Week 4 Discussion

[shetown]

Flyers Fan, I know it!!! Thanks for the early kick in the nuts. I needed it cause it is tempting. Good luck this weekend.

[FlyersFan]

Anyone have thoughts on Bama -9.5 over Arkansas? I think Bama should win by 17 but don't like the fact Arkansas hasn't played anyone solid yet and are coming off a bye. It also looks like this series flip flops and Arkansas is due for the cover.

game is always "Alabama should win by 40" and the game is always 17-14.

[shetown]

Anyone have thoughts on Bama -9.5 over Arkansas? I think Bama should win by 17 but don't like the fact Arkansas hasn't played anyone solid yet and are coming off a bye. It also looks like this series flip flops and Arkansas is due for the cover.

[FlyersFan]

ARIZONA -3.........:dunno:

OK, so UCLA got wiped out last week and hasn't looked great....their top RB is out....but does this ever seem like a trap game. UAZ STINKS....they beat up on 2 Division 411 teams and then got run all over by New Mexico last week....Tuitama makes 3-4 mistakes a game vs. anyone decent. Plus i would say that this will be a very focused UCLA team this week, and it's still one that did beat TENN at home who might be TENN on the road and coached by Fullmer, but they are still heads and shoulders better than the crap in the desert that is coming to town. Arizona is good as a late season underdog when they are sneaking up on people.....i don't think that is the case here and i (a) would be surprised if they won and (b) i don't think it's going to be by more than 3 if they do.

Or this game is a total blowout. I just can't see laying 3 points with a team like UAZ on the road. That kind of play is begging for a bad season.

Haven't played it yet but i am keeping an eye on it. Anyone else have any thoughts?

[hodown]

well regarding the SEC, I'm starting to change my tune on Fla and LSU. I just think in the long run, that betting on road faves in the SEC will not win you money. And what has LSU done to deserve being a road fave at Aub, especially with an unproven qb? Fla's line is deserved, but Tenn is just as stout as Mia on defense, and UF was 9-3 on Mia through 3, which isnt exactly impressive. Tenn should play this smart and run run run to keep Tebow off the field, and Fla still hasn't shown that anyone other than Tebow can run the ball

[DreSoN22]

I'm a Texas A&M fan as Daws knows and I recommend staying away from the game. Yes, Texas A&M lost to Arkansas St. Yes, they lost to Miami last year. Yes the backup QB for Texas A&M is starting (Jerrod Johnson). A&M will never blow a team out no matter how bad the opponent is. They are a scrappy team and that is why they beat Texas last year even though they lost to Miami away. A&M tends to get better and better as the year goes on. I personally think Jerrod Johnson is the better QB here and will make the offense that much better. If McGee were in the game vs. New Mexico the whole time...I believe A&M would have lost. That all being said, Miami is all athletes and they are very fast. I just think there are games out there with better value to bet on than this game. Good luck all!

[CuseFan10]

Daws, Agree with the Louisville pick. Louisville in not a very attractive pick in the publics eye, so I'll take them as a home dog on a weeknight and see what happens.:thumbs:

Yea, point taken, but there's a reason Louisville isn't a sexy pick - because they haven't had a defense that was even remote useful in a few years and a team that runs the spread, and has traditionally been an offensive juggernaut, is rolling into town tonight (with a very good, mobile QB).

[jpix]

Daws, Agree with the Louisville pick. Louisville in not a very attractive pick in the publics eye, so I'll take them as a home dog on a weeknight and see what happens.:thumbs:

[bigbag12]

a&m qb is also questionable.

dont let that scare ya. our backup JJ is jsut as good, but most likely better(way more moves and speed). Mcgee won the startin g job this spring due to experience, but it was close. look for JJ to win the starting job if he starts 2 games while Mcgee is hurt..

Mcgee will not play. trust me.

but i would lean with MU also.

[hodown]

Tenn needs to be able to run bc crompton won't help them out thru the air. With regard to asu, I think carpenter is very capable. Now whether they cover the number or not is to be debated, but I think asu can put up pts, not sure if tenn can

[MJJM888]

good points udog.



hmmm miss st now up to +8.5. who is pounding gtech?

Going with the under in this game. It should be around 45.
See link for Analysis.
College Football Mississippi State Bulldogs at Ga Tech Yellow Jackets Matchup Analysis at VegasInsider.com, the leader in Sportsbook and Gaming information - College Football Matchups, College Football Matchups, NCAA Football Matchups,NCAA Football M

[MJJM888]

i think Miami is infinitely more talented than A&M as well, but there's just too many question marks with both teams for me to lay either way.

- is A&M really that bad to lose to Ark St at home?
- Miami's def is excellent, but the offense is nothing to write home about
- A&M is generally tough at home, and Mia is starting a redshirt frosh at qb

4 seems like the right number, and i cant see either team really running away with this one

Got to go with Miami the D-fence will harass em & get a couple scores and make the difference here.

[MiamiSportsFan]

I think K-State is going to be a good look tomorrow night

[Daws1089]

good points udog.



hmmm miss st now up to +8.5. who is pounding gtech?

[Underdog88]

Florida -7.5
Like you said, if the Vols can't run the ball, they are going to get smacked by a ton of points.

ASU +7
I'm not completely sold on this, but as someone who habitually teases games like this, ASU +13 or more is a pretty solid bet, especially after UGA looked less than stellar in Columbia last week.

If Florida will win by a ton of points because Tenn won't be able to run, why won't the Bulldogs? They held SCar to 18 rushing yards last week! IMO teasing ASU to 13 isn't that great, as 2 td still beat you. Not a fan of laying road chalk, but I honestly think this is a 20+ pt win for Georgia.....