like Baltimore more.
I'm tired now and don't really have any great thoughts on the NFC game so hopefully after I take a day to think about the NFC game I can get some thoughts posted. Please post guys. We need more discussion. We have a ton of great cappers out there and we are all missing out on winners by not talking these games through. I know everyone is so busy nowadays, but even just a couple sentences letting us know where your head is at is better than nothing.
I would love to hear some NE backers angles too.:thumbs:
NE-7/50.5
SF-2.5/42
As hard as it may be to picture it, I think Baltimore can win at NE. I have been on Flacco's case all year. Especially last game where he was just awful and so unimpressive. Make that the entire Ravens offense that was unimpressive. Meanwhile, Tom shredded Denver looking unstoppable. It's easy to get caught up in what happened last week. We talk about this a lot as the season goes on week to week, the books just want you to remember what happened last week or last game and apply it to this week's games. I know Stifler's Mom stresses that a lot and it is valid again this week. Something else I always like to look at is which team scored the most points last week. This ties in with the whole "last week" idea. Take for example the saints who scored the most points wild card weekend against Detroit. If you faded them, you won last weekend with San Fran. You can look at this for each week of the regular season and it has a nice record. Looking back to last week's games, New England scored 45 making them the highest scoring team. People will remember the drubbing they put on Denver and it shouldn't be blindly followed, but it's a nice tool to add to whatever else you use to pick winners. The line opened at -9 and the fact that its down to -7 tells me a lot. I mean why is the ****ty road team Ravens getting sharp money here? I think that tells us something. It really doesn't make me want to back NE even though I can get a better line for NE now. I would feel a lot better about NE if the line held or grew a little.
Something that has been troubling me this week. I keep going back to the 2010 (I think) AFC championship game when Indy was -9 vs the Jets. I was so hung up on the Jets defense getting that many pts and just wouldn't let it go. I thought it had to be the right side. Someone else on this site who no longer posts was opposite. He kept harping on the fact that Indy was such a big favorite in an AFC championship game should tell us Indy. The thought is that since its an AFC championship game, you would think the spread would be tighter and the game will be close. He was right as Indy won by like 17 or something. I keep trying to apply that to this game as it was a -9 pt spread, but now that it has moved 2 full pts and not in the favorite's favor I like Baltimore more.
I'm tired now and don't really have any great thoughts on the NFC game so hopefully after I take a day to think about the NFC game I can get some thoughts posted. Please post guys. We need more discussion. We have a ton of great cappers out there and we are all missing out on winners by not talking these games through. I know everyone is so busy nowadays, but even just a couple sentences letting us know where your head is at is better than nothing.
I would love to hear some NE backers angles too.:thumbs:
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